Midterms

2026 MidtermsPredictions
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep63%
- R Senate, D House28%
$23.3M Vol.

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$17.0M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.5M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.6M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.5M Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$240.5K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)94%
Bruce Blakeman (R)6%

$227.0K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)4%

$308.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$192.0K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$87.8K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$233.4K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)78%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$558.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$260.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$175.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$97.0K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

Nevada81%
TSMC / Taiwan81%

$21.1K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$417.6K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$54.9K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)96%
Doug Chapin (D)3%

$88.2K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)6%

$105.5K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$784.7K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$73.5K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)96%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$65.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$886.0K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$618.5K Vol.

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R)96%
Jordan Herrera (D)3%

$73.2K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana?

Coal / Diesel89%
Shit / Ass73%

$10.9K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$360.8K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%28%

$30.9K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)91%
Cyndi Munson (D)9%

$43.5K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$85.8K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%26%

$18.5K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)95%
Peter Crosby (D)5%

$31.0K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$905.0K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)6%

$52.3K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$231.0K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$145.9K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.3K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$55.4K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$121.5K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)3%

$52.9K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$98.9K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Winner

$37.2K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%56%
↓ 30%46%

$74.7K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$192.5K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$236.4K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)74%
Jonathan Nez (D)26%

$15.7K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Democrat 0-3%18%

$23.4K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)82%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$63.1K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%32%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$5.0K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.3K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)93%
Ken Paxton (R)6%

$24.8K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$84.4K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)6%

$71.9K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 6-9%22%
Ossoff 9-12%21%

$21.6K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$135.7K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$54.1K Vol.

MI-03 House Election Winner

$55.1K Vol.

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Democrats71%
Republicans16%

$32.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$48.7K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Iowa21%
Texas16%

$28.2K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%29%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$18.3K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%33%
↑ 12%22%

$183.7K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 3-6%25%
El-Sayed 0-3%23%

$13.2K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)76%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)23%

$16.8K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%18%
Democrat 6-9%18%

$19.3K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%39%
Republican 5-10%20%

$14.3K Vol.

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui65%
Mai Vang37%

$25.6K Vol.

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%36%
Democrat 50-55%23%

$17.0K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 0-3%35%
Peltola 3-6%34%

$15.7K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%48%
64-66%22%

$7.2K Vol.weekly

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%19%

$23.2K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Marshall 0-5%38%
Hamilton Wins37%

$11.5K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%37%
Democrat 70-75%37%

$27.7K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%24%
Republican 5-10%19%

$18.6K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%29%
Republican 30-35%20%

$39.6K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$10.5K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)94%
Dan Schwartz (D)7%

$77.1K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%28%
Republican 10-15%24%

$18.9K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%22%
Republican 20-25%19%

$22.3K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%
John E. Sununu (R)13%

$330.5K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%32%
Republican 10-15%28%

$15.6K Vol.

Senate control favorite on November 2?

99%chance

$9.0K Vol.19 days left

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries91%
Mike Johnson5%

$7.9K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.20 days left

AZ-06 House Election Winner

JoAnna Mendoza (D)82%
Juan Ciscomani (R)19%

$15.7K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%20%
Republican 0-3%17%

$17.1K Vol.

OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%33%
Republican 35-40%20%

$21.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%33%
Hinson 0-3%22%

$20.7K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%19%
Republican 25-30%17%

$16.1K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer37%

$11.3K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

450K-500K36%
400K-450K22%

$10.3K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Winner

Jim Schwartzel (R)95%
Victor Arias (D)5%

$33.1K Vol.

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%23%
Republican 12-15%22%

$13.5K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Texas30%
Kansas25%

$21.1K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%27%
Democrat 0-3%16%

$17.8K Vol.

TX-38 House Election Winner

Jon Bonck (R)96%
Melissa McDonough (D)3%

$31.8K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas75%
Michigan70%

$105.6K Vol.

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

October 3123%
October 156%

$11.9K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$49.9K Vol.

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Jon Rosenthal (D)57%
Bo French (R)44%

$16.1K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%18%

$20.5K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%18%
Republican 3-6%17%

$20.4K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat Wins27%
Republican 5-10%24%

$21.3K Vol.

TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%21%
Republican 12-15%19%

$16.1K Vol.

IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 15-20%27%

$13.7K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)94%
Brian Bengs (I)6%

$60.0K Vol.

Closest Governor's Race?

Georgia22%
Vermont13%

$23.0K Vol.

PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%33%
Democrat 35-40%22%

$15.8K Vol.

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%20%
Republican 6-9%14%

$10.4K Vol.

AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%40%
Republican 20-25%24%

$11.8K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20723%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$74.2K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Republican 3-6%19%

$11.8K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%19%
Democrat 12-15%18%

$13.7K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout

3M-3.2M34%
3.2M-3.4M33%

$8.8K Vol.

OH-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%20%
Republican 6-9%18%

$16.3K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$43.8K Vol.

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Georgia>99%
North Carolina>99%

$24.9K Vol.

IN-04 House Election Winner

Jim Baird (R)95%
Drew Cox (D)5%

$41.4K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$48.9K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

Kotek 6-9%19%
Kotek 9-12%18%

$15.1K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)60%
Mike Lawler (R)41%

$67.8K Vol.

NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%28%
Republican 10-15%20%

$8.8K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

900K-975K69%
825K-900K14%

$34.5K Vol.

First Round Outright Winner in the Vermont Governor Election?

74%chance

$1.2K Vol.20 days left

Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?

Republicans90%
Democrats5%

$4.8K Vol.

IN-03 House Election Winner

$41.4K Vol.

TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Democrat 0-3%18%

$14.2K Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$45.1K Vol.

MI-08 House Election Winner

$26.4K Vol.

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%34%
Democrat 55-60%27%

$13.9K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 15-20%26%

$14.2K Vol.

NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%33%
Democrat 20-25%32%

$16.0K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)68%
Mike Beltran (R)32%

$68.2K Vol.

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

Angela Gonzales-Torres75%
Jimmy Gomez25%

$28.8K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Winner

Glenn Grothman (R)91%
Brad Smith (D)10%

$39.5K Vol.

Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%23%
Republican 20-25%22%

$9.9K Vol.

PA-08 House Election Winner

Paige Cognetti (D)72%
Rob Bresnahan (R)28%

$20.1K Vol.

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%25%
Democrat 15-20%21%

$8.4K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Ashley Moody (R)63%
Angie Nixon (D)31%

$11.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$11.0K Vol.

Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%34%
Democrat 25-30%27%

$19.7K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%34%
Republican 20-25%31%

$22.8K Vol.

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%32%
Democrat 25-30%24%

$23.1K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%25%
Republican 10-15%18%

$12.2K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

11.2M+27%
9.6M-10M27%

$14.4K Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$60.8K Vol.

IA-02 House Election Winner

Lindsay James (D)57%
Joe Mitchell (R)43%

$30.7K Vol.

TX-12 House Election Winner

$57.6K Vol.

CO-06 House Election Winner

Jason Crow (D)96%
Jason Clark (R)4%

$32.1K Vol.

WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%27%
Democrat 60-65%25%

$13.6K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%37%
Republican 25-30%31%

$26.2K Vol.

FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%42%
Democrat 20-25%25%

$11.9K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Winner

$83.2K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%28%
Republican 30-35%21%

$16.1K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)10%

$224.8K Vol.

TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%28%
Democrat 55-60%19%

$9.4K Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)70%
Shomari Figures (D)31%

$81.4K Vol.

FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%26%
Democrat 55%+19%

$15.3K Vol.

NC-03 House Election Winner

Greg Murphy (R)84%
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)17%

$27.2K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 10-12%23%

$155.7K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

4.1M-4.3M29%
3.9M-4.1M29%

$16.5K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

1.125M-1.2M45%
1.05M-1.125M25%

$18.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+28%

$31.6K Vol.

TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 25-30%24%

$9.6K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout

2.6M-2.8M42%
2.8M-3M24%

$12.8K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%21%
Democrat 0-3%21%

$15.1K Vol.

Midterms

2026 MidtermsPredictions

Senate control favorite on November 2?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

First Round Outright Winner in the Vermont Governor Election?