Iran

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1598%
- October 3182%
$12.4M Vol.monthly

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1599%
October 3186%

$34.5M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3166%
December 3141%

$39.8M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.4M Vol.

$1.4M Vol.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 318%
October 311%

$76.0M Vol.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3137%
November 3028%

$3.1M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$236.4K Vol.20 days left

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3117%
October 317%

$292.6K Vol.

Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 3131%
November 3025%

$576.8K Vol.

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$1.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$163.7K Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3117%
November 3011%

$16.9M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202721%
December 3112%

$27.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$93.4K Vol.

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

October 1197%
October 597%

$37.5K Vol.monthly

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3135%
November 3024%

$1.8M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

November 3064%
October 3142%

$105.2K Vol.

Crude Oil all time high by...?

March 31, 202718%
December 3111%

$4.8M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3119%
October 314%

$7.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

6%chance

$776.6K Vol.47 days left

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202642%
November 30, 202632%

$703.4K Vol.

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3125%
October 318%

$349.0K Vol.

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 3117%
October 316%

$3.5M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

<1%chance

$101.5K Vol.17 days left

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3191%
October 1581%

$21.7K Vol.

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3128%
October 318%

$10.2M Vol.

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 3184%
October 1583%

$17.1K Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

5%chance

$2.4M Vol.2 months left

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%chance

$544.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%chance

$11.8M Vol.2 months left

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?

25-2938%
30-3431%

$54.5K Vol.weekly

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

7%chance

$828.0K Vol.17 days left

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+50%
2.7-2.8M22%

$45.9K Vol.monthly

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
3.0 - 3.5M24%

$116.1K Vol.monthly

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

November 3069%
October 3167%

$5.2K Vol.

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

4%chance

$145.9K Vol.2 months left

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 315%
October 312%

$1.1M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

10%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

October 3169%
October 2036%

$4.6K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$53.2K Vol.

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

30M+96%
31M+90%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 316%
October 154%

$22.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$46.1K Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.8K Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202734%
June 30, 202730%

$8.5M Vol.

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

$557.4K Vol.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?

30-3428%
<2026%

$7.1K Vol.weekly

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 318%
October 313%

$4.2K Vol.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

0-589%
5-107%

$20.2K Vol.monthly

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$273.6K Vol.2 months left

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 896%

$65.0K Vol.monthly

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M65%
270M6%

$32.7K Vol.monthly