Geopolitics

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
- October 12>99%
- October 1595%
$1.1M Vol.

Learn more.

Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 20

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1596%

$11.1M Vol.monthly

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$980.3K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$73.8M Vol.2 months left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3167%
December 3143%

$39.4M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot46%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.7M Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3126%
October 317%

$8.8M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1597%
October 3186%

$34.0M Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3117%
October 317%

$16.9M Vol.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 318%
October 311%

$75.9M Vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 313%

$4.3M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance

$43.9M Vol.2 months left

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$111.6K Vol.

$2.0M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3113%
October 313%

$2.3M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202767%
November 30, 202766%

$8.5M Vol.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3028%

$3.0M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro72%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.2M Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

3%chance

$14.8M Vol.2 months left

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

4%chance

$350.8K Vol.2 months left

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202722%
December 3111%

$27.2M Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3153%
November 3045%

$288.2K Vol.

Next leader out of power before 2027?

None before 202752%
Netanyahu - Israel PM23%

$969.4K Vol.annual

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

7%chance

$758.1K Vol.49 days left

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%
December 31, 20263%

$28.8M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 3152%
November 3038%

$1.3M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

<1%chance

$2.2M Vol.19 days left

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3122%
October 315%

$7.3M Vol.

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3129%
October 318%

$10.2M Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$45.0K Vol.

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$148.5K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 3177%
November 3060%

$508.5K Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

6%chance

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3135%
November 3024%

$1.8M Vol.

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$171.9K Vol.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

$531.5K Vol.2 months left

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.