Fed Rates

Fed Decision in October?
- No change87%
- 25 bps increase14%
$44.7M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase77%
No change21%

$3.8M Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)97%
1 (25 bps)<1%

$54.4M Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change62%
25 bps increase35%

$558.2K Vol.monthly

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

78%chance

$860.0K Vol.53 days left

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%21%
Below 4.6%11%

$397.9K Vol.

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%68%
5.25%26%

$125.2K Vol.

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

028%
225%

$29.0K Vol.daily

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%37%
5.5%28%

$1.0M Vol.weekly

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50%33%
Below 4.45%20%

$110.5K Vol.

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.70%57%
5.80%39%

$237.6K Vol.

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike69%
Hike–Pause–Pause20%

$373.4K Vol.daily

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%65%
4.0%14%

$7.1M Vol.

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

93%chance

$48.6K Vol.9 days left

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20%44%
Below 5.15%36%

$106.2K Vol.

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting50%
June 2027 Meeting36%

$3.8M Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.5%36%
4.25%25%

$24.6K Vol.

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

043%
129%

$31.3K Vol.daily

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

4.89%27%
4.95%24%

$14.2K Vol.

How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 4.73%70%
Below 4.70%61%

$9.3K Vol.