All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
41%chance
- Yes40.5%
Outcomes
- Yes41%
40.5¢ per share
- No60%
59.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 40.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 40¢ | 316.7 | $126.68 |
| 39¢ | 1,055.16 | $411.51 |
| 38¢ | 239.45 | $90.99 |
| 37¢ | 157 | $58.09 |
| 36¢ | 18 | $6.48 |
| 35¢ | 500 | $175.00 |
| 34¢ | 21 | $7.14 |
| 33¢ | 10 | $3.30 |
| 32¢ | 30 | $9.60 |
| 31¢ | 55 | $17.05 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 41¢ | 683.47 | $280.22 |
| 42¢ | 1,084.15 | $455.34 |
| 43¢ | 405.02 | $174.16 |
| 44¢ | 227.8 | $100.23 |
| 45¢ | 551.21 | $248.04 |
| 46¢ | 83.73 | $38.52 |
| 47¢ | 259.94 | $122.17 |
| 48¢ | 234.48 | $112.55 |
| 49¢ | 328 | $160.72 |
| 50¢ | 268 | $134.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.