All markets
Natural Disaster in 2026?
View all outcomes in this event8%chance
- Yes8%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
8.0¢ per share
- No92%
92.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 8¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 236.41 | $16.55 |
| 6¢ | 188.81 | $11.33 |
| 5¢ | 240 | $12.00 |
| 4¢ | 1,299.73 | $51.99 |
| 3¢ | 900 | $27.00 |
| 2¢ | 2,600 | $52.00 |
| 1¢ | 2,385 | $23.85 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 92 | $8.28 |
| 10¢ | 81.12 | $8.11 |
| 12¢ | 30 | $3.60 |
| 16¢ | 9.52 | $1.52 |
| 17¢ | 8.43 | $1.43 |
| 18¢ | 40 | $7.20 |
| 24¢ | 5 | $1.20 |
| 34¢ | 175.09 | $59.53 |
| 50¢ | 39.79 | $19.90 |
| 51¢ | 5 | $2.55 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf