
33%chance
32.5¢ per share
67.5¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 31¢ | 233.5 | $72.39 |
| 30¢ | 100 | $30.00 |
| 29¢ | 50 | $14.50 |
| 28¢ | 75 | $21.00 |
| 27¢ | 5 | $1.35 |
| 25¢ | 70 | $17.50 |
| 23¢ | 66.77 | $15.36 |
| 22¢ | 113.59 | $24.99 |
| 21¢ | 20 | $4.20 |
| 20¢ | 10 | $2.00 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 34¢ | 20 | $6.80 |
| 35¢ | 313.84 | $109.84 |
| 36¢ | 50 | $18.00 |
| 37¢ | 124 | $45.88 |
| 38¢ | 111.18 | $42.25 |
| 40¢ | 121.5 | $48.60 |
| 41¢ | 160 | $65.60 |
| 44¢ | 36.5 | $16.06 |
| 46¢ | 30 | $13.80 |
| 48¢ | 105 | $50.40 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.