Economic Policy

Fed Decision in October?
- No change83%
- 25 bps increase17%
$32.4M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change63%
25 bps increase34%

$334.7K Vol.monthly

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

No Change69%
25 bps increase26%

$33.9K Vol.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.1M Vol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

78%chance

$644.7K Vol.58 days left

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike66%
Hike–Pause–Pause19%

$274.6K Vol.daily

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase54%
No change43%

$93.2K Vol.annual

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%78%
↑ 4.5%9%

$1.9M Vol.

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting54%
June 2027 Meeting37%

$3.8M Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%67%
4.0%18%

$6.9M Vol.

Reserve Bank of India decision in December

25 bps increase65%
No Change21%

$10.7K Vol.monthly

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause64%
Pause-Pause-Pause10%

$28.2K Vol.daily

$53.2K Vol.monthly

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase66%
No change31%

$13.5K Vol.annual

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%17%
4.0%14%

$15.9K Vol.

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

1.3%+43%
1.0-1.2%42%

$63.0K Vol.annual

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

14%chance

$176.9K Vol.2 months left

Economic Policy

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2027?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?