Israel

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1597%
- October 3182%
$12.2M Vol.monthly

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1598%
October 3184%

$34.3M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.9M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$232.8K Vol.21 days left

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$115.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud42%

$657.8K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3120%
October 314%

$7.4M Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.8K Vol.

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3125%
October 318%

$345.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together70%
The Democrats16%

$18.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Ofer Winter17%

$38.5K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait8%

$904.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2444%
25-2926%

$501.7K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats49%
Together26%

$6.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu53%
The Democrats50%

$54.9K Vol.

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

7%chance

$826.8K Vol.18 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv17%

$48.9K Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement80%
Likud17%

$62.6K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

41%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 317%
October 154%

$22.0K Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202734%
June 30, 202730%

$8.5M Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

91%chance

$51.3K Vol.14 days left

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1493%
October 1690%

$139.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<473%
4-628%

$10.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%48%
0.75-1.25%42%

$4.9K Vol.

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

42%chance

$59.4K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%42%
5-6%28%

$4.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

20-2138%
22-2325%

$17.9K Vol.

$329.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

20%chance

$6.6K Vol.14 days left

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

6.5-7.5%43%
5.5-6.5%39%

$2.4K Vol.

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

3%chance

$11.1K Vol.18 days left

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%38%
6-7%35%

$6.7K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

64%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change93%
Decrease7%

$60.6K Vol.annual

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.5K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

October 3185%
October 152%

$10.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2840%
Yoav Ben-Tzur22%

$13.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%40%
7-9%22%

$2.9K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

20%chance

$2.3K Vol.17 days left

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

13%chance

$1.7M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.8K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.4K Vol.8 months left

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

8%chance

$20.6K Vol.17 days left

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

35%chance

$16.8K Vol.13 days left

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud47%
Yashar44%

$16.3K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

473%
513%

$7.6M Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%45%
<6%31%

$3.4K Vol.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am94%
RZP-Zehut84%

$14.3K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

7.5%+32%
5.5-6.5%28%

$3.7K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy10%
New Zealand9%

$762.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

4-5%32%
2.5-3.25%30%

$3.5K Vol.

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3039%
October 3119%

$84.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-935%
12-1329%

$6.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-947%
6-724%

$5.6K Vol.

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

5%chance

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

6%chance

$688.9K Vol.2 months left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%chance

$186.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%chance

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

53%chance

$787.9 Vol.14 days left

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%chance

$861.8K Vol.2 months left

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 3123%
December 315%

$1.4M Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%40%
6%+32%

$4.2K Vol.

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3124%
October 318%

$250.6K Vol.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%chance

$473.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%38%
6-7%30%

$2.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-938%
6-730%

$7.0K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%46%
3.25-4%21%

$4.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

8-935%
6-728%

$3.9K Vol.

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

11%chance

$16.6K Vol.17 days left

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$215.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

5%chance

$448.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%chance

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

48%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

$71.0K Vol.2 months left

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

162%
230%

$63.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

53%chance

$20.0 Vol.4 months left

Netanyahu drops out before election?

2%chance

$2.2K Vol.13 days left

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

December 3157%
October 3120%

$6.4K Vol.

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

33%chance

$349.7 Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%56%
3.75-4.25%21%

$989.3 Vol.

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

<0.5%98%
0.5-0.75%1%

$5.4K Vol.

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

4-536%
6-732%

$11.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

8-935%
10+33%

$7.7K Vol.

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

47%chance

$5.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

2%chance

$3.6K Vol.2 months left

Netanyahu arrested by…?

5%chance

$8.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

3%chance

$7.8K Vol.2 months left

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

4%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 months left

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%chance

$99.7K Vol.1 year left

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%chance

$223.4 Vol.2 months left

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

17%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

10%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

16%chance

$56.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%chance

$195.4K Vol.2 months left

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

7%chance

$15.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

5%chance

$535.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

9%chance

$2.1M Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

7%chance

$10.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Netanyahu out by...?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

Netanyahu drops out before election?

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Netanyahu arrested by…?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?