Iran

98 events

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1597%
- October 3181%
$12.0M Vol.monthly

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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3167%
December 3143%

$39.6M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1597%
October 3183%

$34.2M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.1M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$74.3K Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

1%chance

$2.3M Vol.18 days left

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 318%
October 311%

$75.9M Vol.

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3124%
October 318%

$243.3K Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202721%
December 3112%

$27.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$45.3K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$148.2K Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

16%chance

$14.7M Vol.2 months left

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3142%
November 3038%

$315.4K Vol.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3137%
November 3028%

$3.0M Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.2K Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3118%
November 3011%

$16.9M Vol.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3025%

$1.8M Vol.

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

November 3069%
October 3153%

$100.8K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$173.3K Vol.21 days left

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?

25-2944%
30-3430%

$50.3K Vol.weekly

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3122%
October 315%

$7.4M Vol.

Crude Oil all time high by...?

March 31, 202718%
December 3111%

$4.8M Vol.

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 3118%
October 317%

$3.5M Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202643%
November 30, 202633%

$701.4K Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 3124%
November 3017%

$522.4K Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M53%
270M8%

$32.4K Vol.monthly

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3128%
October 318%

$10.2M Vol.

$19.5K Vol.

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

7%chance

$825.3K Vol.18 days left

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3124%
October 318%

$342.8K Vol.

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%chance

$544.3K Vol.2 months left

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
2.0 - 2.5M23%

$114.5K Vol.monthly

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$50.5K Vol.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Steve Witkoff43%
Jared Kushner42%

$1.3M Vol.

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

October 3173%
November 3068%

$4.4K Vol.

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 3165%
October 1563%

$13.6K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

17%chance

$502.7K Vol.2 months left

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

October 3169%
October 2034%

$3.7K Vol.

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

$557.2K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

October 595%
October 1195%

$12.0K Vol.monthly

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 314%
October 313%

$1.1M Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 3112%
October 315%

$2.6K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 318%
October 154%

$22.0K Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202734%
June 30, 202730%

$8.5M Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+49%
2.7-2.8M19%

$42.7K Vol.monthly

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

0-584%
5-106%

$19.6K Vol.monthly

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?

25-2953%
20-2420%

$43.4K Vol.monthly

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3154%
Qatar19%

$155.3K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$273.4K Vol.2 months left

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?

25-2924%
<2022%

$5.9K Vol.weekly

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3127%
October 3112%

$63.8K Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 896%

$64.1K Vol.monthly

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%chance

$8.5K Vol.18 days left

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?

190-20935%
170-18928%

$5.6K Vol.weekly

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

25%chance

$19.0K Vol.2 months left

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

7%chance

$5.8K Vol.18 days left

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

December 3126%
October 318%

$329.3K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

11%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

30M+96%
31M+90%

$36.1K Vol.monthly

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

October 3183%
October 152%

$10.7K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.4K Vol.8 months left

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3141%
October 1514%

$131.6K Vol.

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?

190-20938%
210-22936%

$7.5K Vol.weekly

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?

25-2927%
30-3426%

$386.1 Vol.weekly

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

473%
514%

$7.6M Vol.

Houthis target Syria by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$4.1K Vol.

Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$7.0K Vol.

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

9%chance

$20.5K Vol.17 days left

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

14%chance

$6.5K Vol.18 days left

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

November 3055%
October 3124%

$17.4K Vol.

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

16%chance

$3.4K Vol.2 months left

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

14%chance

$25.9K Vol.2 months left

US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?

10%chance

$2.1K Vol.18 days left

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?

October 3134%
December 3134%

$6.5K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.3K Vol.1 year left

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

6%chance

$974.4 Vol.17 days left

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 3028%
October 317%

$97.2K Vol.

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

30M+91%
31M+85%

$33.3K Vol.monthly

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

4%chance

$119.8K Vol.2 months left

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

30%chance

$27.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

October 3113%
October 1510%

$24.1K Vol.

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

6%chance

$4.7K Vol.18 days left

IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?

December 3140%
October 3131%

$3.9K Vol.

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Oman by...?

November 3014%
October 314%

$45.1K Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%chance

$861.8K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

3%chance

$641.4K Vol.2 months left

Iran

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?