Tech

213 events

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
- December 31, 202827%
- December 31, 202720%
$3.7M Vol.

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Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 30>99%
October 2399%

$1.7M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google69%
Anthropic28%

$2.3M Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3180%

$365.2K Vol.

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1395%
October 143%

$75.9K Vol.

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA77%
Apple22%

$8.1M Vol.monthly

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google43%
Anthropic42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA92%
Apple8%

$284.5K Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+85%
50%+82%

$67.7K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google52%
Anthropic39%

$286.8K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 237%

$48.6K Vol.

Gemini Argon released by...?

October 3198%
November 3098%

$54.0K Vol.

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202922%
December 31, 202819%

$1.7M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3121%
October 1317%

$54.2K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+90%
1420+87%

$54.7K Vol.

$56.7K Vol.monthly

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3177%
October 3116%

$242.1K Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+78%
40%+78%

$41.8K Vol.

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple87%
NVIDIA10%

$28.6K Vol.monthly

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026

Lindsay Clancy80%
Bad Bunny59%

$17.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi49%
Alibaba33%

$204.7K Vol.monthly

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+78%
60%+38%

$140.4K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$827.7K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI57%
Google42%

$11.2K Vol.weekly

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

080%
112%

$335.6K Vol.

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

90%chance

$111.9K Vol.2 months left

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+85%
1490+78%

$9.4K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek86%
Google7%

$6.0K Vol.weekly

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$290.0K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta27%
Anthropic21%

$18.8K Vol.monthly

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202718%

$695.7K Vol.

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$155.9K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI54%
Google33%

$59.9K Vol.monthly

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft33%
Anthropic23%

$29.5K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202621%

$435.5K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3137%
November 3037%

$1.6M Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI49%
Google18%

$18.1K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3163%
October 1510%

$25.5K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI61%
Anthropic20%

$28.7K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 143%

$103.6K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google73%
Anthropic20%

$75.3K Vol.monthly

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

3-6 hours56%
6-12 hours33%

$17.3K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic92%
OpenAI5%

$75.0K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google25%
OpenAI19%

$15.7K Vol.monthly

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
DeepSeek19%

$126.2K Vol.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+51%
65%+33%

$104.0K Vol.

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

Lindsay Clancy37%
Nicolás Maduro21%

$203.2K Vol.

#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?

Dolly Parton54%
Hayden Panettiere14%

$97.7K Vol.

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high68%
Other20%

$2.8K Vol.weekly

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.8K Vol.

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

Dolly Parton62%
Oliver Tree9%

$127.2K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+82%
50%+52%

$8.8K Vol.

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202721%

$568.4K Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1568%
<1223%

$185.6K Vol.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202760%
June 30, 202746%

$1.3M Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+78%
1490+75%

$19.9K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3110%
October 163%

$35.3K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta68%
Xiaomi22%

$61.7K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba39%
Xiaomi29%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026

The Odyssey95%
Obsession86%

$23.5K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google52%
OpenAI28%

$37.4K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic74%
OpenAI15%

$49.4K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

Obsession42%
The Odyssey37%

$241.0K Vol.

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202767%
September 30, 202724%

$179.6K Vol.

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+76%
60%+45%

$155.9K Vol.

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3120%
October 1514%

$1.6K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Lindsay Clancy23%
Erling Haaland17%

$338.7K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic50%
Google35%

$30.9K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+86%
50%+80%

$111.3K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+77%
$6.00-$6.508%

$99.8K Vol.monthly

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+64%
320%

$22.9K Vol.monthly

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$37.9K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

San Diego, CA83%
Denver, CO80%

$64.1K Vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4051%
↓ $2544%

$12.2K Vol.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Muse from Meta86%
ChatGPT14%

$2.4K Vol.weekly

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 202761%
11–14B10%

$151.1K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-743%
8-1031%

$9.7K Vol.monthly

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?63%
March 31, 202756%

$61.8K Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4552%
↓ $4044%

$9.1K Vol.annual

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google56%
Anthropic42%

$31.6K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic68%
Meta20%

$54.7K Vol.monthly

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+86%
55%+68%

$120.0K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.00-$2.5019%
$3.00-$3.5018%

$69.4K Vol.monthly

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal11%
Viking Therapeutics10%

$18.4M Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+72%
$6.00-$6.5019%

$43.5K Vol.monthly

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple65%
NVIDIA17%

$30.7K Vol.monthly

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CATL26%
CXMT22%

$475.5K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+34%
1490+27%

$270.5K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#16%

$276.0K Vol.

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 3111%
October 319%

$5.8K Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202719%

$515.1K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic65%
Google33%

$39.6K Vol.monthly

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Shadowrocket96%
Procreate Pocket1%

$1.1K Vol.weekly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$3.00+31%
$2.75-$3.0028%

$34.9K Vol.monthly

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

HotSchedules95%
Shadowrocket5%

$880.4 Vol.weekly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google50%
Moonshot20%

$64.3K Vol.monthly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+83%
50%+50%

$101.5K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+83%
55%+57%

$7.0K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

340%
4+22%

$858.9 Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202742%
December 31, 20268%

$77.5K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202719%

$688.5K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic74%
OpenAI14%

$19.1K Vol.monthly

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

December 3167%
October 3151%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

2%chance

$775.8 Vol.8 months left

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google28%
OpenAI17%

$13.3K Vol.monthly

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3137%
November 3014%

$19.5K Vol.

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?

Euphoria26%
Stranger Things17%

$124.2K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI28%
SpaceXAI20%

$11.4K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI69%
SpaceXAI17%

$14.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic88%
Google5%

$30.4K Vol.monthly

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google49%
OpenAI44%

$5.4K Vol.weekly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+40%
45%+40%

$102.9K Vol.

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+60%
50%+46%

$157.0K Vol.

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4549%
↑ $5533%

$19.9K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.00-$3.2526%
$3.25+23%

$8.4K Vol.monthly

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

2%chance

$9.9K Vol.2 months left

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

5%chance

$199.9K Vol.2 months left

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Google36%
Anthropic29%

$14.2K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+75%
$50+41%

$5.4K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Google38%
Anthropic34%

$13.0K Vol.monthly

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202721%

$743.6K Vol.

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Starlink97%
India49%

$1.1K Vol.weekly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0034%
$8.00-$8.5018%

$9.1K Vol.monthly

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$252.6K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta46%
Alibaba14%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3040%
October 3115%

$44.1K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI89%
Google8%

$40.8K Vol.monthly

Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026

Erling Braut Haaland85%
Alysa Liu63%

$40.5K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3031%
October 3121%

$24.4K Vol.

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

December 3141%
October 3117%

$4.7K Vol.

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?

$900B-$1.00T35%
$1.00-$1.10T28%

$10.9K Vol.monthly

ChatGPT Outage by...?

October 3169%
October 1545%

$579.0 Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba32%
DeepSeek25%

$6.8K Vol.monthly

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

December 31>99%
October 31>99%

$1.1M Vol.

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 202719%
December 31, 20266%

$3.0M Vol.

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3171%
November 3056%

$4.4K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

58%chance

$3.6K Vol.1 year left

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3028%
October 3114%

$9.6K Vol.

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3186%
November 3080%

$6.9K Vol.

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T56%
725T+25%

$15.7K Vol.monthly

Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google in the US 2026

Dolly Parton94%
Hayden Panettiere93%

$16.1K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic88%
OpenAI9%

$105.4K Vol.monthly

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet57%
Microsoft35%

$69.7K Vol.monthly

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14)

Actually97%
Money97%

$4.9K Vol.weekly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI46%
Google23%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta37%
OpenAI22%

$25.9K Vol.monthly

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines45%
Anduril21%

$214.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI16%

$7.3K Vol.monthly

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic56%
OpenAI11%

$212.3K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3137%
December 3125%

$961.6 Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202711%
December 31, 202611%

$22.7K Vol.

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202923%
December 31, 202820%

$118.4K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Anthropic37%
Meta11%

$17.9K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta67%
Anthropic13%

$57.2K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Z.ai22%
Google18%

$101.1K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI81%
Anthropic12%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

75%34%
80%22%

$35.6K Vol.

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026

Lindsay Clancy75%
Erling Haaland49%

$37.9K Vol.

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3192%
October 3136%

$1.1K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Google36%
Anthropic35%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

4%chance

$846.3K Vol.37 days left

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3169%
November 3051%

$3.2K Vol.

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

November 3038%
October 3120%

$26.1K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1552%
↑ $2536%

$10.1K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai40%
Meta33%

$61.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0063%
$1.00-$1.2527%

$49.3K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?

Erling Braut Haaland45%
Alysa Liu22%

$80.6K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+51%
$0.55-$0.6026%

$52.1K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic42%
Google39%

$73.6K Vol.monthly

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

22%chance

$59.1K Vol.2 months left

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+63%

$3.9K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI24%
Google24%

$5.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.55-$0.6030%
<$0.5523%

$5.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI17%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3067%
October 3128%

$9.8K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic45%
Google34%

$24.0K Vol.monthly

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3045%
October 3144%

$2.7K Vol.monthly

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202720%

$202.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0056%
$1.00-$1.2522%

$15.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic39%
Google36%

$4.5K Vol.monthly

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

5%chance

$63.3K Vol.2 months left

Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?

19%chance

$6.5K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3147%
October 1517%

$246.0 Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic54%
Google41%

$70.0K Vol.monthly

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+72%
$50+49%

$5.8K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

157541%
160011%

$141.5K Vol.monthly

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture20%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)19%

$59.6K Vol.

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?

January 3170%
December 3145%

$235.0 Vol.

Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?

November 3042%
January 3141%

$564.6 Vol.monthly

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

$30.2K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI55%
Anthropic25%

$9.4K Vol.monthly

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3155%
October 3120%

$5.1K Vol.

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

November 3074%
October 3130%

$848.8 Vol.

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2570%
↑ $3058%

$13.7K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156050%
158017%

$236.8K Vol.monthly

SSI public model released by…?

December 3158%
November 3050%

$132.8K Vol.

Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026

A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms57%
Euphoria56%

$24.3K Vol.

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

$OAI45%
$OPAI28%

$21.2K Vol.

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%chance

$595.2K Vol.2 months left

Muse Charm released by...?

December 3154%
December 1545%

$2.3K Vol.

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

None in 202669%
Anthropic16%

$133.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

Anthropic68%
Google22%

$8.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

OpenAI85%
Google7%

$29.4K Vol.

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

34%chance

$123.6K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

43%chance

$1.6K Vol.1 year left

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 202726%
December 31, 20262%

$62.9K Vol.

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+34%
60%+19%

$85.0K Vol.

Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?

March 3163%
January 3130%

$599.0 Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic66%
Google24%

$53.5K Vol.monthly

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

December 3133%
October 3115%

$10.0K Vol.

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$454.2K Vol.