Tech

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 30>99%
- October 3198%
$1.7M Vol.

Learn more.

Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google71%
Anthropic27%

$2.3M Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA76%
Apple21%

$8.1M Vol.monthly

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202722%

$567.9K Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

078%
112%

$334.5K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3169%

$351.0K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google43%
Anthropic42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1387%
October 146%

$59.3K Vol.

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA91%
Apple8%

$268.3K Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+84%
50%+76%

$66.7K Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3188%
October 237%

$48.3K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google50%
Anthropic39%

$283.5K Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon released by...?

October 31>99%
November 3098%

$49.5K Vol.

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 202761%
11–14B10%

$151.1K Vol.

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet84%
Microsoft16%

$49.9K Vol.monthly

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202922%
December 31, 202819%

$1.7M Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202720%

$202.6K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

10%chance

$63.8K Vol.2 months left

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3185%
October 3120%

$235.8K Vol.

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026

Lindsay Clancy80%
Bad Bunny68%

$17.6K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI57%
Google40%

$9.6K Vol.weekly

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi43%
Alibaba39%

$202.5K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3131%
October 1313%

$50.0K Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+78%
50%+77%

$41.2K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+96%
1420+90%

$48.0K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+85%
1490+78%

$9.2K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+79%
60%+38%

$139.2K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$826.2K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$290.0K Vol.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

93%chance

$337.9K Vol.2 months left

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google46%
OpenAI35%

$5.2K Vol.weekly

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202710%

$3.4M Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft33%
Anthropic23%

$29.5K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3137%
November 3033%

$1.6M Vol.

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$155.7K Vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$252.6K Vol.

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

90%chance

$109.7K Vol.2 months left

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google74%
Anthropic20%

$75.3K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3153%
October 1510%

$25.2K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+59%
321%

$22.9K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 224%

$103.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI6%

$73.5K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

Lindsay Clancy37%
Nicolás Maduro21%

$203.0K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202621%

$433.2K Vol.

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

Dolly Parton62%
Hayden Panettiere14%

$127.0K Vol.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202760%
June 30, 202746%

$1.3M Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta72%
Xiaomi21%

$61.5K Vol.monthly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+84%
50%+49%

$8.8K Vol.

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Lindsay Clancy23%
Erling Haaland17%

$338.6K Vol.

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

3-6 hours51%
6-12 hours35%

$15.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic76%
OpenAI13%

$49.3K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+57%
65%+31%

$103.3K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.6K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI24%
Google23%

$14.9K Vol.monthly

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal11%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI70%
Anthropic26%

$27.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI67%
Google15%

$58.0K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

Obsession42%
The Odyssey37%

$241.0K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+77%
1490+72%

$19.9K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3111%
October 162%

$35.3K Vol.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

4%chance

$846.1K Vol.37 days left

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202718%

$691.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba38%
Xiaomi31%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?

Dolly Parton54%
Hayden Panettiere14%

$96.5K Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high90%
Other11%

$6.6K Vol.weekly

Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026

The Odyssey95%
Obsession86%

$23.0K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

San Diego, CA82%
Denver, CO80%

$64.1K Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4552%
↓ $4039%

$9.0K Vol.annual

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+79%
$6.00-$6.5019%

$42.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+77%
$6.50-$7.008%

$99.8K Vol.monthly

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$37.8K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-741%
8-1032%

$9.7K Vol.monthly

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?63%
March 31, 202756%

$61.7K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek72%
Google16%

$2.3K Vol.weekly

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#17%

$276.0K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic63%
Meta20%

$54.5K Vol.monthly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+65%
60%+46%

$155.3K Vol.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Muse from Meta86%
ChatGPT14%

$2.4K Vol.weekly

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202926%
December 31, 202820%

$253.9K Vol.

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple66%
Alphabet14%

$29.8K Vol.monthly