Fed Rates

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase20%
$33.6M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change65%
25 bps increase33%

$345.7K Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.1M Vol.

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike62%
Hike–Pause–Pause21%

$286.4K Vol.daily

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%51%
5.5%28%

$968.2K Vol.weekly

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.70%63%
5.80%43%

$210.8K Vol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

80%chance

$647.3K Vol.57 days left

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%22%
4.75%15%

$19.4K Vol.

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause56%
Pause-Hike-Hike13%

$30.8K Vol.daily

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%84%
5.25%39%

$101.1K Vol.

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting53%
June 2027 Meeting36%

$3.8M Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.35%63%
5.32%62%

$24.3K Vol.weekly

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 5.18%60%
Below 5.15%51%

$12.6K Vol.weekly

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 5.55%73%
Below 5.52%71%

$13.0K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%51%
4.0%18%

$6.9M Vol.

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

4.86%77%
4.92%75%

$10.4K Vol.

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

031%
325%

$19.6K Vol.daily

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50%14%
Below 4.45%10%

$84.7K Vol.

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.70%37%
5.76%36%

$19.0K Vol.

How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.70%77%
Below 4.60%55%

$12.5K Vol.

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 4.92%52%
Below 4.95%50%

$9.8K Vol.

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.90%57%
5.00%44%

$14.8K Vol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 315%
November 303%

$27.1K Vol.

How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 4.73%75%
Below 4.67%57%

$5.2K Vol.

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20%22%
Below 5.15%17%

$59.5K Vol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

14%chance

$176.9K Vol.2 months left

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

045%
127%

$28.9K Vol.daily

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

4%chance

$244.9K Vol.2 months left

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

056%
324%

$21.1K Vol.daily

$350.3K Vol.

Fed Rates

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?