a5533
Joined Jul 2026
- Positions value
$45,106.27
- Profit/Loss(all time)
-$7,895.92
- Volume traded
$29,304,841.57
89,633 markets traded
- Biggest win
+$35,560.19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No5,161.5 shares99.5¢ → 99.5¢ | 5,161.5 | 99.5¢ → 99.5¢ | $5,133.11 -$2.48 (0%) |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No5,333 shares85¢ → 82.5¢ | 5,333 | 85¢ → 82.5¢ | $4,399.75 -$133.32 (-2.9%) |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No4,409.4 shares82.8¢ → 80.5¢ | 4,409.4 | 82.8¢ → 80.5¢ | $3,549.54 -$100.60 (-2.8%) |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No3,469.6 shares92¢ → 90.5¢ | 3,469.6 | 92¢ → 90.5¢ | $3,140.02 -$50.95 (-1.6%) |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No3,058.9 shares95.9¢ → 95.5¢ | 3,058.9 | 95.9¢ → 95.5¢ | $2,919.68 -$13.67 (-0.5%) |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes2,112.3 shares81.7¢ → 80.5¢ | 2,112.3 | 81.7¢ → 80.5¢ | $1,700.43 -$24.44 (-1.4%) |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes2,131.8 shares63¢ → 63.5¢ | 2,131.8 | 63¢ → 63.5¢ | $1,353.66 +$10.66 (+0.8%) |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No1,818.7 shares69¢ → 69.5¢ | 1,818.7 | 69¢ → 69.5¢ | $1,264.02 +$9.10 (+0.7%) |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes861.3 shares84.9¢ → 84.5¢ | 861.3 | 84.9¢ → 84.5¢ | $727.83 -$3.63 (-0.5%) |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes863.6 shares80¢ → 80.5¢ | 863.6 | 80¢ → 80.5¢ | $695.19 +$4.32 (+0.6%) |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No666.7 shares96.9¢ → 97¢ | 666.7 | 96.9¢ → 97¢ | $646.34 +$0.33 (+0.1%) |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No1,498.2 shares37¢ → 37.5¢ | 1,498.2 | 37¢ → 37.5¢ | $561.83 +$7.49 (+1.4%) |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No765.3 shares60¢ → 58.2¢ | 765.3 | 60¢ → 58.2¢ | $445.00 -$14.52 (-3.2%) |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? Yes423.9 shares89¢ → 96.7¢ | 423.9 | 89¢ → 96.7¢ | $409.73 +$32.43 (+8.6%) |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No397.5 shares94¢ → 94.5¢ | 397.5 | 94¢ → 94.5¢ | $375.63 +$1.99 (+0.5%) |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No217.9 shares97.7¢ → 97.7¢ | 217.9 | 97.7¢ → 97.7¢ | $212.81 -$0.11 (-0.1%) |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes1,543.2 shares13.7¢ → 13.6¢ | 1,543.2 | 13.7¢ → 13.6¢ | $209.10 -$2.32 (-1.1%) |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No209.8 shares98.3¢ → 98.4¢ | 209.8 | 98.3¢ → 98.4¢ | $206.37 +$0.10 (+0.1%) |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No607 shares29.8¢ → 29.5¢ | 607 | 29.8¢ → 29.5¢ | $179.07 -$1.68 (-0.9%) |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? No153.1 shares97.2¢ → 97.3¢ | 153.1 | 97.2¢ → 97.3¢ | $148.87 +$0.09 (+0.1%) |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes263.2 shares45.4¢ → 47.3¢ | 263.2 | 45.4¢ → 47.3¢ | $124.36 +$4.94 (+4.1%) |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes550.6 shares21.9¢ → 22.2¢ | 550.6 | 21.9¢ → 22.2¢ | $121.96 +$1.38 (+1.1%) |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No153.2 shares78¢ → 77.5¢ | 153.2 | 78¢ → 77.5¢ | $118.71 -$0.74 (-0.6%) |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes137.8 shares79.7¢ → 79.5¢ | 137.8 | 79.7¢ → 79.5¢ | $109.57 -$0.21 (-0.2%) |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No158.6 shares65¢ → 65.1¢ | 158.6 | 65¢ → 65.1¢ | $103.35 +$0.18 (+0.2%) |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 15? Yes100 shares99.2¢ → 99.7¢ | 100 | 99.2¢ → 99.7¢ | $99.65 +$0.45 (+0.5%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 13? No100.2 shares98.9¢ → 99.4¢ | 100.2 | 98.9¢ → 99.4¢ | $99.57 +$0.50 (+0.5%) |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 13? No100 shares98.9¢ → 99.3¢ | 100 | 98.9¢ → 99.3¢ | $99.29 +$0.35 (+0.4%) |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14? No100.2 shares95.1¢ → 98.5¢ | 100.2 | 95.1¢ → 98.5¢ | $98.70 +$3.41 (+3.6%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 15? No100 shares98.8¢ → 98.5¢ | 100 | 98.8¢ → 98.5¢ | $98.50 -$0.30 (-0.3%) |
 Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes100.1 shares98¢ → 98.1¢ | 100.1 | 98¢ → 98.1¢ | $98.19 +$0.10 (+0.1%) |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13? No100.1 shares99.2¢ → 97.5¢ | 100.1 | 99.2¢ → 97.5¢ | $97.56 -$1.75 (-1.8%) |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes450.1 shares21¢ → 21.5¢ | 450.1 | 21¢ → 21.5¢ | $96.77 +$2.08 (+2.2%) |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 14? Yes100.2 shares98.6¢ → 96.1¢ | 100.2 | 98.6¢ → 96.1¢ | $96.24 -$2.56 (-2.6%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 13? No100.2 shares97.8¢ → 95.9¢ | 100.2 | 97.8¢ → 95.9¢ | $96.01 -$1.95 (-2%) |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No100.2 shares90¢ → 93.5¢ | 100.2 | 90¢ → 93.5¢ | $93.68 +$3.51 (+3.9%) |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? No100.3 shares93.2¢ → 93.1¢ | 100.3 | 93.2¢ → 93.1¢ | $93.41 -$0.06 (-0.1%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15? Yes99.1 shares91.6¢ → 93.8¢ | 99.1 | 91.6¢ → 93.8¢ | $92.86 +$2.11 (+2.3%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 14? No100 shares95.4¢ → 88.8¢ | 100 | 95.4¢ → 88.8¢ | $88.75 -$6.66 (-7%) |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 14? No89 shares98.1¢ → 99¢ | 89 | 98.1¢ → 99¢ | $88.07 +$0.75 (+0.9%) |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes100.2 shares87.8¢ → 86.2¢ | 100.2 | 87.8¢ → 86.2¢ | $86.30 -$1.68 (-1.9%) |
 Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No89.8 shares95.3¢ → 95.4¢ | 89.8 | 95.3¢ → 95.4¢ | $85.66 +$0.03 (0%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 15? No100 shares91¢ → 85.5¢ | 100 | 91¢ → 85.5¢ | $85.50 -$5.50 (-6%) |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No100.2 shares84.7¢ → 84¢ | 100.2 | 84.7¢ → 84¢ | $84.10 -$0.75 (-0.9%) |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes100.2 shares81.8¢ → 81.5¢ | 100.2 | 81.8¢ → 81.5¢ | $81.67 -$0.34 (-0.4%) |
 Will the fight be won by submission? No100.2 shares71¢ → 80.5¢ | 100.2 | 71¢ → 80.5¢ | $80.66 +$9.51 (+13.4%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? Yes92 shares84.9¢ → 86.7¢ | 92 | 84.9¢ → 86.7¢ | $79.72 +$1.62 (+2.1%) |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No92.7 shares85.9¢ → 86¢ | 92.7 | 85.9¢ → 86¢ | $79.69 +$0.07 (+0.1%) |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C or below on October 14? No79.9 shares99.5¢ → 98.7¢ | 79.9 | 99.5¢ → 98.7¢ | $78.91 -$0.63 (-0.8%) |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes561.6 shares14¢ → 14¢ | 561.6 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $78.62 $0.00 (0%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Zomblers - Map 1 Winner Zomblers · 0.3 shares at 24¢ | $0.07 |
| Buy | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Zomblers - Map 1 Winner Zomblers · 5.5 shares at 24¢ | $1.32 |
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