Economy

Fed Decision in October?
- No change82%
- 25 bps increase19%
$35.9M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change22%

$3.2M Vol.monthly

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

14%chance

$14.8M Vol.2 months left

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA80%
Apple16%

$8.2M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change67%
25 bps increase31%

$444.3K Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)97%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.1M Vol.

September Inflation US - Annual

3.6%45%
3.7%42%

$250.2K Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA95%
Apple5%

$290.7K Vol.monthly

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change91%
25 bps increase11%

$576.2K Vol.annual

September Inflation US - Monthly

0.6%56%
0.5%28%

$89.8K Vol.monthly

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

81%chance

$662.4K Vol.56 days left

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change97%
25 bps increase3%

$210.9K Vol.annual

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

0.2%43%
0.3%32%

$70.3K Vol.monthly

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change75%
25 bps increase24%

$118.9K Vol.annual

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet90%
Microsoft11%

$60.0K Vol.monthly

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike65%
Hike–Pause–Pause18%

$295.8K Vol.daily

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20%34%
Below 5.15%26%

$69.5K Vol.

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple91%
NVIDIA8%

$29.4K Vol.monthly

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

25 bps decrease88%
No Change5%

$57.3K Vol.annual

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%60%
5.5%33%

$976.1K Vol.weekly