AI

80 events

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
- December 31, 202827%
- December 31, 202717%
$3.9M Vol.

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Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202821%
December 31, 202711%

$660.7K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic29%

$2.4M Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3197%
October 3192%

$409.1K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T27%
$1.75–$2.0T26%

$1.6M Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic43%
Google42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+>99%
50%+97%

$139.4K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3192%
October 3132%

$262.6K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
June 30, 202712%

$717.5K Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202721%

$767.6K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202716%

$711.4K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 1527%
October 1319%

$66.7K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202722%

$221.7K Vol.

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T93%
↑$1.75T82%

$5.4M Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic59%
Meta33%

$68.9K Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+93%
50%+87%

$76.7K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

13%chance

$74.5K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google54%
Anthropic38%

$290.4K Vol.monthly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+98%
1500+98%

$17.8K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+35%
1495+28%

$278.8K Vol.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202658%
December 202619%

$376.4K Vol.

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202721%

$575.2K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3134%
November 3028%

$1.6M Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+99%
40%+96%

$49.3K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+91%
1420+86%

$55.1K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3192%
October 204%

$111.5K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic26%
Meta20%

$21.7K Vol.monthly

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

077%
112%

$339.7K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic61%
Google22%

$60.2K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta32%
Anthropic26%

$31.4K Vol.monthly

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Anthropic37%
Microsoft27%

$34.7K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek94%
Google3%

$7.3K Vol.weekly

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic45%
Meta28%

$34.5K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI61%
Google27%

$61.0K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high73%
Other22%

$4.5K Vol.weekly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI54%
Anthropic18%

$18.5K Vol.monthly

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google46%
OpenAI39%

$12.3K Vol.weekly

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3190%
October 185%

$51.1K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+97%
50%+3%

$11.3K Vol.

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

<1%chance

$4.8K Vol.8 months left

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+89%
1510+75%

$8.8K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta40%
Google30%

$17.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic94%
OpenAI2%

$42.2K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

Meta55%
Anthropic20%

$20.4K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi55%
Alibaba28%

$205.5K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta62%
Alibaba10%

$15.9K Vol.monthly

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
DeepSeek19%

$126.2K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI26%
Google25%

$15.9K Vol.monthly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+98%
60%+44%

$157.5K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta57%
Anthropic35%

$57.4K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH34%
$CLAU20%

$124.2K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B84%
$1T77%

$1.6M Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1568%
<1224%

$185.6K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$292.1K Vol.

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

December 31, 202831%
December 31, 202713%

$27.0K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202622%

$436.5K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI5%

$75.5K Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$828.3K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google53%
OpenAI30%

$37.7K Vol.monthly

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3123%
October 1516%

$2.2K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+76%
1.5–1.8T15%

$516.4K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI45%
Google35%

$7.1K Vol.weekly

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+80%
60%+39%

$141.2K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+92%
55%+65%

$8.8K Vol.

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+92%
$50+74%

$7.1K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+86%
1490+62%

$21.3K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+95%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$524.9K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic59%
OpenAI22%

$50.9K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+55%
65%+32%

$104.5K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+57%
No IPO by December 31, 202721%

$465.0K Vol.

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+93%
55%+64%

$120.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI5%

$32.0K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T70%
↑$1.5T27%

$1.3M Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high91%
Other10%

$8.0K Vol.weekly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3146%
October 1511%

$25.5K Vol.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?

67% to 68%39%
68% to 69%37%

$13.6K Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+48%
$1.00-$1.10T20%

$10.6K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic49%
OpenAI12%

$213.5K Vol.monthly