AI

131 events

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
- December 31, 202827%
- December 31, 202714%
$6.0M Vol.

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T84%
↑$1.75T72%

$5.5M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T28%
$2.0–$2.25T19%

$1.7M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google68%
Anthropic30%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia14%
China10%

$86.6K Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL23%

$536.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3198%
October 3182%

$468.1K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic45%
Google40%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202752%
December 31, 202614%

$861.9K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202717%

$250.8K Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202820%
December 31, 202713%

$682.8K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3192%
October 3135%

$282.4K Vol.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

55%+>99%
60%+<1%

$94.3K Vol.

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+22%
65%+8%

$136.8K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+52%
No IPO by December 31, 202723%

$478.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3118%
October 2117%

$80.8K Vol.

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+38%
65%+18%

$169.5K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO91%
Las Vegas, NV81%

$73.3K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+93%
1420+93%

$64.1K Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1584%
16-198%

$193.3K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft30%
Anthropic28%

$42.9K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+90%
1510+85%

$14.6K Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202726%
December 31, 20269%

$30.0K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+31%
1495+26%

$284.4K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+72%
1.5–1.8T21%

$520.7K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3077%
October 3155%

$13.9K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google51%
Moonshot24%

$69.4K Vol.monthly

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202659%
December 202621%

$380.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

$5.50-$6.0019%
$7.50+16%

$32.7K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi58%
Alibaba24%

$209.1K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+45%
65%+28%

$107.7K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202713%

$720.9K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google53%
OpenAI36%

$15.6K Vol.weekly

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$56.9K Vol.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T68%
↑$1.5T25%

$1.3M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google52%
Anthropic41%

$293.9K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3194%
October 183%

$53.7K Vol.

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T90%
$1.75T74%

$15.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+74%
$6.50-$7.0013%

$102.2K Vol.monthly

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202716%

$713.7K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

17%chance

$76.7K Vol.2 months left

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba34%
Moonshot26%

$34.7K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai40%
Meta37%

$63.2K Vol.monthly

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

077%
113%

$341.8K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3137%
November 3028%

$1.6M Vol.

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3187%
November 3068%

$9.2K Vol.

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202786%
June 30, 202743%

$16.9K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic93%
OpenAI4%

$77.3K Vol.monthly

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202721%

$769.4K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202623%

$438.3K Vol.

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$200B79%
↑$225B19%

$145.0K Vol.

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T39%
$2.00–$2.25T30%

$142.2K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5059%
↓ $5.0050%

$57.0K Vol.monthly

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%chance

$424.1K Vol.1 year left

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+40%
$1.20-$1.30T20%

$11.9K Vol.

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202761%
$40B-$50B12%

$37.7K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

9%chance

$20.5K Vol.2 months left

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$254.1K Vol.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

$317.6K Vol.2 months left

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI56%
Google40%

$8.3K Vol.weekly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3154%
October 153%

$26.7K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-742%
8-1030%

$11.2K Vol.monthly

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$293.2K Vol.

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+28%
60%+10%

$86.6K Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4548%
↓ $4041%

$10.5K Vol.annual

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?

68% to 69%54%
67% to 68%35%

$14.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+53%
$5.00-$5.5024%

$52.8K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $3.7551%
↑ $7.0049%

$22.5K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Argon released by...?

January 3150%
December 3144%

$966.4 Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+46%
428%

$24.2K Vol.monthly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T61%
625-675T16%

$17.0K Vol.monthly

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics13%
PayPal11%

$18.4M Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high94%
Other5%

$8.8K Vol.weekly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+99%
55%+73%

$9.7K Vol.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+84%
50%+40%

$102.5K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+81%
60%+39%

$141.9K Vol.

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+85%
$50+73%

$7.9K Vol.

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+62%
50%+45%

$157.9K Vol.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

20%chance

$62.1K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic88%
OpenAI12%

$106.5K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta39%
Anthropic28%

$33.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+72%
$0.55-$0.6016%

$52.8K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic53%
Meta44%

$69.6K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B85%
$1T68%

$1.6M Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google32%
OpenAI21%

$16.5K Vol.monthly

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek96%
Google4%

$7.8K Vol.weekly

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic65%
OpenAI12%

$214.2K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic59%
Google25%

$61.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Google43%
Anthropic33%

$5.0K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+95%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$525.5K Vol.

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3084%
October 3133%

$10.5K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3034%
October 3120%

$25.1K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta81%
Alibaba7%

$63.0K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3192%
October 203%

$112.1K Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+74%
1520+46%

$7.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

MiniMax79%
Google18%

$22.2K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

322%
220%

$1.7K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta46%
Anthropic30%

$57.9K Vol.monthly

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$60.4K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google71%
Anthropic27%

$76.6K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI82%
Anthropic12%

$38.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+32%
$5.00-$5.5022%

$21.5K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Z.ai21%
Microsoft16%

$101.6K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google59%
OpenAI24%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google46%
Anthropic34%

$15.9K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta60%
Alibaba13%

$16.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $2.2554%
↓ $2.0042%

$16.9K Vol.daily

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T26%
$1.10-$1.20T26%

$15.1K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI64%
Google24%

$61.3K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI64%
Anthropic21%

$29.1K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20263%

$484.8K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba26%
Xiaomi24%

$11.0K Vol.monthly

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202741%
December 31, 202611%

$78.4K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.65-$0.7034%
$0.55-$0.6023%

$6.2K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic56%
Google39%

$71.6K Vol.monthly

SSI public model released by…?

December 3139%
November 3035%

$133.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Google65%
ByteDance21%

$12.1K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high77%
Other21%

$4.8K Vol.weekly

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

16%chance

$9.1K Vol.2 months left

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI50%
Anthropic18%

$18.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI90%
Google5%

$41.2K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+70%
1490+70%

$21.3K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

Anthropic82%
OpenAI5%

$7.0K Vol.monthly

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

June 30, 202771%
March 31, 202727%

$12.4K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Google50%
ByteDance23%

$9.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic94%
OpenAI2%

$42.3K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1535%
↑ $2530%

$10.5K Vol.

What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $829%
↑ $1510%

$5.7K Vol.

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3172%
October 1520%

$904.3 Vol.monthly

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Anthropic7%
Google6%

$5.2K Vol.