PredictFolio-4141
$1,280,547.50
+$1,208,906.34
$57,381,761.22
523 markets traded
+$1,197,583.51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No330,618.8 shares68.4¢ → 69.5¢ | 330,618.8 | 68.4¢ → 69.5¢ | $229,780.09 +$3,511.17 (+1.6%) |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No274,558.2 shares59.1¢ → 64.5¢ | 274,558.2 | 59.1¢ → 64.5¢ | $177,090.07 +$14,939.89 (+9.2%) |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No127,842.9 shares93.9¢ → 96.4¢ | 127,842.9 | 93.9¢ → 96.4¢ | $123,176.66 +$3,096.74 (+2.6%) |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No140,631.5 shares62.9¢ → 75.5¢ | 140,631.5 | 62.9¢ → 75.5¢ | $106,176.80 +$17,730.34 (+20%) |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No192,564 shares41.4¢ → 46.2¢ | 192,564 | 41.4¢ → 46.2¢ | $88,868.30 +$9,049.43 (+11.3%) |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No86,068.1 shares41.3¢ → 94.5¢ | 86,068.1 | 41.3¢ → 94.5¢ | $81,334.38 +$45,778.60 (+128.8%) |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes278,312.1 shares9.7¢ → 14.5¢ | 278,312.1 | 9.7¢ → 14.5¢ | $40,355.25 +$13,313.89 (+49.2%) |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes82,055.9 shares52.3¢ → 46.5¢ | 82,055.9 | 52.3¢ → 46.5¢ | $38,156.00 -$4,727.74 (-11%) |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes35,904.3 shares50.3¢ → 96.1¢ | 35,904.3 | 50.3¢ → 96.1¢ | $34,486.09 +$16,415.99 (+90.8%) |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes539,930.3 shares11.1¢ → 6.1¢ | 539,930.3 | 11.1¢ → 6.1¢ | $32,665.78 -$27,176.44 (-45.4%) |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes65,278.2 shares37.4¢ → 48.4¢ | 65,278.2 | 37.4¢ → 48.4¢ | $31,627.31 +$7,220.75 (+29.6%) |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes99,999.9 shares28¢ → 28.5¢ | 99,999.9 | 28¢ → 28.5¢ | $28,499.98 +$500.64 (+1.8%) |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No32,468.2 shares55¢ → 87.5¢ | 32,468.2 | 55¢ → 87.5¢ | $28,409.67 +$10,552.16 (+59.1%) |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes34,569.6 shares41.4¢ → 61.5¢ | 34,569.6 | 41.4¢ → 61.5¢ | $21,260.30 +$6,952.68 (+48.6%) |
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No33,472 shares69.4¢ → 62.5¢ | 33,472 | 69.4¢ → 62.5¢ | $20,919.98 -$2,300.75 (-9.9%) |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No24,574.9 shares70.6¢ → 82.5¢ | 24,574.9 | 70.6¢ → 82.5¢ | $20,274.28 +$2,916.08 (+16.8%) |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No30,187.3 shares46¢ → 62.5¢ | 30,187.3 | 46¢ → 62.5¢ | $18,867.09 +$4,982.00 (+35.9%) |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No56,397.1 shares29.7¢ → 27.5¢ | 56,397.1 | 29.7¢ → 27.5¢ | $15,509.20 -$1,249.25 (-7.5%) |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes34,730 shares45.4¢ → 41¢ | 34,730 | 45.4¢ → 41¢ | $14,239.28 -$1,534.13 (-9.7%) |
Bills vs. Rams Rams30,000 shares49¢ → 46.5¢ | 30,000 | 49¢ → 46.5¢ | $13,950.00 -$750.00 (-5.1%) |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No43,486 shares21.7¢ → 27.5¢ | 43,486 | 21.7¢ → 27.5¢ | $11,958.66 +$2,507.03 (+26.5%) |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No12,763.6 shares84¢ → 84.5¢ | 12,763.6 | 84¢ → 84.5¢ | $10,785.22 +$63.83 (+0.6%) |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes16,147.2 shares46¢ → 63.5¢ | 16,147.2 | 46¢ → 63.5¢ | $10,253.49 +$2,826.12 (+38.1%) |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No17,678 shares41¢ → 53.5¢ | 17,678 | 41¢ → 53.5¢ | $9,457.71 +$2,209.76 (+30.5%) |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes20,447.1 shares43.1¢ → 41.9¢ | 20,447.1 | 43.1¢ → 41.9¢ | $8,557.09 -$255.58 (-2.9%) |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No8,266.1 shares58.7¢ → 99.9¢ | 8,266.1 | 58.7¢ → 99.9¢ | $8,257.86 +$3,405.92 (+70.2%) |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No9,666.2 shares66¢ → 80.5¢ | 9,666.2 | 66¢ → 80.5¢ | $7,781.28 +$1,401.61 (+22%) |
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes9,093 shares74.3¢ → 74.5¢ | 9,093 | 74.3¢ → 74.5¢ | $6,774.29 +$21.67 (+0.3%) |
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No8,294.3 shares72.6¢ → 75.9¢ | 8,294.3 | 72.6¢ → 75.9¢ | $6,299.51 +$281.29 (+4.7%) |
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No23,311.7 shares24.7¢ → 20.5¢ | 23,311.7 | 24.7¢ → 20.5¢ | $4,790.56 -$969.47 (-16.8%) |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes7,292.7 shares52¢ → 58.5¢ | 7,292.7 | 52¢ → 58.5¢ | $4,266.24 +$476.29 (+12.6%) |
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No3,764.3 shares71.7¢ → 89.5¢ | 3,764.3 | 71.7¢ → 89.5¢ | $3,369.08 +$671.62 (+24.9%) |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes10,658.3 shares28.2¢ → 28.5¢ | 10,658.3 | 28.2¢ → 28.5¢ | $3,037.61 +$32.36 (+1.1%) |
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? Yes1,714.2 shares79.5¢ → 89.5¢ | 1,714.2 | 79.5¢ → 89.5¢ | $1,534.19 +$171.94 (+12.6%) |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes1,996.1 shares72¢ → 72.5¢ | 1,996.1 | 72¢ → 72.5¢ | $1,447.14 +$9.98 (+0.7%) |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No1,421.6 shares65.9¢ → 96.8¢ | 1,421.6 | 65.9¢ → 96.8¢ | $1,375.39 +$439.06 (+46.9%) |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes6,919 shares53¢ → 19.5¢ | 6,919 | 53¢ → 19.5¢ | $1,349.20 -$2,317.84 (-63.2%) |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No10,822.6 shares23.5¢ → 12.2¢ | 10,822.6 | 23.5¢ → 12.2¢ | $1,314.94 -$1,225.63 (-48.2%) |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes10,152.8 shares41¢ → 11¢ | 10,152.8 | 41¢ → 11¢ | $1,116.81 -$3,049.12 (-73.2%) |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes10,000 shares22¢ → 11¢ | 10,000 | 22¢ → 11¢ | $1,099.99 -$1,099.99 (-50%) |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No2,044.5 shares49¢ → 50.5¢ | 2,044.5 | 49¢ → 50.5¢ | $1,032.49 +$30.67 (+3.1%) |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes1,930.7 shares46.6¢ → 52.8¢ | 1,930.7 | 46.6¢ → 52.8¢ | $1,018.47 +$118.01 (+13.1%) |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes1,099.5 shares29.4¢ → 87.9¢ | 1,099.5 | 29.4¢ → 87.9¢ | $965.88 +$642.84 (+199%) |
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? No1,059.5 shares81.2¢ → 89.5¢ | 1,059.5 | 81.2¢ → 89.5¢ | $948.22 +$87.56 (+10.2%) |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No1,353.3 shares49.5¢ → 69.5¢ | 1,353.3 | 49.5¢ → 69.5¢ | $940.52 +$270.89 (+40.5%) |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes14,276.8 shares23.1¢ → 4.5¢ | 14,276.8 | 23.1¢ → 4.5¢ | $642.45 -$2,650.01 (-80.5%) |
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No1,018.1 shares51¢ → 57.5¢ | 1,018.1 | 51¢ → 57.5¢ | $585.42 +$66.18 (+12.7%) |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No590.2 shares81.4¢ → 97.4¢ | 590.2 | 81.4¢ → 97.4¢ | $574.86 +$94.53 (+19.7%) |
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes5,055.5 shares15¢ → 10.5¢ | 5,055.5 | 15¢ → 10.5¢ | $530.82 -$226.38 (-29.9%) |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No563.5 shares73¢ → 94.2¢ | 563.5 | 73¢ → 94.2¢ | $530.55 +$119.18 (+29%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | Bills vs. Rams Rams · 10,000 shares at 49¢ | $4,974.97 |
| Buy | Bills vs. Rams Rams · 10,000 shares at 49¢ | $4,974.97 |
| Buy |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
Bills vs. Rams Rams · 10,000 shares at 49¢ |
$4,974.97 |
| Maker rebate | — | $48.68 |
| Yield | — | $11.10 |
| Taker rebate | — | $52.17 |
| Reward | — | $50.17 |
| Buy | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No · 21.1 shares at 49¢ | $10.36 |
| Buy | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No · 2 shares at 49¢ | $0.96 |
| Buy | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No · 1,928 shares at 49¢ | $944.71 |
| Buy | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No · 5 shares at 49¢ | $2.45 |
| Redeem | $0.00 |
| Redeem | $51,110.00 |
| Buy | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No · 88.5 shares at 49¢ | $44.22 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 50,000 shares at 17¢ | $8,500.00 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 140 shares at 16¢ | $22.40 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 1,114.5 shares at 16¢ | $178.32 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 611.5 shares at 16¢ | $97.84 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 200 shares at 16¢ | $32.00 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 1.2 shares at 16¢ | $0.19 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 23.8 shares at 16¢ | $3.81 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 35.7 shares at 16¢ | $5.71 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Falcons · 4,114 shares at 16¢ | $674.83 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Ravens · 3,099.3 shares at 34¢ | $1,053.75 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Ravens · 6.5 shares at 34¢ | $2.22 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Ravens · 14,903.8 shares at 34¢ | $5,167.61 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Ravens · 7,545.5 shares at 34¢ | $2,565.45 |
| Buy | Ravens vs. Falcons Ravens · 25,555 shares at 34¢ | $8,860.74 |
| Maker rebate | — | $84.44 |
| Yield | — | $11.10 |
| Taker rebate | — | $463.85 |
| Reward | — | $132.16 |
| Buy | 49ers vs. Seahawks Seahawks · 26,508.9 shares at 29¢ | $7,687.58 |
| Buy | 49ers vs. Seahawks Seahawks · 5 shares at 29¢ | $1.45 |
| Buy | 49ers vs. Seahawks Seahawks · 23,486.1 shares at 29¢ | $6,810.97 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 10,000 shares at 39¢ | $3,971.37 |
| Redeem | $50,000.00 |
| Redeem | $0.00 |
| Redeem | $50,000.00 |
| Redeem | $50,000.00 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 10,000 shares at 43¢ | $4,373.53 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 25,555 shares at 43¢ | $11,176.56 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 200 shares at 42¢ | $84.00 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 100 shares at 42¢ | $42.00 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 100 shares at 42¢ | $42.00 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 359.9 shares at 42¢ | $151.16 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 100 shares at 42¢ | $42.00 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 100 shares at 42¢ | $42.00 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 100 shares at 42¢ | $42.00 |
| Buy | Broncos vs. Chargers Chargers · 33 shares at 42¢ | $13.86 |