Fed Rates

Fed Decision in October?
- No change87%
- 25 bps increase14%
$45.0M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase77%
No change22%

$3.9M Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)97%
1 (25 bps)<1%

$54.5M Vol.

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50%22%
Below 4.45%14%

$124.9K Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%26%
Below 4.6%23%

$410.3K Vol.

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20%39%
Below 5.15%31%

$113.1K Vol.

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%66%
5.25%28%

$126.4K Vol.

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

037%
225%

$29.3K Vol.daily

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting51%
June 2027 Meeting36%

$3.8M Vol.

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.70%63%
5.80%37%

$238.9K Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change63%
25 bps increase34%

$560.1K Vol.monthly

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause60%
Pause-Hike-Hike12%

$52.2K Vol.daily

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

96%chance

$49.9K Vol.9 days left

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%66%
4.0%15%

$7.1M Vol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

78%chance

$860.5K Vol.53 days left

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

4.89%27%
4.86%24%

$14.3K Vol.

How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 4.73%82%
Below 4.70%62%

$10.1K Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%37%
5.5%27%

$1.0M Vol.weekly

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.5%39%
4.25%18%

$24.8K Vol.

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

056%
122%

$22.1K Vol.daily

Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

11%chance

$1.3K Vol.10 days left

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.32%17%
5.45%14%

$31.2K Vol.weekly

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.70%16%
5.76%12%

$20.5K Vol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 318%
November 303%

$31.5K Vol.

How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.70%77%
Below 4.60%72%

$16.0K Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 5.09%73%
Below 5.05%59%

$21.6K Vol.weekly

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 4.89%78%
Below 4.86%55%

$13.5K Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%81%
↑ 4.5%16%

$1.9M Vol.

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

2%chance

$6.1K Vol.2 months left

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.90%67%
5.00%37%

$19.5K Vol.

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.14%35%
5.20%28%

$17.9K Vol.

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

December 3113%
October 314%

$36.8K Vol.

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 5.43%78%
Below 5.40%71%

$20.2K Vol.

Fed Rates

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?