All markets
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
26%chance
- Yes25.9%
Outcomes
- Yes26%
25.9¢ per share
- No74%
74.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 25.9¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 25.8¢ | 506 | $130.55 |
| 25.7¢ | 706 | $181.44 |
| 25.4¢ | 283.78 | $72.08 |
| 24.8¢ | 50 | $12.40 |
| 24.6¢ | 450 | $110.70 |
| 24.5¢ | 220 | $53.90 |
| 24.3¢ | 82 | $19.93 |
| 24¢ | 50 | $12.00 |
| 23.8¢ | 468 | $111.38 |
| 23.6¢ | 69.84 | $16.48 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 25.9¢ | 1,026.26 | $265.80 |
| 26¢ | 1,009 | $262.34 |
| 26.3¢ | 443.04 | $116.52 |
| 26.9¢ | 50 | $13.45 |
| 27¢ | 300 | $81.00 |
| 27.2¢ | 220 | $59.84 |
| 27.4¢ | 50 | $13.70 |
| 27.9¢ | 430 | $119.97 |
| 28.5¢ | 50 | $14.25 |
| 29¢ | 55 | $15.95 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.