
All my transactions and statements are my personal opinions and are not an attempt to interfere in the electoral process.
$82,341.13
+$175,449.63
$374,232,709.78
1,762 markets traded
+$4,163,027.13
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No42,828.6 shares88.6¢ → 89.5¢ | 42,828.6 | 88.6¢ → 89.5¢ | $38,331.58 +$390.14 (+1%) |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No7,654 shares86.7¢ → 96.8¢ |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
| 7,654 |
| 86.7¢ → 96.8¢ |
$7,405.27 +$765.63 (+11.5%) |
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No6,996.5 shares78.9¢ → 98.9¢ | 6,996.5 | 78.9¢ → 98.9¢ | $6,916.03 +$1,393.70 (+25.2%) |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes30,819.7 shares19¢ → 19.5¢ | 30,819.7 | 19¢ → 19.5¢ | $6,009.85 +$154.12 (+2.6%) |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No4,365.8 shares74.7¢ → 90¢ | 4,365.8 | 74.7¢ → 90¢ | $3,929.23 +$669.68 (+20.5%) |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No20,000 shares20¢ → 19.5¢ | 20,000 | 20¢ → 19.5¢ | $3,900.00 -$99.98 (-2.5%) |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? No3,490.8 shares85.5¢ → 81.4¢ | 3,490.8 | 85.5¢ → 81.4¢ | $2,841.54 -$143.92 (-4.8%) |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No2,261.3 shares92.2¢ → 93.3¢ | 2,261.3 | 92.2¢ → 93.3¢ | $2,108.63 +$23.71 (+1.1%) |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No1,452.1 shares90.1¢ → 92.4¢ | 1,452.1 | 90.1¢ → 92.4¢ | $1,341.70 +$32.61 (+2.5%) |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? No2,490.4 shares88.1¢ → 53.8¢ | 2,490.4 | 88.1¢ → 53.8¢ | $1,339.81 -$854.31 (-38.9%) |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No1,266.8 shares76.8¢ → 96.5¢ | 1,266.8 | 76.8¢ → 96.5¢ | $1,222.50 +$249.93 (+25.7%) |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No1,429.2 shares90.4¢ → 84.9¢ | 1,429.2 | 90.4¢ → 84.9¢ | $1,212.70 -$78.94 (-6.1%) |
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? No767.1 shares84.5¢ → 95.4¢ | 767.1 | 84.5¢ → 95.4¢ | $731.81 +$83.58 (+12.9%) |
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31? No495.1 shares96.2¢ → 99.7¢ | 495.1 | 96.2¢ → 99.7¢ | $493.41 +$16.88 (+3.5%) |
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No451 shares75.4¢ → 90.5¢ | 451 | 75.4¢ → 90.5¢ | $408.16 +$68.16 (+20%) |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? No501.6 shares82.7¢ → 76.5¢ | 501.6 | 82.7¢ → 76.5¢ | $383.69 -$31.24 (-7.5%) |
Obama federally charged before 2027? No370.8 shares88.8¢ → 96.8¢ | 370.8 | 88.8¢ → 96.8¢ | $358.97 +$29.55 (+9%) |
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? No338.2 shares76¢ → 89.5¢ | 338.2 | 76¢ → 89.5¢ | $302.67 +$45.65 (+17.8%) |
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? No291.3 shares85.2¢ → 93.5¢ | 291.3 | 85.2¢ → 93.5¢ | $272.39 +$24.06 (+9.7%) |
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? No286.5 shares91.1¢ → 95¢ | 286.5 | 91.1¢ → 95¢ | $271.98 +$11.05 (+4.2%) |
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No263 shares91¢ → 89.5¢ | 263 | 91¢ → 89.5¢ | $235.35 -$3.94 (-1.6%) |
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31? No200 shares98¢ → 98.9¢ | 200 | 98¢ → 98.9¢ | $197.80 +$1.80 (+0.9%) |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No397 shares47.7¢ → 47.7¢ | 397 | 47.7¢ → 47.7¢ | $189.17 -$0.31 (-0.2%) |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No200 shares89¢ → 93.5¢ | 200 | 89¢ → 93.5¢ | $187.00 +$9.00 (+5.1%) |
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31? No220 shares67¢ → 84.5¢ | 220 | 67¢ → 84.5¢ | $185.90 +$38.50 (+26.1%) |
Natural Disaster in 2026? No200.6 shares74.4¢ → 92¢ | 200.6 | 74.4¢ → 92¢ | $184.52 +$35.34 (+23.7%) |
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? No150 shares94¢ → 99.7¢ | 150 | 94¢ → 99.7¢ | $149.55 +$8.55 (+6.1%) |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No150.3 shares88.7¢ → 95.5¢ | 150.3 | 88.7¢ → 95.5¢ | $143.57 +$10.27 (+7.7%) |
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? No150 shares66¢ → 95.5¢ | 150 | 66¢ → 95.5¢ | $143.18 +$44.18 (+44.6%) |
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? No146.1 shares93.5¢ → 92.2¢ | 146.1 | 93.5¢ → 92.2¢ | $134.67 -$1.97 (-1.4%) |
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? No120.5 shares92¢ → 95.5¢ | 120.5 | 92¢ → 95.5¢ | $115.08 +$4.22 (+3.8%) |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No108.8 shares89.6¢ → 92.5¢ | 108.8 | 89.6¢ → 92.5¢ | $100.67 +$3.15 (+3.2%) |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No115 shares65.6¢ → 84.5¢ | 115 | 65.6¢ → 84.5¢ | $97.18 +$21.73 (+28.8%) |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No108 shares89.9¢ → 89.5¢ | 108 | 89.9¢ → 89.5¢ | $96.70 -$0.46 (-0.5%) |
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No84.1 shares61.2¢ → 93.6¢ | 84.1 | 61.2¢ → 93.6¢ | $78.70 +$27.24 (+52.9%) |
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? No80.7 shares71.6¢ → 92.5¢ | 80.7 | 71.6¢ → 92.5¢ | $74.63 +$16.88 (+29.2%) |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes146.2 shares48¢ → 46.5¢ | 146.2 | 48¢ → 46.5¢ | $67.98 -$2.15 (-3.1%) |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? No221.1 shares86.5¢ → 30.5¢ | 221.1 | 86.5¢ → 30.5¢ | $67.44 -$123.73 (-64.7%) |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes30,030.7 shares20¢ → 0.2¢ | 30,030.7 | 20¢ → 0.2¢ | $45.05 -$5,961.07 (-99.2%) |
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No17 shares74.3¢ → 85.5¢ | 17 | 74.3¢ → 85.5¢ | $14.54 +$1.91 (+15.1%) |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? No22.6 shares51.2¢ → 61.5¢ | 22.6 | 51.2¢ → 61.5¢ | $13.91 +$2.33 (+20.1%) |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes100 shares35¢ → 12.5¢ | 100 | 35¢ → 12.5¢ | $12.50 -$22.50 (-64.3%) |
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No10 shares80¢ → 98.2¢ | 10 | 80¢ → 98.2¢ | $9.78 +$1.81 (+22.7%) |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes265.9 shares65.4¢ → 1.8¢ | 265.9 | 65.4¢ → 1.8¢ | $4.92 -$169.02 (-97.2%) |
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No5 shares86¢ → 95.8¢ | 5 | 86¢ → 95.8¢ | $4.79 +$0.49 (+11.3%) |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No4.7 shares95¢ → 97.7¢ | 4.7 | 95¢ → 97.7¢ | $4.61 +$0.13 (+2.8%) |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes2.6 shares68.4¢ → 1.5¢ | 2.6 | 68.4¢ → 1.5¢ | $0.04 -$1.76 (-97.9%) |
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? No773 shares14¢ → 0¢ | 773 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0.00 -$108.22 (-100%) |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? Yes45,698.1 shares32.6¢ → 0¢ | 45,698.1 | 32.6¢ → 0¢ | $0.00 -$14,912.97 (-100%) |
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? Yes5 shares1.8¢ → 0¢ | 5 | 1.8¢ → 0¢ | $0.00 -$0.09 (-99.9%) |