All markets

Fed Decision in October?

• No change73%YesNo
• 25 bps increase28%YesNo

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

• December 31, 202828%YesNo
• December 31, 202713%YesNo

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B

• PARIVISION9%
• BetBoom Team92%

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro77%YesNo
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%YesNo

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

• San Francisco 49ers13%YesNo
• Buffalo Bills12%YesNo

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona24%YesNo
• Paris Saint-Germain16%YesNo

Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston

• 16Western Kentucky100%
• 3Sam Houston0%

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

• 320-33938%YesNo
• 340-35932%YesNo

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

• 0Rays31%
• 1Guardians70%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

• Harry Kane64%YesNo
• Lamine Yamal29%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen47%YesNo
• Édouard Philippe20%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↑ 85,00066%YesNo
• ↓ 80,00062%YesNo

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD Vance21%YesNo
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B

• Legacy43%
• FURIA57%

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party91%YesNo
• Republican Party10%YesNo

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep63%YesNo
• R Senate, D House28%YesNo

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot49%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu28%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,00060%YesNo
• ↑ 95,00039%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

• No Hormuz Agreement94%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; R Senate4%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,000>99%YesNo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

• March 3160%YesNo
• December 3137%YesNo

Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Yangon Galacticos0%
• InterActive Philippines100%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%YesNo
• Gavin Newsom15%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 15?

• ↑ 83,00040%YesNo
• ↑ 84,0008%YesNo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance49%YesNo
• Marco Rubio14%YesNo

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 15>99%YesNo
• October 1894%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement96%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate2%YesNo

NBA: 2027 Champion

• San Antonio Spurs22%YesNo
• Oklahoma City Thunder20%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 84,00043%YesNo
• ↑ 86,00010%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%42%YesNo
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%31%YesNo

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

• Cloud932%
• Karmine Corp69%

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

• ↓ 2,40089%YesNo
• ↑ 2,50076%YesNo

Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club - More Markets

• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

KKS Lech Poznań vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - More Markets

• O/U 0.598%YesNo
• Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 0.596%YesNo

Seahawks vs. Broncos

• Seahawks56%
• Broncos44%

Largest Company end of December 2026?

• NVIDIA67%YesNo
• Apple32%YesNo

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC

• 0Olympique Lyonnais37%
• 0Crystal Palace FC64%

Maia: Tristan Boyer vs Vilius Gaubas

• 2T. Boyer>99%
• 1V. Gaubas<1%

Mallorca: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Rebeka Masarova

• 1A. Olmo57%
• 1R. Masarova43%

FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan

• 0FC Red Bull Salzburg22%
• 0AC Milan79%

HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax

• 0HNK Hajduk Split21%
• 0AFC Ajax80%

SC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC - More Markets

• O/U 0.594%YesNo
• 1st Half O/U 0.581%YesNo

EPL: 2027 Champion

• Arsenal63%YesNo
• Manchester City19%YesNo

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO5) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Yellow Submarine>99%
• Kalmychata<1%

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

• 320-33915%YesNo
• 300-31914%YesNo

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona81%YesNo
• Real Madrid16%YesNo

Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club - More Markets

• O/U 4.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo

AZ vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva - More Markets

• O/U 0.596%YesNo
• AZ O/U 0.591%YesNo

MLB World Series Champion 2026

• Milwaukee Brewers57%YesNo
• Tampa Bay Rays23%YesNo

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. FC Midtjylland

• 0KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë17%
• 0FC Midtjylland84%

AC Sparta Praha vs. Lillestrøm SK - More Markets

• O/U 0.596%YesNo
• AC Sparta Praha O/U 0.588%YesNo

Olbia: Maxim Mrva vs Francesco Maestrelli

• 2M. Mrva>99%
• 0F. Maestrelli<1%

Ethereum above ___ on October 16?

• 2,000>99%YesNo
• 2,100>99%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

• ↓ 2,25062%YesNo
• ↑ 3,00035%YesNo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

• ↑ $10067%YesNo
• ↓ $9550%YesNo

Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club - More Markets

• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo

HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax - More Markets

• O/U 0.595%YesNo
• AFC Ajax O/U 0.591%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $80; D Senate55%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNo

Olimpia Milano vs. BC Dubai

• Olimpia Milano47%
• Dubai54%

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google71%YesNo
• Anthropic28%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 2,50045%YesNo
• ↓ 2,30014%YesNo

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo
• Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Lisbon: Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones

• 0F. Jorge0%
• 2F. Jones100%

Colorado State vs. Texas State

• Colorado State16%
• Texas State85%

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar61%YesNo
• Likud40%YesNo

Worlds 2026: Winner

• Gen.G31%YesNo
• Hanwha Life Esports19%YesNo

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D

• MIBR64%
• BC.Game Esports36%

Roanne: Etienne Donnet vs Matteo Martineau

• 1Etienne Donnet6%
• 1M. Martineau95%

Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,00099%YesNo

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

• December 3130%YesNo
• November 3022%YesNo

Islanders vs. Senators

• Islanders40%
• Senators61%

AC Sparta Praha vs. Lillestrøm SK

• 0AC Sparta Praha69%
• 0Lillestrøm SK32%

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase79%YesNo
• No change19%YesNo

Anthropic IPO by __?

• December 31, 202675%YesNo
• December 15, 202673%YesNo

Alaska Senate Election Winner

• Mary Peltola74%YesNo
• Sen. Dan Sullivan26%YesNo

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

• Abbas Araghchi37%YesNo
• Steve Witkoff35%YesNo

Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

• Team Vitality44%
• LOUD56%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 314%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15?

• 29°C>99%YesNo
• 31°C<1%YesNo

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $1B3%YesNo
• $100M2%YesNo

Bears vs. Falcons

• Bears52%
• Falcons49%

Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 15?

• 23°C>99%YesNo
• 16°C or below<1%YesNo

Texas Senate Election Winner

• James Talarico (D)64%YesNo
• Ken Paxton (R)38%YesNo

Kentucky vs. Oklahoma

• Kentucky32%
• Oklahoma68%

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

• CXMT31%YesNo
• CATL24%YesNo

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona

• Paris Saint Germain41%
• Barcelona60%

Bitcoin price on October 15?

• 80,000-82,00071%YesNo
• 82,000-84,00019%YesNo

Fed Decision in January?

• No change56%YesNo
• 25 bps increase41%YesNo

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 15?

• 21°C>99%YesNo
• 22°C<1%YesNo

STRC hits $100 by…

• November 3084%YesNo
• December 3184%YesNo

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 15?

• 16°C>99%YesNo
• 11°C or below<1%YesNo

Gangwon FC vs. Phnom Penh Crown FC

• Gangwon FC75%
• Phnom Penh Crown FC25%

Houthis enter Aden by...?

• December 3127%YesNo
• November 3016%YesNo

Largest Company end of October 2026?

• NVIDIA75%YesNo
• Apple24%YesNo

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

• Nicolás Maduro68%YesNo
• Delcy Rodríguez24%YesNo

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

• October 1694%YesNo
• October 1793%YesNo

Nevada Governor Election Winner

• Aaron Ford (D)52%YesNo
• Joe Lombardo (R)48%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

• December 3146%YesNo
• November 3032%YesNo

Serie A: 2027 Champion

• Inter Milan59%YesNo
• Roma12%YesNo

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

• December 31, 202928%YesNo
• December 31, 202823%YesNo

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

• December 317%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

• October 15>99%YesNo
• October 1898%YesNo

Brisbane Bullets vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix

• Brisbane Bullets65%
• South East Melbourne Phoenix36%

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

• PARIVISION60%
• magic41%

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

• Chiang Wan-an65%YesNo
• Puma Shen36%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

• Magdalena Andersson79%YesNo
• Ulf Kristersson18%YesNo

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)68%YesNo
• 1 (25 bps)17%YesNo

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

• October 599%YesNo
• October 895%YesNo

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $100M98%YesNo
• $200M98%YesNo

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs

• Sabres49%
• Maple Leafs52%

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 15?

• 27°C>99%YesNo
• 19°C or below<1%YesNo

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - Total Corners

• AS Roma Corners: O/U 5.555%YesNo
• Total Corners: Odd or Even50%YesNo

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

• ↑ $4,20081%YesNo
• ↑ $4,30044%YesNo

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

• December 3198%YesNo
• October 3188%YesNo

Ethereum price on October 15?

• 2,300-2,40075%YesNo
• 2,400-2,50021%YesNo

What price will Solana hit in October?

• ↓ 10081%YesNo
• ↑ 11057%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

• Aleksandar Vučić69%YesNo
• Ilija Srdanović21%YesNo

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)97%YesNo
• 1 (25 bps)2%YesNo

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic45%YesNo
• Google40%YesNo

Highest temperature in Singapore on October 15?

• 31°C>99%YesNo
• 32°C<1%YesNo

Utah vs. Oilers

• Utah48%
• Oilers53%

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 260-27913%YesNo
• 240-25912%YesNo

Notre Dame vs. BYU

• Notre Dame79%
• BYU22%

Cardinals vs. Cowboys

• Cardinals31%
• Cowboys70%

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

• Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia62%YesNo
• Student List – Students Win39%YesNo

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 15?

• 24°C>99%YesNo
• 19°C or below<1%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

• December 31, 202769%YesNo
• November 30, 202767%YesNo

New York Governor Election Winner

• Kathy Hochul (D)95%YesNo
• Bruce Blakeman (R)5%YesNo

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike63%YesNo
• Hike–Hike–Hike14%YesNo

M25 Luanda: Allan Gatoto vs Alec Beckley

• Allan Gatoto>99%
• Alec Beckley<1%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?

• ↓ $9014%YesNo
• ↑ $1004%YesNo

Highest temperature in NYC on October 15?

• 66-67°F96%YesNo
• 68-69°F3%YesNo

Next leader out of power before 2027?

• None before 202746%YesNo
• Netanyahu - Israel PM29%YesNo

Panthers vs. Eagles

• Panthers51%
• Eagles50%

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?

• ↑ $5793%YesNo
• ↑ $5848%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

• Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%YesNo
• Pedro Sánchez17%YesNo

Israel military action against Syria by...?

• November 3029%YesNo
• October 3122%YesNo

NY-23 House Election Winner

• Nick Langworthy (R)97%YesNo
• Aaron Gies (D)2%YesNo

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

• Somaliland12%YesNo
• Kuwait7%YesNo

Vikings vs. Lions

• Vikings54%
• Lions47%

Highest temperature in Manila on October 15?

• 34°C>99%YesNo
• 27°C or below<1%YesNo

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

• December 31, 202752%YesNo
• December 31, 202614%YesNo

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 15?

• 22°C>99%YesNo
• 17°C or below<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Paris on October 15?

• 24°C45%YesNo
• 23°C37%YesNo

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris - More Markets

• O/U 0.599%YesNo
• Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 0.598%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,00099%YesNo

Cowboys vs. Packers

• Cowboys48%
• Packers53%

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

• Josh Allen25%YesNo
• Brock Purdy24%YesNo

Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Yangon Galacticos99%
• Ivory1%

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

• December 31, 202925%YesNo
• December 31, 202819%YesNo

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

• December 3113%YesNo
• November 307%YesNo

Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor - More Markets

• O/U 0.599%YesNo
• Boluspor O/U 0.585%YesNo

Gangwon FC vs. Phnom Penh Crown FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.597%YesNo
• O/U 1.588%YesNo

Flames vs. Golden Knights

• Flames26%
• Golden Knights75%

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.4%37%YesNo
• 5.5%22%YesNo

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

• Together77%YesNo
• The Democrats8%YesNo

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

• December 31, 202763%YesNo
• June 30, 202745%YesNo

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

• December 3132%YesNo
• October 315%YesNo

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

• Olivia Chow72%YesNo
• Brad Bradford28%YesNo

Highest temperature in Denver on October 15?

• 54-55°F38%YesNo
• 52-53°F36%YesNo

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK

• TSG 1899 Hoffenheim49%
• Beşiktaş JK52%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

• LCK (South Korea)69%YesNo
• LPL (China)23%YesNo

Ravens vs. Bills

• Ravens30%
• Bills71%

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 15?

• 33°C>99%YesNo
• 29°C or below<1%YesNo

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

• Below 5.20%45%YesNo
• Below 5.15%41%YesNo

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 15?

• 29°C>99%YesNo
• 26°C or below<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 15?

• 25°C>99%YesNo
• 26°C<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 15?

• 15°C90%YesNo
• 16°C8%YesNo

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

• December 31, 202638%YesNo
• November 30, 202625%YesNo

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

• December 31, 202824%YesNo
• December 31, 202717%YesNo

SC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC

• SC União Torreense10%
• Sunderland AFC91%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

• December 3133%YesNo
• November 3024%YesNo

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 15?

• 30°C>99%YesNo
• 25°C or below<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 15?

• 86-87°F37%YesNo
• 88-89°F27%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?

• 65-8934%YesNo
• 40-6428%YesNo

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

• ↑ $5878%YesNo
• ↓ $5454%YesNo

MN-06 House Election Winner

• Tom Emmer (R)96%YesNo
• Doug Chapin (D)3%YesNo