Elections

135 events

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep63%
- R Senate, D House28%
$23.3M Vol.

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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen44%
Édouard Philippe20%

$150.7M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$17.0M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.1M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.4M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu96%
Ilie Bolojan2%

$5.2M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an64%
Puma Shen37%

$1.1M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.3B Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$716.0M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.6M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot49%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$46.0M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party38%

$6.5M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.1M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.3M Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$240.2K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić70%
Ilija Srdanović21%

$1.2M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$227.3K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)96%
John James (R)4%

$307.4K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$175.9K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$211.7K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$255.0K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow76%
Brad Bradford25%

$369.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$164.1K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$83.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$277.0K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$95.6K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)80%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 20%

$550.8K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%
Jason Pearce (D)<1%

$79.4K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD72%
Other12%

$80.5K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$120.9K Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$54.9K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$416.2K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)6%

$105.5K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez73%
Jon Ossoff17%

$66.4K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$904.1K Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

90%chance

$25.5K Vol.10 days left

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp73%
Stefan Evers26%

$235.9K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD80%
UDMR19%

$66.4K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)96%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$65.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud42%

$664.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez15%

$1.8M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%28%

$30.5K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)43%

$885.2K Vol.

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R)96%
Jordan Herrera (D)3%

$73.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro35%

$69.4K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)76%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)23%

$16.8K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$611.4K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$360.8K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$549.8K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%20%

$27.0K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)91%
Cyndi Munson (D)9%

$43.5K Vol.

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove96%
Samantha Mota3%

$43.8K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20723%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$74.2K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$85.7K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together70%
The Democrats17%

$18.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%33%
Hinson 0-3%26%

$19.9K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$774.5K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry57%
Ken Sim43%

$279.4K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$231.0K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%28%

$18.0K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%56%
↓ 30%48%

$74.6K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby20%

$153.8K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.2K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$55.4K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$61.1K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)3%

$52.9K Vol.

$347.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2444%
25-2926%

$503.6K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$50.3K Vol.1 day left

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 3195%
October 3188%

$57.0K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)82%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$63.1K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$50.3K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 0-3%35%
Peltola 3-6%34%

$15.6K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)74%
Jonathan Nez (D)26%

$15.7K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$236.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula66%
Flavio Bolsonaro34%

$64.1K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats55%
Yisrael Beiteinu53%

$56.0K Vol.

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Zac de Vries79%
Rishi Sharma16%

$48.5K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats39%
Together34%

$8.0K Vol.

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković67%
Anton Rop13%

$15.2K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Democrat 0-3%18%

$23.4K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$84.2K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)94%
Brian Bengs (I)6%

$59.9K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)6%

$24.5K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%19%
Republican 0-3%18%

$25.9K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$142.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%33%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$4.5K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas98%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$784.8K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro84%
Lula17%

$54.0K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 20-25%21%
Republican 30-35%21%

$22.2K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)94%
John Nagel (R)5%

$71.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$39.2K Vol.

MI-03 House Election Winner

$55.1K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 6-9%22%
Ossoff 9-12%21%

$21.5K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund82%
Sven Schulze3%

$462.7K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%16%
Ruas 20%+10%

$27.2K Vol.

AZ-05 House Election Winner

Mark Lamb (R)90%
Elizabeth Lee (D)12%

$42.3K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass46%

$15.3M Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

92%chance

$53.2K Vol.13 days left

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$48.7K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon40%
Édouard Philippe37%

$11.2K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 3-6%25%
El-Sayed 0-3%23%

$13.2K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud51%
Yashar40%

$19.5K Vol.

Spain General Election: Turnout

70%+34%
68-70%22%

$5.6K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson76%
Cadu de Lula24%

$67.8K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$190.3K Vol.

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

$22.2K Vol.monthly

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$49.0K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Republican 3-6%18%

$26.2K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$135.1K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+49%
Democrat 18-21%14%

$17.3K Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 93%
Independent7%

$166.5K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz92%
Professora Maria do Carmo6%

$51.8K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

27%chance

$12.8K Vol.20 days left

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui63%
Mai Vang38%

$25.5K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$53.2K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%18%

$20.5K Vol.

2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner

Heather Jefts73%
Steven Snell25%

$22.7K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%27%
Republican 30-35%21%

$16.0K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)5%

$91.1K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%18%
Democrat 6-9%18%

$19.0K Vol.

Elections

Trump out as President before 2027?

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?