All markets
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?
79%chance
- Yes78.5%
Outcomes
- Yes79%
78.5¢ per share
- No22%
21.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 78.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 78¢ | 451.17 | $351.91 |
| 77¢ | 84.8 | $65.30 |
| 76¢ | 60 | $45.60 |
| 75¢ | 20 | $15.00 |
| 62¢ | 10 | $6.20 |
| 17¢ | 8.36 | $1.42 |
| 13¢ | 12.5 | $1.63 |
| 10¢ | 8.33 | $0.83 |
| 5¢ | 10.4 | $0.52 |
| 4¢ | 13 | $0.52 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 79¢ | 293.21 | $231.64 |
| 80¢ | 182 | $145.60 |
| 81¢ | 217 | $175.77 |
| 82¢ | 299.99 | $245.99 |
| 88¢ | 20.1 | $17.69 |
| 89¢ | 32.61 | $29.02 |
| 90¢ | 21 | $18.90 |
| 92¢ | 5.34 | $4.91 |
| 93¢ | 71.4 | $66.40 |
| 96¢ | 36.64 | $35.17 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.