
$819,802.69
+$2,267,202.84
$497,128,545.98
9,873 markets traded
+$1,340,845.67
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No127,580.3 shares82.1¢ → 83.5¢ | 127,580.3 | 82.1¢ → 83.5¢ | $106,529.53 +$1,737.26 (+1.7%) |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No118,516.5 shares72.7¢ → 85.5¢ | 118,516.5 | 72.7¢ → 85.5¢ | $101,331.62 +$15,211.18 (+17.7%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Sell | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No · 7 shares at 20¢ | $1.40 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat? Yes · 25.1 shares at 3¢ | $0.75 |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
No one announced as next James Bond? No79,780.9 shares75.9¢ → 74.1¢ |
| 79,780.9 |
| 75.9¢ → 74.1¢ |
$59,117.67 -$1,437.66 (-2.4%) |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes51,609.2 shares61.8¢ → 81.5¢ | 51,609.2 | 61.8¢ → 81.5¢ | $42,061.51 +$10,185.18 (+32%) |
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes27,200.8 shares94¢ → 95.3¢ | 27,200.8 | 94¢ → 95.3¢ | $25,908.78 +$330.54 (+1.3%) |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes32,425.6 shares5.2¢ → 71.6¢ | 32,425.6 | 5.2¢ → 71.6¢ | $23,200.49 +$21,518.16 (+1,279.1%) |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No25,000 shares90.1¢ → 89.6¢ | 25,000 | 90.1¢ → 89.6¢ | $22,412.50 -$112.50 (-0.5%) |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes310,495.8 shares12.8¢ → 5.9¢ | 310,495.8 | 12.8¢ → 5.9¢ | $18,164.01 -$21,492.91 (-54.2%) |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes296,645.7 shares3.9¢ → 5.9¢ | 296,645.7 | 3.9¢ → 5.9¢ | $17,650.42 +$6,003.21 (+51.5%) |
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes68,451 shares22.1¢ → 19.5¢ | 68,451 | 22.1¢ → 19.5¢ | $13,347.95 -$1,757.60 (-11.6%) |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes23,642.3 shares31.1¢ → 41.5¢ | 23,642.3 | 31.1¢ → 41.5¢ | $9,811.54 +$2,456.44 (+33.4%) |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes16,382.3 shares51.7¢ → 59.5¢ | 16,382.3 | 51.7¢ → 59.5¢ | $9,747.49 +$1,271.52 (+15%) |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes43,220.1 shares20.1¢ → 22.2¢ | 43,220.1 | 20.1¢ → 22.2¢ | $9,573.24 +$886.05 (+10.2%) |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No9,196.2 shares71.1¢ → 95.8¢ | 9,196.2 | 71.1¢ → 95.8¢ | $8,805.37 +$2,270.29 (+34.7%) |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes36,860.4 shares32¢ → 23.5¢ | 36,860.4 | 32¢ → 23.5¢ | $8,662.19 -$3,118.13 (-26.5%) |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes109,991.2 shares10¢ → 7.9¢ | 109,991.2 | 10¢ → 7.9¢ | $8,634.31 -$2,318.29 (-21.2%) |
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes9,788.6 shares83¢ → 84.5¢ | 9,788.6 | 83¢ → 84.5¢ | $8,271.36 +$148.17 (+1.8%) |
New pandemic in 2026? No8,383.8 shares89.3¢ → 95.5¢ | 8,383.8 | 89.3¢ → 95.5¢ | $8,006.52 +$523.76 (+7%) |
Iran Nuke before 2027? No7,665 shares85.7¢ → 96.8¢ | 7,665 | 85.7¢ → 96.8¢ | $7,415.91 +$849.54 (+12.9%) |
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No7,782.2 shares90¢ → 93.5¢ | 7,782.2 | 90¢ → 93.5¢ | $7,276.40 +$276.21 (+3.9%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes56,634.4 shares17.4¢ → 12.5¢ | 56,634.4 | 17.4¢ → 12.5¢ | $7,079.30 -$2,761.32 (-28.1%) |
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No13,961.7 shares46.8¢ → 47.5¢ | 13,961.7 | 46.8¢ → 47.5¢ | $6,631.79 +$101.09 (+1.5%) |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes299,425.2 shares1.7¢ → 2.2¢ | 299,425.2 | 1.7¢ → 2.2¢ | $6,587.35 +$1,515.97 (+29.9%) |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes117,386.4 shares17.1¢ → 5.5¢ | 117,386.4 | 17.1¢ → 5.5¢ | $6,456.25 -$13,615.89 (-67.8%) |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No32,163.4 shares19.1¢ → 19.5¢ | 32,163.4 | 19.1¢ → 19.5¢ | $6,271.86 +$142.93 (+2.3%) |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No15,271.8 shares37¢ → 40.5¢ | 15,271.8 | 37¢ → 40.5¢ | $6,185.09 +$534.53 (+9.5%) |
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No6,379.8 shares91.6¢ → 95.3¢ | 6,379.8 | 91.6¢ → 95.3¢ | $6,076.76 +$229.14 (+3.9%) |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes149,999.3 shares6.3¢ → 4.1¢ | 149,999.3 | 6.3¢ → 4.1¢ | $6,074.97 -$3,407.53 (-35.9%) |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No6,229.1 shares89.4¢ → 85.8¢ | 6,229.1 | 89.4¢ → 85.8¢ | $5,341.46 -$228.58 (-4.1%) |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes515,223.4 shares0.7¢ → 1¢ | 515,223.4 | 0.7¢ → 1¢ | $4,894.62 +$1,398.35 (+40%) |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No4,787.5 shares39.3¢ → 97.5¢ | 4,787.5 | 39.3¢ → 97.5¢ | $4,667.78 +$2,787.84 (+148.3%) |
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes5,007.5 shares90¢ → 90.5¢ | 5,007.5 | 90¢ → 90.5¢ | $4,531.81 +$25.04 (+0.6%) |
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes5,654.9 shares86.2¢ → 78.9¢ | 5,654.9 | 86.2¢ → 78.9¢ | $4,461.73 -$410.21 (-8.4%) |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes25,000 shares33.8¢ → 17.5¢ | 25,000 | 33.8¢ → 17.5¢ | $4,375.00 -$4,075.54 (-48.2%) |
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No5,280.4 shares68.7¢ → 81.5¢ | 5,280.4 | 68.7¢ → 81.5¢ | $4,303.55 +$673.98 (+18.6%) |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No6,109.6 shares64.5¢ → 69.5¢ | 6,109.6 | 64.5¢ → 69.5¢ | $4,246.21 +$302.84 (+7.7%) |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes10,247.6 shares37¢ → 40.5¢ | 10,247.6 | 37¢ → 40.5¢ | $4,150.26 +$358.67 (+9.5%) |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No6,936.3 shares65.6¢ → 59.5¢ | 6,936.3 | 65.6¢ → 59.5¢ | $4,127.12 -$421.71 (-9.3%) |
Stripe IPO before 2027? No4,152.5 shares83.4¢ → 97.2¢ | 4,152.5 | 83.4¢ → 97.2¢ | $4,034.18 +$572.00 (+16.5%) |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes21,347.7 shares17.5¢ → 17.8¢ | 21,347.7 | 17.5¢ → 17.8¢ | $3,789.21 +$45.30 (+1.2%) |
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes5,571.9 shares82.4¢ → 68¢ | 5,571.9 | 82.4¢ → 68¢ | $3,788.88 -$805.09 (-17.5%) |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes6,508.7 shares64¢ → 56.5¢ | 6,508.7 | 64¢ → 56.5¢ | $3,677.44 -$488.16 (-11.7%) |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat? Yes3,813.5 shares94¢ → 96.1¢ | 3,813.5 | 94¢ → 96.1¢ | $3,664.75 +$80.09 (+2.2%) |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? Yes3,831.2 shares94.2¢ → 94.6¢ | 3,831.2 | 94.2¢ → 94.6¢ | $3,622.38 +$12.48 (+0.3%) |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes7,966 shares39.2¢ → 43.5¢ | 7,966 | 39.2¢ → 43.5¢ | $3,465.20 +$338.67 (+10.8%) |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes63,803 shares1.2¢ → 5.1¢ | 63,803 | 1.2¢ → 5.1¢ | $3,222.05 +$2,468.48 (+327.6%) |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes101,417.8 shares2.7¢ → 3.1¢ | 101,417.8 | 2.7¢ → 3.1¢ | $3,143.95 +$447.80 (+16.6%) |
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No3,713.4 shares77¢ → 84.5¢ | 3,713.4 | 77¢ → 84.5¢ | $3,137.84 +$278.51 (+9.7%) |
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? No3,405.6 shares90.3¢ → 90.5¢ | 3,405.6 | 90.3¢ → 90.5¢ | $3,082.09 +$5.94 (+0.2%) |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes7,596 shares46.4¢ → 39.5¢ | 7,596 | 46.4¢ → 39.5¢ | $3,000.41 -$526.87 (-14.9%) |
| Buy | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes · 49 shares at 2.1¢ | $1.03 |
| Sell | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No · 1.6 shares at 20¢ | $0.31 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat? Yes · 2,369 shares at 3¢ | $71.07 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat? Yes · 48 shares at 3¢ | $1.44 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat? Yes · 15 shares at 3¢ | $0.45 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat? Yes · 58 shares at 3¢ | $1.74 |
| Maker rebate | — | $10.87 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 115.1 shares at 15¢ | $17.26 |
| Yield | — | $9.11 |
| Buy | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes · 1.3 shares at 10¢ | $0.13 |
| Reward | — | $67.98 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat? Yes · 20 shares at 3.5¢ | $0.70 |
| Sell | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No · 100 shares at 20¢ | $20.00 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat? Yes · 5 shares at 3¢ | $0.15 |
| Sell | Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? Yes · 1 shares at 96.9¢ | $1.00 |
| Sell | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No · 5 shares at 20¢ | $1.00 |
| Buy | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes · 20 shares at 86¢ | $17.20 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 100 shares at 15¢ | $15.00 |
| Buy | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes · 16.5 shares at 86¢ | $14.19 |
| Buy | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes · 660 shares at 86¢ | $567.60 |
| Buy | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes · 128 shares at 86¢ | $110.06 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.5 shares at 81¢ | $8.53 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.5 shares at 81¢ | $8.53 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.5 shares at 81¢ | $8.53 |
| Buy | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes · 5.6 shares at 90¢ | $5.05 |
| Buy | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes · 224.8 shares at 90¢ | $202.28 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.7 shares at 81¢ | $8.68 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.5 shares at 81¢ | $8.53 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 2,837.5 shares at 81¢ | $2,298.40 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 1,829 shares at 81¢ | $1,481.49 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 6.7 shares at 15¢ | $1.00 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 50 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.25 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 20 shares at 10.5¢ | $2.10 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 55.1 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.78 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 43.6 shares at 10.5¢ | $4.58 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 949.1 shares at 10.5¢ | $99.65 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 56.1 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.89 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 243.6 shares at 10.5¢ | $25.57 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 25 shares at 10.5¢ | $2.63 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 20 shares at 10.5¢ | $2.10 |