Trump

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase19%
$35.0M Vol.monthly

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1597%
October 3182%

$12.2M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1896%

$1.8M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3167%
December 3142%

$39.7M Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change22%

$3.2M Vol.monthly

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%59%
4.0%24%

$7.1M Vol.

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

December 3132%
October 3110%

$77.2K Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change67%
25 bps increase31%

$418.3K Vol.monthly

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$232.8K Vol.21 days left

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$8.9M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202768%
November 30, 202767%

$8.6M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?

Healthcare96%
Save America Act96%

$42.6K Vol.

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

18%chance

$203.9K Vol.18 days left

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro71%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.2M Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

99%chance

$662.0K Vol.2 months left

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3137%
November 3028%

$3.0M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3110%
October 313%

$2.4M Vol.

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)

<1%chance

$319.2K Vol.Ended

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.