Elections

55 events

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep62%
- R Senate, D House28%
$22.5M Vol.

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Gavin Newsom15%

$1.3B Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen42%
Édouard Philippe22%

$149.9M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.0M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot47%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.8M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$715.7M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$625.6K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.1M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.6M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić70%
Ilija Srdanović17%

$1.1M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)36%

$3.4M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.1M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%
Pedro Sánchez15%

$1.8M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party38%

$6.4M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an66%
Puma Shen35%

$871.6K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)30%

$1.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$26.7K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson82%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.0M Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2443%
25-2926%

$495.3K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$23.2K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu58%
Sorin Grindeanu14%

$4.9M Vol.

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R)77%
Fred Wellman (D)23%

$65.3K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$111.9K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)96%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$52.1K Vol.

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R)96%
Chris Harden (D)1%

$75.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula81%
Flavio Bolsonaro20%

$40.9K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)88%
Zach Lahn (R)12%

$172.5K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)94%
Maria Jukic (D)4%

$75.2K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow69%
Brad Bradford32%

$327.6K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.22 days left

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$538.1K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$131.9K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$45.2K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)93%
Doug Jones (D)7%

$37.1K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

92%chance

$23.7K Vol.22 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.5K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.8M Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20725%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$64.7K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)79%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 21%

$525.2K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$89.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula68%
Flavio Bolsonaro32%

$56.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$41.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$7.8K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%
John E. Sununu (R)12%

$327.8K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$7.3K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Winner

$73.4K Vol.

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)95%
Todd Achilles (I)4%

$140.4K Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$43.7K Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$81.9K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)68%
Mike Beltran (R)28%

$66.1K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$539.7K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman52%
Karen Bass48%

$15.3M Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP86%
PSOE14%

$99.7K Vol.