All markets
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?
14%chance
- Yes14.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
14.5¢ per share
- No86%
85.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 14.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13¢ | 101.59 | $13.21 |
| 12¢ | 86.62 | $10.39 |
| 10¢ | 211.12 | $21.11 |
| 5¢ | 10.23 | $0.51 |
| 4¢ | 474 | $18.96 |
| 3¢ | 540.73 | $16.22 |
| 2¢ | 983.93 | $19.68 |
| 1¢ | 2,865.21 | $28.65 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | 46.66 | $7.47 |
| 17¢ | 125.33 | $21.31 |
| 20¢ | 100 | $20.00 |
| 22¢ | 60 | $13.20 |
| 41¢ | 6 | $2.46 |
| 58¢ | 86.52 | $50.18 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
| 61¢ | 5.12 | $3.12 |
| 62¢ | 425 | $263.50 |
| 65¢ | 2,857.14 | $1,857.14 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.