Tech

166 events

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 30>99%
- October 3197%
$1.6M Vol.

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Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA76%
Apple22%

$8.1M Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google71%
Anthropic27%

$2.3M Vol.monthly

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202722%

$567.5K Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

081%
112%

$334.0K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202718%

$691.7K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3196%
October 3167%

$350.0K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google43%
Anthropic42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA91%
Apple8%

$266.7K Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+85%
50%+77%

$66.2K Vol.

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1393%
October 303%

$56.1K Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202721%

$743.0K Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3187%
October 135%

$47.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google50%
Anthropic39%

$282.6K Vol.monthly

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 202761%
11–14B10%

$150.9K Vol.

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3099%
October 3197%

$48.0K Vol.

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet84%
Microsoft16%

$49.9K Vol.monthly

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202922%
December 31, 202819%

$1.7M Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202720%

$202.6K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3186%
October 3120%

$235.5K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI59%
Google38%

$9.4K Vol.weekly

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026

Lindsay Clancy80%
Bad Bunny64%

$17.5K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi43%
Alibaba39%

$202.4K Vol.monthly

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202710%

$3.4M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3131%
October 1314%

$49.2K Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+79%
50%+77%

$41.2K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft33%
Anthropic23%

$29.5K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+96%
1420+89%

$48.0K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google46%
OpenAI38%

$5.2K Vol.weekly

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+72%
60%+38%

$139.2K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$826.2K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$290.0K Vol.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

92%chance

$337.5K Vol.2 months left

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1490+86%
1480+84%

$7.6K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3140%
November 3036%

$1.6M Vol.

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$155.7K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI6%

$73.5K Vol.monthly

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$252.6K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal11%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

93%chance

$109.7K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3152%
October 1510%

$25.2K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google73%
Anthropic20%

$75.3K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 223%

$103.6K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202620%

$433.2K Vol.

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

Lindsay Clancy37%
Nicolás Maduro21%

$203.0K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+83%
50%+39%

$7.5K Vol.

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

3-6 hours49%
6-12 hours37%

$15.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta72%
Xiaomi20%

$61.5K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Lindsay Clancy23%
Erling Haaland17%

$338.5K Vol.

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?63%
March 31, 202757%

$61.4K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+67%
319%

$22.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic75%
OpenAI11%

$49.3K Vol.monthly

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

4%chance

$846.1K Vol.37 days left

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.6K Vol.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202760%
June 30, 202746%

$1.3M Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI29%
Google24%

$14.8K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI70%
Anthropic26%

$27.4K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

Obsession41%
The Odyssey39%

$241.0K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3113%
October 163%

$35.3K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek84%
Google10%

$2.2K Vol.weekly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+77%
1490+76%

$19.9K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

San Diego, CA82%
Denver, CO80%

$64.0K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba39%
Xiaomi31%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+59%
65%+32%

$102.8K Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high90%
Other10%

$6.6K Vol.weekly

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 202719%
December 31, 20266%

$3.0M Vol.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Muse from Meta86%
ChatGPT14%

$2.4K Vol.weekly

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-740%
8-1032%

$9.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+79%
$6.00-$6.5019%

$42.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+79%
$6.50-$7.008%

$99.7K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4549%
↓ $4042%

$8.9K Vol.annual

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$37.8K Vol.

Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026

The Odyssey95%
Obsession86%

$22.7K Vol.

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

Dolly Parton62%
Hayden Panettiere15%

$125.3K Vol.

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202767%
September 30, 202733%

$178.2K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI62%
Anthropic9%

$57.1K Vol.monthly

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#16%

$276.0K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic64%
Google20%

$54.5K Vol.monthly

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple93%
NVIDIA4%

$22.5K Vol.monthly

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202926%
December 31, 202820%

$253.9K Vol.

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple66%
Alphabet14%

$29.8K Vol.monthly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+67%
60%+49%

$155.1K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic77%
OpenAI14%

$18.4K Vol.monthly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+73%
50%+41%

$101.3K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic54%
OpenAI11%

$212.2K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+81%
50%+81%

$110.7K Vol.

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 3111%
October 319%

$5.8K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202719%

$688.4K Vol.

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Shadowrocket96%
Procreate Pocket2%

$1.1K Vol.weekly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta45%
Alibaba14%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google47%
Moonshot20%

$64.2K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3028%
October 3113%

$24.4K Vol.

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2579%
↑ $3057%

$13.6K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google52%
Anthropic43%

$31.2K Vol.monthly

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3164%
October 1518%

$24.6K Vol.

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

December 3167%
November 3061%

$3.1K Vol.monthly

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4039%
↑ $6034%

$11.6K Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202743%
December 31, 20268%

$77.4K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

240%
338%

$775.9 Vol.

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

2%chance

$775.8 Vol.8 months left

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?

Euphoria26%
Stranger Things17%

$124.2K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+44%
45%+40%

$102.6K Vol.

Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026

Euphoria56%
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms56%

$24.2K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0024%
$2.00-$2.5018%

$68.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic88%
Meta7%

$30.4K Vol.monthly

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?

$1.00-$1.10T40%
$900B-$1.00T35%

$10.5K Vol.monthly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T47%
725T+32%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet64%
Microsoft27%

$69.5K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+75%
$50+48%

$5.3K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+82%
55%+73%

$6.8K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Google38%
Anthropic35%

$13.0K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2536%
↓ $1535%

$10.0K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+28%
1490+28%

$269.8K Vol.

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3184%
November 3078%

$6.9K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3028%
October 3113%

$9.6K Vol.

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft17%
Meta17%

$101.0K Vol.

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

India78%
Starlink50%

$1.0K Vol.weekly

#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?

Dolly Parton54%
Hayden Panettiere20%

$95.3K Vol.

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+57%
50%+44%

$156.9K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Google39%
Anthropic37%

$14.0K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20262%

$484.3K Vol.

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4048%
↓ $4547%

$19.7K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI83%
SpaceXAI8%

$13.9K Vol.monthly

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

December 3133%
October 3118%

$4.4K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic55%
Google42%

$69.9K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

$7.00-$7.5027%
<$7.0023%

$8.8K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3171%
November 3054%

$4.4K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

60%chance

$3.6K Vol.1 year left

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic88%
OpenAI9%

$105.4K Vol.monthly

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines42%
Anduril21%

$214.3K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google56%
OpenAI28%

$35.9K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+85%
1520+50%

$7.3K Vol.

#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Erling Haaland22%
Bad Bunny19%

$25.7K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI55%
Anthropic17%

$14.4K Vol.monthly

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

HotSchedules81%
Shadowrocket15%

$424.3 Vol.weekly

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta66%
Moonshot12%

$57.0K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Anthropic36%
Meta10%

$17.8K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google30%
Alibaba17%

$12.9K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

$OAI46%
$OPAI33%

$21.1K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta37%
OpenAI19%

$25.9K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+52%
$0.50-$0.5514%

$52.0K Vol.monthly

AWS service disrupted by...?

November 3028%
October 3125%

$14.0K Vol.monthly

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+63%

$3.9K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai40%
Meta33%

$61.2K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI81%
Anthropic11%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Google41%
Anthropic41%

$23.9K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google42%
Anthropic36%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?

Erling Braut Haaland45%
Alysa Liu22%

$80.6K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba37%
Moonshot20%

$6.5K Vol.monthly

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba38%
Xiaomi31%

$52.1K Vol.monthly

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture20%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)19%

$59.6K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI87%
Google8%

$40.5K Vol.monthly

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

75%34%
80%22%

$35.4K Vol.

SSI public model released by…?

December 3158%
November 3056%

$132.7K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Google19%
Meta19%

$10.6K Vol.monthly

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
DeepSeek19%

$122.9K Vol.

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

December 3137%
October 313%

$995.9K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic72%
Google25%

$38.6K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3061%
October 3133%

$10.1K Vol.

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Muse Fire9%
Muse Blaze4%

$103.3K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+86%
1510+83%

$4.9K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Google16%
OpenAI8%

$4.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

OpenAI85%
SpaceXAI4%

$24.9K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 154036%
↑ 155025%

$223.2K Vol.daily

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

Google35%
OpenAI21%

$10.4K Vol.monthly

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?

December 3126%
October 312%

$3.1K Vol.