Economy

Fed Decision in October?
- No change76%
- 25 bps increase24%
$40.3M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase79%
No change20%

$3.5M Vol.monthly

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

82%chance

$781.0K Vol.56 days left

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA69%
Apple28%

$8.3M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change56%
25 bps increase41%

$496.0K Vol.monthly

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

14%chance

$14.8M Vol.2 months left

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)97%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.1M Vol.

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA85%
Apple15%

$337.3K Vol.monthly

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike63%
Hike–Hike–Hike15%

$334.8K Vol.daily

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%36%
5.5%22%

$997.6K Vol.weekly

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20%40%
Below 5.15%26%

$88.9K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change96%
25 bps increase4%

$220.3K Vol.annual

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.70%55%
5.80%30%

$225.5K Vol.

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting51%
June 2027 Meeting36%

$3.8M Vol.

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause47%
Pause-Hike-Hike21%

$46.3K Vol.daily

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple82%
NVIDIA16%

$40.1K Vol.monthly

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet79%
Microsoft20%

$67.6K Vol.monthly

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change93%
25 bps increase7%

$586.2K Vol.annual

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%81%
5.25%40%

$110.9K Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change79%
25 bps increase20%

$181.7K Vol.annual