Macro Indicators

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase19%
$35.1M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change22%

$3.2M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change67%
25 bps increase30%

$435.1K Vol.monthly

September Inflation US - Annual

3.6%46%
3.7%40%

$247.3K Vol.monthly

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change91%
25 bps increase11%

$576.2K Vol.annual

September Inflation US - Monthly

0.6%61%
0.5%28%

$86.5K Vol.monthly

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

0.2%51%
0.3%29%

$68.2K Vol.monthly

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

25 bps decrease90%
No Change6%

$57.0K Vol.annual

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change89%
Decrease12%

$78.5K Vol.annual

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

3.0-3.4%39%
3.5-3.9%29%

$62.5K Vol.monthly

Bank of Russia decision in December?

No change59%
25 bps decrease36%

$11.0K Vol.annual

Price of Dozen Eggs in September?

$2.20 to $2.3050%
$2.10 to $2.2028%

$35.0K Vol.monthly

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

0.8-1.1%51%
1.2-1.5%35%

$70.1K Vol.annual

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

4.3-4.6%71%
4.6-4.9%16%

$67.6K Vol.monthly

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

2.4%46%
2.5%34%

$49.6K Vol.monthly

Bank of England decision in November?

25 bps increase92%
No change10%

$306.3K Vol.annual

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

2.5-3.0%34%
2.0-2.5%26%

$48.6K Vol.annual

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

3.0%+55%
2.8-3.0%17%

$38.9K Vol.

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.4–0.5%46%
0.2–0.3%22%

$35.3K Vol.monthly

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

3.5–3.9%60%
3.0–3.4%20%

$139.0K Vol.monthly

PPI YoY - September 2026

5.9%+32%
5.7%13%

$28.9K Vol.monthly

India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+98%
<0.75%<1%

$102.0K Vol.

ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026

51.0 to 51.924%
54.0 to 54.924%

$11.7K Vol.monthly

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

0.0 to 0.1%44%
0.2 to 0.3%28%

$28.1K Vol.monthly

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%55%
1.1 – 1.5%27%

$112.6K Vol.

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

2.0-2.4%85%
2.5-2.9%9%

$75.8K Vol.

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

No change77%
25 bps decrease21%

$53.9K Vol.annual

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

1.0-2.0%48%
0-1.0%44%

$57.8K Vol.monthly

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%5%
5.5%2%

$563.7K Vol.

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

≤1.9%80%
2.0-2.4%20%

$57.6K Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%78%
↑ 4.5%13%

$1.9M Vol.

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

2.7% to 2.9%46%
3.0%+41%

$55.5K Vol.

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

13%chance

$33.8K Vol.3 months left

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

25 bps increase76%
No change19%

$33.3K Vol.annual

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

7.4M+32%
<6.8M20%

$14.0K Vol.monthly

Core PCE YoY - September 2026

3.0%33%
3.1%27%

$14.6K Vol.monthly

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

25 bps decrease56%
50+ bps decrease26%

$24.2K Vol.annual

September Inflation UK - Annual

3.4-3.6%56%
3.7-3.9%19%

$23.0K Vol.monthly

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.50% to 3.99%57%
4.00% to 4.49%14%

$84.5K Vol.

ISM Services PMI - October 2026

53.0 to 53.923%
54.0 to 54.921%

$13.9K Vol.monthly

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

1-2%90%
0-1%6%

$111.6K Vol.

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 4.5%13%
Above 5%9%

$1.5M Vol.

Core PCE MoM - September 2026

0.2%36%
0.3%28%

$12.2K Vol.monthly

Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?

28%chance

$1.1K Vol.1 year left

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

90%Up

Up Down

$26.0K Vol.

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$7.000+59%
$9.000+30%

$23.0K Vol.

How many jobs added in October?

100k+30%
50k to 75k18%

$21.1K Vol.monthly

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?

No Change89%
Decrease12%

$8.6K Vol.monthly

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

45%Up

Up Down

$2.2K Vol.

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

3.1%+91%
2.8-3.0%3%

$119.2K Vol.

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

3%chance

$19.9K Vol.2 months left

Macro Indicators

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?

US announces another yen intervention by...?

Japan recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Will Argentina dollarize by...?