AI

120 events

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Google69%
- Anthropic31%
$2.5M Vol.monthly

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia18%
China10%

$83.5K Vol.

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T89%
↑$1.75T73%

$5.5M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T28%
$2.0–$2.25T26%

$1.6M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3198%
October 3189%

$448.0K Vol.

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202718%

$3.9M Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+>99%
50%+>99%

$150.8K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic45%
Google41%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT30%
CATL24%

$506.3K Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202820%
December 31, 202713%

$682.8K Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+>99%
45%+>99%

$64.5K Vol.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+>99%
50%+>99%

$90.5K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3195%
October 3127%

$275.8K Vol.

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+23%
65%+8%

$136.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 1519%
October 1619%

$77.1K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202722%

$224.7K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+>99%
50%+<1%

$22.5K Vol.

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+38%
65%+18%

$169.5K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Anthropic39%
Microsoft28%

$40.9K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta36%
Anthropic28%

$33.5K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+92%
1420+79%

$62.6K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Tampa, FL>99%
San Diego, CA92%

$71.0K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+35%
1495+26%

$284.1K Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

077%
113%

$341.7K Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202723%
December 31, 202612%

$29.9K Vol.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202658%
January 202719%

$379.5K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

17%chance

$76.7K Vol.2 months left

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1586%
16-197%

$190.9K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+90%
1510+84%

$11.6K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google51%
Moonshot25%

$69.3K Vol.monthly

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202713%

$720.9K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta36%
Anthropic29%

$18.3K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3137%
November 3027%

$1.6M Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

October 3173%
November 3056%

$13.4K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta64%
Alibaba13%

$16.3K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic42%
Meta28%

$35.1K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

Meta41%
Anthropic20%

$20.6K Vol.monthly

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google57%
OpenAI37%

$15.5K Vol.weekly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+66%
1.5–1.8T20%

$519.6K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi57%
Alibaba27%

$208.8K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+55%
No IPO by December 31, 202721%

$468.2K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3192%
October 204%

$112.1K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic63%
Google23%

$61.0K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic28%
Meta24%

$21.9K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+41%
65%+25%

$107.1K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic51%
Meta45%

$69.6K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3191%
October 185%

$51.7K Vol.

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T89%
$1.75T75%

$15.0K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202835%
December 31, 202716%

$713.4K Vol.

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

December 31, 202831%
December 31, 202712%

$27.1K Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+40%
$1.20-$1.30T18%

$11.6K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Moonshot28%
Alibaba25%

$34.7K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+99%
55%+74%

$9.6K Vol.

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3187%
November 3068%

$9.2K Vol.

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202787%
June 30, 202743%

$16.9K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic92%
OpenAI5%

$76.9K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai40%
Meta32%

$63.0K Vol.monthly

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202720%

$575.2K Vol.

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$200B83%
↑$225B21%

$145.0K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google54%
Anthropic38%

$291.2K Vol.monthly

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek94%
Google4%

$7.7K Vol.weekly

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T39%
$2.00–$2.25T30%

$142.0K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI44%
Google32%

$8.2K Vol.weekly

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high92%
Other6%

$8.8K Vol.weekly

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$254.1K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics13%
PayPal12%

$18.4M Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

9%chance

$20.5K Vol.2 months left

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202623%

$437.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI25%

$51.3K Vol.monthly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T60%
625-675T18%

$16.9K Vol.monthly

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+44%
434%

$24.2K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+86%
$50+41%

$7.5K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+49%
$5.00-$5.5024%

$52.7K Vol.monthly

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$292.5K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+81%
60%+38%

$141.9K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta81%
Alibaba7%

$63.0K Vol.monthly

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic57%
OpenAI12%

$214.2K Vol.monthly

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202762%
$40B-$50B14%

$37.4K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B88%
$1T72%

$1.6M Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google72%
Anthropic25%

$76.4K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta46%
Anthropic31%

$57.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

MiniMax81%
Google18%

$22.2K Vol.

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+21%
60%+11%

$86.2K Vol.

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4547%
↓ $4042%

$20.9K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Anthropic65%
OpenAI18%

$17.0K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high76%
Other17%

$4.8K Vol.weekly

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+60%
50%+44%

$157.9K Vol.

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

None in 202668%
Google16%

$134.5K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3153%
October 153%

$26.4K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic88%
OpenAI11%

$106.5K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4048%
↓ $3048%

$9.9K Vol.annual

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$60.4K Vol.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

22%chance

$62.1K Vol.2 months left

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

223%
322%

$1.7K Vol.

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3081%
October 3136%

$10.5K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI64%
Google21%

$61.3K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google33%
OpenAI22%

$16.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0059%
↑ $7.0051%

$21.9K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+35%
45%+29%

$104.3K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+66%
$0.50-$0.5518%

$52.7K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+94%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$525.5K Vol.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+79%
50%+44%

$102.2K Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T47%
$1.10-$1.20T26%

$14.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

$5.50-$6.0018%
$4.50-$5.0018%

$29.2K Vol.monthly

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-742%
8-1026%

$10.4K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$54.4K Vol.

SSI public model released by…?

December 3139%
November 3039%

$133.7K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google55%
Anthropic37%

$32.2K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T72%
↑$1.5T26%

$1.3M Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba27%
Xiaomi24%

$10.8K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156048%
158017%

$237.7K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2575%
↑ $3061%

$14.3K Vol.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202620%
October 31, 20262%

$484.8K Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202741%
December 31, 202611%

$78.0K Vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4049%
↑ $6034%

$12.9K Vol.

$38.5K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Z.ai17%
Microsoft16%

$101.6K Vol.

AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?