Elections

100 events

Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen45%
- Édouard Philippe20%
$150.6M Vol.

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$23.0M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.9M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.3B Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.4M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.0M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$716.0M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an67%
Puma Shen34%

$1.0M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance49%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.3M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.6M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.1M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.9M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu87%
Sorin Grindeanu5%

$5.1M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić70%
Ilija Srdanović19%

$1.2M Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$405.5K Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.5M Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$239.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$218.1K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$120.2K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)96%
John James (R)4%

$302.9K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$163.7K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$254.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$93.4K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)96%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$201.4K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez16%

$1.8M Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$276.5K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%
Jason Pearce (D)<1%

$79.4K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$154.8K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)80%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 20%

$549.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%
Mike Rogers (R)32%

$1.6M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$105.5K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow74%
Brad Bradford27%

$349.5K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$53.9K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$903.8K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff44%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez44%

$63.3K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)96%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$65.8K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$609.9K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp76%
Stefan Evers22%

$234.1K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat87%
PSD6%

$344.3K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%32%
Talarico 0-3%26%

$29.2K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$884.6K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD41%
Other33%

$67.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula66%
Flavio Bolsonaro36%

$69.2K Vol.

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R)96%
Jordan Herrera (D)3%

$73.2K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)76%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)24%

$16.7K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$360.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud43%

$658.5K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)91%
Cyndi Munson (D)9%

$43.5K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20723%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$74.2K Vol.

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove96%
Samantha Mota3%

$43.8K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$85.7K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$549.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$39.0K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together70%
The Democrats16%

$18.8K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$231.0K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%34%
Hinson 0-3%26%

$19.6K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry56%
Ken Sim44%

$278.7K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%28%

$18.0K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD78%
UDMR31%

$54.7K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 3-6%38%
Peltola 0-3%34%

$15.4K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby20%

$153.6K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$50.3K Vol.1 day left

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen88%
David Lisnard4%

$14.0K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$55.4K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.2K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%56%
↓ 30%47%

$73.7K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%59%
Remain 60–80%21%

$23.4K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)3%

$52.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro32%

$63.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$60.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2444%
25-2926%

$502.2K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui51%
Lee Shu-chuan50%

$107.6K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund79%
Sven Schulze3%

$460.1K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%20%
Republican 0-3%19%

$23.4K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$50.3K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)81%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$63.0K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF40%
Labour + Green27%

$65.1K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)74%
Jonathan Nez (D)26%

$15.7K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)94%
Brian Bengs (I)6%

$59.9K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%25%
Republican 40-45%23%

$37.9K Vol.

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković68%
Anton Rop13%

$15.2K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$83.7K Vol.

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner

$47.5K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.20 days left

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%19%
Republican 0-3%19%

$25.7K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$142.8K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson76%
Cadu de Lula24%

$67.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov90%
Kostadin Kostadinov5%

$5.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro84%
Lula17%

$54.0K Vol.