TheReturnOfDarthMaul

Joined Feb 2026

Positions value

$1,724,896.02

Profit/Loss(all time)

+$1,464,819.50

Volume traded

$26,644,157.96

1,207 markets traded

Biggest win

+$1,970,005.34

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Se…

Market	Shares	Avg → Now	Value
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes593,512.1 shares79.3¢ → 95.6¢	593,512.1	79.3¢ → 95.6¢	$567,100.83 +$96,332.66 (+20.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No176,754.7 shares90.4¢ → 93.9¢	176,754.7	90.4¢ → 93.9¢	$165,884.27 +$6,066.06 (+3.8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No147,947.5 shares82.4¢ → 74.5¢	147,947.5	82.4¢ → 74.5¢	$110,220.90 -$11,638.44 (-9.6%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes574,826.1 shares60.2¢ → 12.5¢	574,826.1	60.2¢ → 12.5¢	$71,853.27 -$274,221.77 (-79.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes80,439.8 shares68¢ → 81.5¢	80,439.8	68¢ → 81.5¢	$65,558.44 +$10,853.53 (+19.8%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No139,613.3 shares87¢ → 46.2¢	139,613.3	87¢ → 46.2¢	$64,431.55 -$57,000.42 (-46.9%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes79,999.9 shares81.2¢ → 75.5¢	79,999.9	81.2¢ → 75.5¢	$60,399.96 -$4,599.32 (-7.1%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No50,747.1 shares93.9¢ → 99.5¢	50,747.1	93.9¢ → 99.5¢	$50,467.98 +$2,813.16 (+5.9%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes106,000 shares85.1¢ → 46.5¢	106,000	85.1¢ → 46.5¢	$49,289.98 -$40,869.29 (-45.3%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes49,917.3 shares78.8¢ → 92.5¢	49,917.3	78.8¢ → 92.5¢	$46,173.47 +$6,828.18 (+17.4%)
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No44,502.2 shares78¢ → 97.7¢	44,502.2	78¢ → 97.7¢	$43,478.67 +$8,778.69 (+25.3%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No50,000 shares85¢ → 78.5¢	50,000	85¢ → 78.5¢	$39,249.98 -$3,249.55 (-7.6%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No33,000 shares88.7¢ → 97.8¢	33,000	88.7¢ → 97.8¢	$32,257.50 +$2,986.50 (+10.2%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes108,400 shares28.8¢ → 29.5¢	108,400	28.8¢ → 29.5¢	$31,978.00 +$792.19 (+2.5%)
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No28,692.5 shares87.9¢ → 98.3¢	28,692.5	87.9¢ → 98.3¢	$28,190.42 +$2,965.57 (+11.8%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No26,909.6 shares84.9¢ → 98.2¢	26,909.6	84.9¢ → 98.2¢	$26,425.18 +$3,581.06 (+15.7%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes159,475.1 shares52.5¢ → 16.5¢	159,475.1	52.5¢ → 16.5¢	$26,313.40 -$57,457.92 (-68.6%)
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No24,022.5 shares82.9¢ → 99.7¢	24,022.5	82.9¢ → 99.7¢	$23,950.39 +$4,030.99 (+20.2%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes25,000 shares91.6¢ → 90.5¢	25,000	91.6¢ → 90.5¢	$22,625.00 -$274.83 (-1.2%)
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No20,744.1 shares86.3¢ → 96.1¢	20,744.1	86.3¢ → 96.1¢	$19,935.12 +$2,029.05 (+11.3%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No20,000 shares92¢ → 90.5¢	20,000	92¢ → 90.5¢	$18,100.00 -$299.98 (-1.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No16,999.9 shares87.4¢ → 97.4¢	16,999.9	87.4¢ → 97.4¢	$16,557.94 +$1,708.15 (+11.5%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes20,000 shares88.5¢ → 76.5¢	20,000	88.5¢ → 76.5¢	$15,299.98 -$2,399.76 (-13.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No15,451.1 shares94¢ → 96.1¢	15,451.1	94¢ → 96.1¢	$14,848.48 +$321.53 (+2.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes15,374.3 shares74.1¢ → 75.5¢	15,374.3	74.1¢ → 75.5¢	$11,607.58 +$208.89 (+1.8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No9,439.4 shares92.5¢ → 96.9¢	9,439.4	92.5¢ → 96.9¢	$9,146.80 +$412.58 (+4.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes11,921 shares83.2¢ → 73.5¢	11,921	83.2¢ → 73.5¢	$8,761.96 -$1,152.88 (-11.6%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No8,000 shares93.6¢ → 97.2¢	8,000	93.6¢ → 97.2¢	$7,772.00 +$287.01 (+3.8%)
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes13,000 shares49¢ → 56¢	13,000	49¢ → 56¢	$7,279.99 +$910.09 (+14.3%)
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No5,883.5 shares84.2¢ → 99.5¢	5,883.5	84.2¢ → 99.5¢	$5,851.17 +$894.58 (+18%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No31,999.9 shares18.1¢ → 16.5¢	31,999.9	18.1¢ → 16.5¢	$5,279.98 -$499.63 (-8.6%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No5,000 shares91.6¢ → 97.3¢	5,000	91.6¢ → 97.3¢	$4,862.50 +$282.51 (+6.2%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No5,000 shares75.8¢ → 96¢	5,000	75.8¢ → 96¢	$4,797.50 +$1,007.50 (+26.6%)
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes5,000.1 shares75.3¢ → 92¢	5,000.1	75.3¢ → 92¢	$4,600.12 +$833.36 (+22.1%)
US recession by end of 2026? No4,700 shares79¢ → 93.5¢	4,700	79¢ → 93.5¢	$4,394.50 +$683.51 (+18.4%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No5,000 shares73¢ → 83.5¢	5,000	73¢ → 83.5¢	$4,175.00 +$525.00 (+14.4%)
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No3,600 shares90.7¢ → 97.6¢	3,600	90.7¢ → 97.6¢	$3,511.79 +$244.82 (+7.5%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? Yes4,730 shares69.7¢ → 69.5¢	4,730	69.7¢ → 69.5¢	$3,287.34 -$9.74 (-0.3%)
Stripe IPO before 2027? No2,902.3 shares88¢ → 97.1¢	2,902.3	88¢ → 97.1¢	$2,816.68 +$261.69 (+10.2%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No2,681 shares84.8¢ → 98.6¢	2,681	84.8¢ → 98.6¢	$2,643.43 +$371.07 (+16.3%)
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No2,500 shares77.2¢ → 97.6¢	2,500	77.2¢ → 97.6¢	$2,438.75 +$508.38 (+26.3%)
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic2,504 shares93.3¢ → 95.4¢	2,504	93.3¢ → 95.4¢	$2,388.82 +$53.78 (+2.3%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes20,577 shares13.4¢ → 11.5¢	20,577	13.4¢ → 11.5¢	$2,366.35 -$396.87 (-14.4%)
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic2,500 shares91¢ → 92¢	2,500	91¢ → 92¢	$2,300.00 +$25.00 (+1.1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No2,299.6 shares91¢ → 94.9¢	2,299.6	91¢ → 94.9¢	$2,182.35 +$89.69 (+4.3%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No1,876.2 shares93¢ → 98.8¢	1,876.2	93¢ → 98.8¢	$1,852.75 +$107.88 (+6.2%)
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No1,200 shares66¢ → 95.1¢	1,200	66¢ → 95.1¢	$1,141.20 +$348.95 (+44%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No965.9 shares92¢ → 98¢	965.9	92¢ → 98¢	$946.60 +$57.96 (+6.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes1,802.4 shares55¢ → 46.5¢	1,802.4	55¢ → 46.5¢	$838.13 -$153.21 (-15.5%)
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic + OpenAI 3,000 shares69¢ → 26.5¢	3,000	69¢ → 26.5¢	$795.00 -$1,275.00 (-61.6%)