Economy

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase20%
$33.8M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA76%
Apple21%

$8.1M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change65%
25 bps increase33%

$346.0K Vol.monthly

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change91%
25 bps increase11%

$555.4K Vol.annual

September Inflation US - Annual

3.6%44%
3.7%38%

$212.1K Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.1M Vol.

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA91%
Apple8%

$268.0K Vol.monthly

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike62%
Hike–Pause–Pause21%

$286.4K Vol.daily

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet84%
Microsoft16%

$49.9K Vol.monthly

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

0.2%51%
0.3%31%

$58.9K Vol.monthly

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M72%
270M8%

$31.0K Vol.monthly

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change74%
25 bps increase25%

$108.4K Vol.annual

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%55%
5.5%32%

$969.4K Vol.weekly

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

No Change74%
25 bps increase24%

$35.1K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
3.0 - 3.5M25%

$113.5K Vol.monthly

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change84%
25 bps increase15%

$171.2K Vol.annual

US recession by end of 2026?

8%chance

$2.3M Vol.3 months left

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.70%64%
5.80%48%

$211.1K Vol.

September Inflation US - Monthly

0.6%49%
0.5%35%

$74.6K Vol.monthly