Middle East

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1598%
- October 3181%
$12.3M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1895%

$1.8M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.9M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$235.8K Vol.20 days left

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3116%
October 317%

$268.7K Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3137%
November 3035%

$329.5K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 488%
October 1180%

$869.7K Vol.monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3126%
October 317%

$171.1K Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State4%

$40.2M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3120%
October 314%

$7.4M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Ofer Winter16%

$38.5K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait8%

$905.1K Vol.

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3187%
October 1586%

$21.6K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 1584%
October 3183%

$17.1K Vol.

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20267%

$115.5K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
3.0 - 3.5M25%

$116.0K Vol.monthly

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$59.0K Vol.

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 3114%
October 316%

$86.7K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+49%
2.7-2.8M21%

$45.9K Vol.monthly

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 315%
October 312%

$1.1M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$49.0K Vol.

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

October 3165%
October 2037%

$4.4K Vol.

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%chance

$120.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.8K Vol.

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 318%
October 313%

$4.2K Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1492%
October 2890%

$140.1K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$273.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<477%
4-618%

$10.9K Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 896%

$64.8K Vol.monthly

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2324%
20-2123%

$18.7K Vol.

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 3115%
October 156%

$39.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.0K Vol.

$79.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.7K Vol.8 months left

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1585%

$8.8K Vol.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

10%chance

$605.2K Vol.2 months left

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3168%
November 3064%

$39.7K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

64%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

December 3111%
October 311%

$5.8K Vol.

Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?

December 3110%
October 314%

$4.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.5K Vol.

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

October 3180%
November 3079%

$9.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$14.1K Vol.

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

5%chance

$102.5K Vol.2 months left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland15%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3127%
October 3113%

$64.2K Vol.

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3141%
October 1512%

$131.7K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

37%chance

$2.3K Vol.17 days left

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

465%
513%

$7.6M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%chance

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

September 2976%
September 2272%

$213.0K Vol.monthly

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 3028%
October 3124%

$97.4K Vol.