lava-lava

Joined Nov 2022

Positions value

$82,560.71

Profit/Loss(all time)

+$1,002,724.04

Volume traded

$41,621,236.76

1,471 markets traded

Biggest win

+$118,863.18

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Market	Shares	Avg → Now	Value
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes26,363.9 shares36.6¢ → 40¢	26,363.9	36.6¢ → 40¢	$10,532.37 +$891.36 (+9.2%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No19,685 shares44¢ → 51.5¢	19,685	44¢ → 51.5¢	$10,137.77 +$1,476.39 (+17%)
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No11,061.2 shares59.9¢ → 61¢	11,061.2	59.9¢ → 61¢	$6,747.35 +$119.22 (+1.8%)
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes12,461 shares32.2¢ → 40.5¢	12,461	32.2¢ → 40.5¢	$5,046.72 +$1,036.08 (+25.8%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No6,846 shares72¢ → 71.5¢	6,846	72¢ → 71.5¢	$4,894.89 -$34.23 (-0.7%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes6,232.9 shares73¢ → 72.5¢	6,232.9	73¢ → 72.5¢	$4,518.87 -$31.16 (-0.7%)
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No11,669.4 shares30.3¢ → 36.5¢	11,669.4	30.3¢ → 36.5¢	$4,259.32 +$719.61 (+20.3%)
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No3,646 shares90¢ → 97.1¢	3,646	90¢ → 97.1¢	$3,540.28 +$258.87 (+7.9%)
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes4,811.6 shares55.4¢ → 61.5¢	4,811.6	55.4¢ → 61.5¢	$2,959.14 +$295.34 (+11.1%)
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? No6,792.8 shares32.1¢ → 40¢	6,792.8	32.1¢ → 40¢	$2,717.10 +$536.68 (+24.6%)
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem? Yes2,566.7 shares86.6¢ → 97.4¢	2,566.7	86.6¢ → 97.4¢	$2,499.95 +$276.14 (+12.4%)
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes5,216.8 shares50.3¢ → 44.5¢	5,216.8	50.3¢ → 44.5¢	$2,321.48 -$301.54 (-11.5%)
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? No1,987.6 shares16.5¢ → 99.6¢	1,987.6	16.5¢ → 99.6¢	$1,979.68 +$1,651.17 (+502.6%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes6,846.1 shares25¢ → 28.5¢	6,846.1	25¢ → 28.5¢	$1,951.14 +$242.11 (+14.2%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No6,233 shares26.6¢ → 27.5¢	6,233	26.6¢ → 27.5¢	$1,714.08 +$53.06 (+3.2%)
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No1,383.5 shares88.5¢ → 96.3¢	1,383.5	88.5¢ → 96.3¢	$1,331.63 +$107.22 (+8.8%)
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague? Yes1,421.3 shares46.4¢ → 93.5¢	1,421.3	46.4¢ → 93.5¢	$1,328.88 +$670.03 (+101.7%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes4,246.1 shares31¢ → 23.5¢	4,246.1	31¢ → 23.5¢	$997.83 -$318.45 (-24.2%)
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? No1,003 shares75¢ → 93¢	1,003	75¢ → 93¢	$932.79 +$180.79 (+24%)
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No950.4 shares83¢ → 95.5¢	950.4	83¢ → 95.5¢	$907.60 +$118.80 (+15.1%)
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? Yes883.6 shares54.9¢ → 94.5¢	883.6	54.9¢ → 94.5¢	$835.03 +$349.72 (+72.1%)
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes2,222 shares27¢ → 36.5¢	2,222	27¢ → 36.5¢	$811.03 +$211.09 (+35.2%)
Blue wave in 2026? Yes930 shares57.9¢ → 86.5¢	930	57.9¢ → 86.5¢	$804.44 +$265.52 (+49.3%)
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? No751.5 shares34¢ → 95.8¢	751.5	34¢ → 95.8¢	$719.92 +$464.10 (+181.4%)
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes2,331.3 shares27¢ → 27.5¢	2,331.3	27¢ → 27.5¢	$641.12 +$12.67 (+2%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No586.9 shares65.4¢ → 97¢	586.9	65.4¢ → 97¢	$569.02 +$185.46 (+48.4%)
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No3,333 shares13¢ → 15.5¢	3,333	13¢ → 15.5¢	$516.62 +$83.33 (+19.2%)
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes3,333 shares13¢ → 15.5¢	3,333	13¢ → 15.5¢	$516.62 +$83.33 (+19.2%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No715.9 shares49¢ → 63.5¢	715.9	49¢ → 63.5¢	$454.60 +$103.81 (+29.6%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes6,767.6 shares5¢ → 5.9¢	6,767.6	5¢ → 5.9¢	$402.67 +$64.32 (+19%)
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes504.7 shares77.6¢ → 78.6¢	504.7	77.6¢ → 78.6¢	$396.44 +$4.79 (+1.2%)
Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No1,190.3 shares28.4¢ → 32¢	1,190.3	28.4¢ → 32¢	$380.90 +$42.78 (+12.7%)
Sweden snap election called in 2026? No437.5 shares79¢ → 84.5¢	437.5	79¢ → 84.5¢	$369.73 +$24.07 (+7%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes1,368.2 shares25¢ → 21.5¢	1,368.2	25¢ → 21.5¢	$294.16 -$47.89 (-14%)
Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? No297.1 shares85¢ → 95.8¢	297.1	85¢ → 95.8¢	$284.63 +$32.09 (+12.7%)
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No2,222 shares14.5¢ → 11¢	2,222	14.5¢ → 11¢	$244.42 -$77.77 (-24.1%)
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No1,149.1 shares25.2¢ → 20.5¢	1,149.1	25.2¢ → 20.5¢	$236.13 -$53.20 (-18.4%)
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes570.5 shares26¢ → 40.5¢	570.5	26¢ → 40.5¢	$231.04 +$82.72 (+55.8%)
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? No378.2 shares37¢ → 61¢	378.2	37¢ → 61¢	$230.68 +$90.94 (+65.1%)
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No248.8 shares67¢ → 77.5¢	248.8	67¢ → 77.5¢	$192.85 +$26.13 (+15.7%)
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? Yes231.1 shares74.7¢ → 82¢	231.1	74.7¢ → 82¢	$189.53 +$16.76 (+9.7%)
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc? No312.2 shares10.5¢ → 47.3¢	312.2	10.5¢ → 47.3¢	$147.65 +$114.70 (+348.1%)
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes166.2 shares69¢ → 86.5¢	166.2	69¢ → 86.5¢	$143.75 +$29.08 (+25.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes361.3 shares31.9¢ → 37.5¢	361.3	31.9¢ → 37.5¢	$135.48 +$20.08 (+17.4%)
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes139.4 shares10¢ → 95¢	139.4	10¢ → 95¢	$132.34 +$118.40 (+849.5%)
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? Yes131 shares66.8¢ → 100¢	131	66.8¢ → 100¢	$131.00 +$43.44 (+49.6%)
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No153.5 shares65¢ → 72.5¢	153.5	65¢ → 72.5¢	$111.25 +$11.51 (+11.5%)
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? Yes190.4 shares35.7¢ → 57.5¢	190.4	35.7¢ → 57.5¢	$109.51 +$41.43 (+60.9%)
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? Yes2,075.8 shares50.3¢ → 4.5¢	2,075.8	50.3¢ → 4.5¢	$93.41 -$951.84 (-91.1%)
Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? No86.6 shares63¢ → 95.6¢	86.6	63¢ → 95.6¢	$82.82 +$28.24 (+51.7%)