Middle East

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1597%
- October 3181%
$11.8M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 1599%
October 3186%

$1.7M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$73.9M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot46%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.8M Vol.

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3121%
October 318%

$238.2K Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3142%
November 3041%

$313.1K Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.2K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3119%
October 315%

$7.3M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$173.0K Vol.21 days left

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei88%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3168%
October 1563%

$19.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2838%
Ofer Winter17%

$35.7K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait8%

$904.1K Vol.

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

December 3111%
October 313%

$5.8K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
2.0 - 2.5M24%

$114.5K Vol.monthly

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.8K Vol.

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202622%
October 31, 20267%

$114.8K Vol.

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 1555%
October 3151%

$12.8K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+50%
2.7-2.8M19%

$42.6K Vol.monthly

$139.5K Vol.

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 3112%
October 315%

$2.6K Vol.

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

October 3162%
October 2046%

$2.5K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

13%chance

$325.7K Vol.2 months left

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%chance

$120.5K Vol.2 months left

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 3114%
October 1510%

$38.2K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$43.7K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 1394%
October 486%

$844.4K Vol.monthly

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3127%
October 3112%

$63.8K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$273.4K Vol.2 months left

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$149.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2832%
Tally Gotliv14%

$45.8K Vol.

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-868%
9-1017%

$10.4K Vol.

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 3121%
October 317%

$83.0K Vol.

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1585%

$8.7K Vol.

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 313%
October 313%

$1.1M Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 896%

$63.7K Vol.monthly

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait11%
Egypt10%

$79.8K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

11%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

60%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

December 3116%
October 314%

$5.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%
Yoav Ben-Tzur23%

$13.8K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

September 2979%
September 2675%

$213.0K Vol.monthly

Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?

December 319%
October 314%

$4.7K Vol.

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3139%
October 1514%

$131.6K Vol.

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3169%
November 3068%

$39.3K Vol.

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

5%chance

$102.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%41%
<16%23%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2326%
26-2721%

$17.1K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

19%chance

$2.2K Vol.18 days left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland14%
Kuwait7%

$1.7M Vol.

Houthis target Syria by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$4.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

531%
625%

$9.1K Vol.

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

November 3056%
October 3127%

$17.3K Vol.

Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$7.0K Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

257%
121%

$5.3K Vol.