Elections

160 events

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep63%
- R Senate, D House28%
$23.4M Vol.

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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen44%
Édouard Philippe20%

$150.8M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$17.1M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.5M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$716.1M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.1M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu93%
Ilie Bolojan1%

$5.2M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.3B Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an65%
Puma Shen37%

$1.1M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.6M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.5M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio14%

$711.4M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot49%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$46.0M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.1M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić68%
Ilija Srdanović23%

$1.3M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)52%
Joe Lombardo (R)48%

$416.3K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)94%
Bruce Blakeman (R)6%

$227.1K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)4%

$308.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$192.0K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$240.5K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)96%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$87.8K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$233.6K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)78%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$558.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$260.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD79%
Other10%

$87.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$175.7K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow73%
Brad Bradford26%

$374.9K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$277.0K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together66%
The Democrats18%

$32.6K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff49%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez28%

$70.0K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$418.0K Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$97.0K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$54.9K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)96%
Doug Chapin (D)3%

$88.2K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)6%

$105.5K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$784.7K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD91%
UDMR20%

$69.0K Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

95%chance

$27.2K Vol.10 days left

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%
Pedro Sánchez16%

$1.8M Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$73.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2443%
25-2926%

$515.8K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)96%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$65.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$886.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula59%
Flavio Bolsonaro42%

$74.3K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%27%

$29.8K Vol.

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R)96%
Jordan Herrera (D)3%

$73.2K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$618.5K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$360.8K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%28%

$30.9K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$54.4K Vol.1 day left

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)91%
Cyndi Munson (D)9%

$43.5K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud42%

$664.7K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$85.8K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$550.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$905.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot17%

$62.9K Vol.

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 3195%
October 3191%

$59.8K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%26%

$18.5K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)95%
Peter Crosby (D)5%

$31.0K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund80%
Sven Schulze3%

$466.9K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry56%
Ken Sim43%

$279.5K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)6%

$52.3K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$231.0K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$146.0K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.3K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$55.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula85%
Flavio Bolsonaro13%

$47.4K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$121.5K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)3%

$52.9K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

WI-05 House Election Winner

$98.9K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.20 days left

MI-05 House Election Winner

$37.2K Vol.

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Zac de Vries78%
Rishi Sharma16%

$49.4K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$192.5K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%56%
↓ 30%46%

$74.7K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.5K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat95%
AUR2%

$347.2K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$236.4K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats54%
Yisrael Beiteinu53%

$56.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%16%
Ruas 20%+10%

$28.6K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp83%
Stefan Evers19%

$237.1K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)74%
Jonathan Nez (D)25%

$15.7K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Republican 3-6%18%

$23.4K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei56%
Axel Kicillof33%

$844.9K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)82%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$63.1K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass46%

$15.3M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$40.0K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%32%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$5.0K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas99%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$784.9K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.3K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson74%
Cadu de Lula22%

$68.6K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)93%
Ken Paxton (R)6%

$24.8K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$84.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats36%
Yisrael Beiteinu24%

$8.7K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 6-9%22%
Ossoff 9-12%21%

$21.6K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$135.7K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)5%

$71.9K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$54.1K Vol.

MI-03 House Election Winner

$55.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Tally Gotliv13%

$49.3K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud50%
Yashar41%

$19.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$48.7K Vol.

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković67%
Anton Rop13%

$15.4K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%29%
↑ 12%22%

$183.7K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 0-3%25%
El-Sayed 3-6%25%

$13.2K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)76%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)23%

$16.8K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%39%
Republican 5-10%20%

$14.3K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%18%
Democrat 6-9%18%

$19.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

70%chance

$3.8K Vol.13 days left

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui65%
Mai Vang37%

$25.6K Vol.

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%36%
Democrat 50-55%23%

$17.0K Vol.

Campeche Congress Election Winner

Morena39%
MC26%

$4.2K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson81%
David Eby20%

$153.8K Vol.

Spain General Election: Turnout

70%+34%
66-68%24%

$5.8K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz92%
Professora Maria do Carmo6%

$51.8K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)93%
Dan Schwartz (D)7%

$77.7K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%29%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$18.4K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

92%chance

$53.4K Vol.13 days left

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%45%
7-9%24%

$5.0K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 0-3%35%
Peltola 3-6%34%

$15.7K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%57%
64-66%22%

$7.2K Vol.weekly

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen91%
Édouard Philippe45%

$355.3K Vol.

Michoacán Congress Election Winner

Morena43%
PAN34%

$5.0K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Marshall 0-5%38%
Hamilton Wins37%

$11.5K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%40%
Democrat 70-75%34%

$27.7K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon>99%
Christine Fréchette<1%

$416.8K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%24%
Republican 5-10%19%

$18.6K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%29%
Republican 30-35%20%

$39.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%53%
0.75-1.25%40%

$5.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%43%
2.75-3.25%27%

$3.4K Vol.

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

35-40%28%
40-45%28%

$21.2K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$10.5K Vol.

Richmond Mayoral Election

Rob Howard42%
Kash Heed32%

$36.1K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%28%
Republican 10-15%24%

$18.9K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Linke62%
Grüne59%

$22.2K Vol.

Chiapas Congress Election Winner

Morena62%
PT7%

$5.9K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 20-25%26%
Republican 30-35%22%

$22.3K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%18%

$23.2K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%
John E. Sununu (R)13%

$330.5K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov92%
Kostadin Kostadinov4%

$6.0K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%37%
Republican 15-20%32%

$15.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2324%
26-2721%

$19.2K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui50%
Lee Shu-chuan48%

$108.1K Vol.

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Morena86%
PAN7%

$108.3K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe36%

$11.9K Vol.

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$21.7K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.20 days left