Trump

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase20%
$33.3M Vol.monthly

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1596%
October 3181%

$11.3M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1595%

$1.1M Vol.

$39.4M Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3125%
October 316%

$8.9M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%chance

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

33%chance

$526.7K Vol.9 months left

Fed Decision in January?

No change64%
25 bps increase33%

$345.4K Vol.monthly

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

23%chance

$164.5K Vol.19 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202767%
November 30, 202766%

$8.5M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro71%
Delcy Rodríguez25%

$98.2M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3113%
October 313%

$2.3M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

120-13946%
100-11928%

$65.8K Vol.daily

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3028%

$3.0M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Fake News97%
Transgender97%

$26.9K Vol.

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3110%
October 317%

$16.3K Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M78%
270M9%

$30.9K Vol.monthly

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202646%
November 30, 202630%

$689.8K Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

4%chance

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

140-15926%
200+23%

$33.3K Vol.daily

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3152%
Qatar18%

$154.5K Vol.

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

December 3178%
October 3173%

$67.3K Vol.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner42%
Steve Witkoff42%

$1.3M Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman69%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3135%
November 3024%

$1.8M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+19%
140-15916%

$17.4K Vol.daily

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

76%chance

$160.1K Vol.22 days left

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

3%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19028%
205-20920%

$324.8K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Ilhan Omar>99%
Barack Obama96%

$108.0K Vol.monthly

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202757%
Pete Hegseth8%

$101.0K Vol.annual

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro85%
Delcy Rodriguez78%

$67.6K Vol.monthly

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.0K Vol.