Elections

395 events

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio13%
$712.6M Vol.

±2.5¢

Min Shares 100

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$18.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$1.1M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$2.1M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$596.3K Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot52%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%

$47.2M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$24.5M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Jon Ossoff14%

$1.3B Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen47%
Édouard Philippe18%

$152.4M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%
Republican Party37%

$7.0M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$4.0M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$222.9K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu94%
Alexandru Nazare1%

$5.4M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.8M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$717.0M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$42.0M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$141.2K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)59%
Joe Lombardo (R)43%

$474.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar68%
Likud33%

$934.9K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.7M Vol.2 months left

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.8M Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)93%
Andy Biggs (R)9%

$174.5K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.3M Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2442%
<2025%

$566.3K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$214.4K Vol.

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)96%
Todd Achilles (I)4%

$172.3K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić67%
Ilija Srdanović23%

$1.4M Vol.

NC-11 House Election Winner

Jamie Ager (D)87%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)9%

$53.0K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)91%
John E. Sununu (R)11%

$362.0K Vol.

CA-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party97%
Republican Party<1%

$90.4K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei48%
Axel Kicillof30%

$953.6K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94%
Republican Party6%

$38.7K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)66%
Jon Husted (R)36%

$1.3M Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)41%

$2.3M Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$112.2K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$333.7K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$646.4K Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$83.5K Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an61%
Puma Shen38%

$1.2M Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)71%
Shomari Figures (D)31%

$103.0K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)83%
Max Miller (R)17%

$109.2K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$27.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro67%
Lula35%

$111.9K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$256.7K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)4%

$57.7K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow76%
Brad Bradford25%

$419.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%38%
5-6%28%

$17.2K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.6M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez16%

$1.9M Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$51.7K Vol.

Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner

Atsumi Harasawa97%
Kazuma Nakatani2%

$19.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula64%
Flavio Bolsonaro36%

$100.3K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman53%
Karen Bass47%

$15.4M Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)96%
Michael Whatley (R)4%

$231.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$904.2K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%69%
Iotova 10-20%13%

$30.6K Vol.

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

$93.8K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)13%

$257.5K Vol.

South Carolina Governor Election Winner

$26.7K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together85%
The Democrats8%

$72.0K Vol.

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković64%
Luka Mesec24%

$31.0K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan26%

$1.4M Vol.

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Miloš Vučević29%
Ana Brnabić20%

$89.5K Vol.

NV-04 House Election Winner

$26.6K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)96%
Doug Jones (D)4%

$47.9K Vol.

ME-02 House Election Winner

Paul LePage (R)63%
Matthew Dunlap (D)39%

$37.2K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%
Ulf Kristersson17%

$10.2M Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$242.7K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$133.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen12%

$65.9K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D)55%
Rob Wittman (R)47%

$72.4K Vol.

NC-01 House Election Winner

Don Davis (D)71%
Laurie Buckhout (R)30%

$38.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$441.1K Vol.

FL-07 House Election Winner

Ryan Elijah (R)68%
Bale Dalton (D)32%

$34.4K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui59%
Lee Shu-chuan40%

$119.1K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%54%
Remain 20–40%19%

$39.5K Vol.

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

>99%chance

$18.6K Vol.1 year left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$75.2K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$75.0K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)20%

$724.4K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$67.4K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Talarico 0-3%32%
Paxton 0-3%31%

$38.5K Vol.

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

5%chance

$11.2K Vol.16 days left

Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Mike O'Reilly56%
Nelly Dever43%

$47.5K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez42%
Jon Ossoff30%

$82.1K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$805.1K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)4%

$96.3K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Winner

Elaine Luria (D)88%
Jen Kiggans (R)13%

$54.8K Vol.

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

162%
228%

$70.4K Vol.

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 3195%
October 3192%

$67.6K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)56%
Adam Hamilton (D)45%

$4.7K Vol.

Kelowna Mayoral Election

Tom Dyas71%
Ron Cannan28%

$31.9K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD93%
UDMR8%

$82.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula64%
Flavio Bolsonaro35%

$84.7K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

$671.1K Vol.2 months left

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)87%
Michele Tafoya (R)14%

$276.2K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%31%
↓ 30%25%

$89.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula2%

$5.2K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat96%
PSD3%

$352.3K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

66-70%41%
62-66%38%

$22.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha20%

$50.5K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$561.8K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Cooper 9-12%23%
Cooper 12-15%22%

$21.6K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)10%

$232.3K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S + MP + C + V18%
S + MP18%

$104.9K Vol.

AZ-01 House Election Winner

Amish Shah (D)84%
Jay Feely (R)18%

$70.1K Vol.

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?

↑ 75%36%
↑ 70%33%

$5.3K Vol.

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

6%chance

$8.3K Vol.16 days left

Richmond Mayoral Election

Rob Howard40%
Kash Heed34%

$42.5K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry58%
Ken Sim42%

$285.8K Vol.

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Zac de Vries81%
Rishi Sharma18%

$56.9K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Pete Buttigieg27%
Rahm Emanuel26%

$1.2M Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)5%

$28.3K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)68%
Sam Forstag (D)34%

$92.5K Vol.

NH-01 House Election Winner

$52.4K Vol.

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

$257.7K Vol.

NY-22 House Election Winner

John Mannion (D)95%
Kailee Buller (R)5%

$33.2K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD89%
PSD + AUR3%

$101.9K Vol.

New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Patrick Johnstone78%
Daniel Fontaine19%

$12.0K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)64%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$917.1K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

James Comer61%
Thomas Massie14%

$2.8K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp91%
Stefan Evers8%

$242.0K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Hamilton Wins38%
Marshall 0-5%35%

$14.3K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$440.6K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon38%
Édouard Philippe30%

$18.7K Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

94%chance

$35.5K Vol.7 days left

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)77%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 24%

$577.6K Vol.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic64%
Republican35%

$2.5M Vol.

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Raman 0-4%24%
Bass 0-4%19%

$22.0K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$546.7K Vol.

Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner

Philip Brown56%
Daniel Mullen9%

$19.7K Vol.

CT-05 House Election Winner

Jahana Hayes (D)96%
Chris Shea (R)3%

$11.7K Vol.

NV-01 House Election Winner

Dina Titus (D)96%
Carrie Buck (R)4%

$35.1K Vol.

TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%29%
Republican 25-30%25%

$21.4K Vol.

NV-03 House Election Winner

Susie Lee (D)95%
Martin O'Donnell (R)6%

$11.6K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE17%

$115.5K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

$37.1K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)76%
Jonathan Nez (D)24%

$17.9K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

205-20929%
Below 19024%

$334.3K Vol.

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

89%chance

$4.7K Vol.16 days left

FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%31%
Republican 5-10%30%

$25.0K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Jackson 0-3%25%
Jackson 3-6%22%

$11.4K Vol.

Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Jordan Bardella>99%
Jean-Philippe Tanguy<1%

$42.6K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 80%
David Jolly (D)21%

$299.0K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$301.1K Vol.

Mexico City Congress Election Winner

Morena66%
PVEM11%

$5.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

546%
421%

$12.7K Vol.

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?

99%chance

$3.3K Vol.16 days left

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear88%
Ted Cruz83%

$116.1K Vol.

Surrey Mayoral Election

Brenda Locke95%
Linda Annis1%

$43.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula2%

$9.7K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

290K-305K36%
305K-320K23%

$16.7K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Winner

Vicentinho Júnior82%
Professora Dorinha16%

$34.7K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%24%
Republican 20-25%21%

$30.8K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

SPD78%
Linke77%

$24.4K Vol.

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%30%
Democrat 15-20%23%

$14.9K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Cadu wins42%
Allyson 3-6%21%

$11.5K Vol.

Maine Governor Election Winner

$45.9K Vol.

Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Dylan Kruger54%
Melissa Granum28%

$28.2K Vol.

FL-26 House Election Winner

$85.4K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson57%
Cadu de Lula41%

$76.1K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California98%

$434.8K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Turnout

9M+28%
7.75M-8M25%

$17.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

Otzma Yehudit33%
The Democrats31%

$10.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Tally Gotliv14%

$52.1K Vol.

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

JD Vance80%
Other10%

$2.7K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%33%
Hinson 0-3%21%

$25.5K Vol.

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu72%
Peter Obi23%

$132.1K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz86%
Professora Maria do Carmo13%

$80.1K Vol.

Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?

Haniff Hoosen49%
Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi26%

$33.3K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

James Talarico (D)52%
Ken Paxton (R)49%

$9.2K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%27%
Republican 20-25%23%

$13.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

085%
114%

$3.0K Vol.

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

40-45%29%
35-40%28%

$25.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$51.4K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$95.5K Vol.

ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%27%
Republican 30-35%19%

$16.1K Vol.

OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%38%
Democrat 15-20%22%

$33.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro91%
Lula10%

$16.6K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund72%
Sven Schulze3%

$474.0K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

800K-900K46%
900K-1M25%

$8.8K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne95%

$25.1K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon>99%
Charles Milliard<1%

$421.5K Vol.

Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Jack Crompton95%
Brandon Smith3%

$14.1K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud69%
Yashar27%

$24.4K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar59%
The Democrats56%

$62.0K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

84%chance

$2.0K Vol.43 days left

Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Craig Hodge94%
Trish Mandewo3%

$20.3K Vol.

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

4-532%
6-731%

$13.6K Vol.

NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 15-20%27%

$17.9K Vol.

Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%20%
Democrat 15-20%20%

$23.1K Vol.

NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%26%
Republican 20-25%26%

$18.0K Vol.

OH-13 House Election Winner

Emilia Sykes (D)95%
Carey Coleman (R)1%

$43.4K Vol.

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%30%
Democrat 60-65%28%

$13.1K Vol.

FL-27 House Election Winner

$39.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

82%chance

$4.8K Vol.8 days left

VA-06 House Election Winner

Ben Cline (R)94%
Beth Macy (D)7%

$121.7K Vol.

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%27%
Republican 15-20%25%

$16.7K Vol.

Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Gary Sulz86%
Tim Palmer12%

$32.0K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%27%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$10.7K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$204.0K Vol.

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Ty Masterson (R)76%
Cindy Holscher (D)23%

$65.2K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Winner

Nick LaLota (R)86%
Chris Gallant (D)13%

$52.5K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)72%
Tom Perriello (D)30%

$128.7K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%22%
Democrat 10-15%22%

$19.6K Vol.

Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%27%
Republican 20-25%23%

$9.8K Vol.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party71%
Republican Party20%

$10.6K Vol.

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 50-55%21%
Republican 40-45%18%

$24.5K Vol.

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3%+96%
Republican 0-3%3%

$64.2K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)77%
Adam Hamilton (D)22%

$986.0 Vol.

Baja California Sur Congress Election Winner

Morena57%
PAN14%

$4.3K Vol.

Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Simon Yu40%
Kyle Sampson35%

$21.9K Vol.

MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 30-35%32%
Democrat 25-30%28%

$22.7K Vol.

IN-05 House Election Winner

Victoria Spartz (R)81%
J. D. Ford (D)20%

$32.6K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%47%
5-6%39%

$12.1K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe39%

$382.9K Vol.

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

3.25M-3.5M22%
4M+20%

$10.9K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-10%28%
Republican 15-20%18%

$22.0K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

62-64%35%
64-66%28%

$2.8K Vol.weekly

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$66.4K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Abbott 6-9%20%
Abbott 3-6%20%

$11.2K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)95%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$43.3K Vol.

South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%26%
Republican 15-20%25%

$20.7K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%19%
Democrat 3-6%18%

$19.2K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova89%
Аndrey Gyurov12%

$1.2M Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)94%
Maria Jukic (D)3%

$97.2K Vol.

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

41%chance

$4.0K Vol.16 days left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula82%
Flavio Bolsonaro18%

$57.1K Vol.

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Carlos Torres Piña35%
Grecia Quiroz25%

$61.2K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%30%
Democrat 0-3%16%

$12.5K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

4.3M-4.5M27%
3.9M-4.1M26%

$18.1K Vol.

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

12%chance

$85.5K Vol.2 months left

CA-01 House Election Winner

$46.7K Vol.

$3.0K Vol.

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Dominique de Villepin55%
François Hollande26%

$114.4K Vol.

OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%26%
Republican 40-45%23%

$19.8K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

900K-975K37%
1.05M+25%

$40.3K Vol.

MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 40-45%16%

$21.2K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

Mike Rogers (R)62%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)33%

$7.3K Vol.

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

6%chance

$10.2K Vol.16 days left

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

12%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer56%
John Thune25%

$173.5K Vol.

New York Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%26%
Democrat 10-15%21%

$9.9K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%32%
Democrat 45-50%27%

$25.4K Vol.

Victoria Legislative Council Election Winner

Liberal–National79%
Labor16%

$5.3K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%18%

$24.2K Vol.

New South Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Labor60%
Liberal–National18%

$3.6K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

Ford 0-3%20%
Lombardo 0-3%19%

$16.0K Vol.

WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%22%
Republican 30-35%20%

$13.9K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%35%
Republican 15-18%22%

$10.4K Vol.

AK-AL House Election Winner

Republican Party86%
Bill Hill14%

$61.9K Vol.

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Democratic Party57%
Republican Party42%

$5.6K Vol.

SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%35%
Republican 15-20%24%

$11.2K Vol.

Kitchener, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Berry Vrbanovic97%
Manikantan Nair2%

$4.5K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

45%chance

$4.8K Vol.43 days left

Košice Region Governor Election Winner

Rastislav Trnka71%
Marián Porvažník23%

$8.3K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

42%chance

$55.2K Vol.2 months left

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 10-15%6%
Ruas 15-20%6%

$42.6K Vol.

MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 25-30%35%
Republican 20-25%22%

$26.1K Vol.

FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%33%
Republican 10-15%32%

$12.9K Vol.

NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%31%
Democrat 60-65%30%

$16.3K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton86%
Harwinder Sandhu16%

$7.8K Vol.

Colorado Senate Election: Turnout

2.55M-2.7M29%
2.7M-2.85M27%

$12.7K Vol.

TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%31%
Republican 20-25%28%

$11.6K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

Kotek 6-9%19%
Kotek 9-12%18%

$15.7K Vol.

MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%22%
Democrat 50-55%17%

$23.6K Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 92%
Independent9%

$180.8K Vol.

PA-01 House Election Winner

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63%
Bob Harvie (D)39%

$39.2K Vol.

Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?

40-45%39%
45-50%28%

$20.1K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

4.2M-4.4M37%
4M-4.2M32%

$10.7K Vol.

PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%29%
Democrat 6-9%19%

$16.8K Vol.

Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?

Cilliers Brink42%
Nasiphi Moya23%

$25.7K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN37%
PDC20%

$7.8K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

$17.5K Vol.

TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%24%
Democrat 50-55%23%

$16.2K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%27%
Republican 10-15%25%

$12.9K Vol.

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

8%chance

$7.4K Vol.16 days left

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

14%chance

$8.2K Vol.10 days left

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout

275K-300K26%
325K-350K24%

$13.3K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%22%
Republican 5-15%18%

$15.2K Vol.

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Alexi Giannoulias69%
Brandon Johnson14%

$7.9K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen86%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon9%

$34.3K Vol.

Jalisco Congress Election Winner

MC54%
Morena25%

$4.8K Vol.

AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%28%
Republican 20-25%22%

$10.4K Vol.

2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner

Heather Jefts69%
Steven Snell30%

$26.1K Vol.

TX-33 House Election Winner

$17.6K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$65.6K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni54%
Elly Schlein19%

$94.2K Vol.

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 40-45%23%

$12.4K Vol.

Florida Attorney General Election Winner

$6.3K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%38%
Democrat 0-3%20%

$18.8K Vol.

IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%28%

$16.0K Vol.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am97%
RZP-Zehut88%

$15.5K Vol.

Next Regional Board Chair of Sörmland?

Christoffer Öqvist>99%
Lars Lundqvist<1%

$37.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

57%chance

$4.9K Vol.10 days left

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1630%
20+28%

$12.1K Vol.

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?

93%chance

$3.2K Vol.16 days left

TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%19%
Democrat 12%+17%

$12.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rondônia

Flavio Bolsonaro>99%
Lula<1%

$3.7K Vol.

Pingtung County Magistrate Election Winner

Chou Chun-mi83%
Su Ching-chuan14%

$6.7K Vol.

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Scott Gillingham81%
Kevin Klein8%

$32.9K Vol.

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

$79.0K Vol.

Tlaxcala Congress Election Winner

Morena70%
PT13%

$6.0K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$28.0K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Democrat 0-3%19%

$19.4K Vol.

Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner

RSP35%
Congress30%

$1.7K Vol.

Next Regional Board Chair of Stockholm?

Aida Hadžialić51%
Axel Conradi9%

$19.2K Vol.

NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%31%
Democrat 3-6%20%

$14.9K Vol.

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

53%chance

$28.2K Vol.17 days left

Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

Javier Milei59%
Axel Kicillof20%

$13.3K Vol.

California Governor Election: Turnout

13M-13.5M27%
12.5M-13M17%

$10.0K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$78.1K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%36%
Republican 6-9%17%

$14.6K Vol.

MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%30%
Democrat 20-25%23%

$14.7K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%30%
↑ 12%14%

$186.8K Vol.

PA-07 House Election Winner

Bob Brooks (D)87%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)14%

$35.4K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

Sand 12%+22%
Sand 6-9%22%

$14.7K Vol.

Zacatecas Congress Election Winner

Morena53%
PAN26%

$6.5K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova98%
Andrey Gyurov3%

$18.4K Vol.

IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%30%
Republican 30-35%23%

$18.6K Vol.

OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%26%
Democrat 10-15%20%

$18.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2327%
<2020%

$20.2K Vol.

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

$59.4K Vol.

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Aaron Gunn30%
Caroline Elliott19%

$8.7K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%28%
Republican 5-10%24%

$19.9K Vol.

TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%33%
Republican 0-5%22%

$14.1K Vol.

IN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 25-30%31%

$7.3K Vol.

IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%29%
Democrat 40-45%25%

$15.1K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Winner

Chris McGowan (R)95%
David Dawson (D)6%

$56.5K Vol.

MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 35-40%21%

$17.7K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout

700K-750K40%
650K-700K35%

$14.2K Vol.

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Ken Calvert52%
Young Kim47%

$16.5K Vol.

Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%22%
Republican 15-20%18%

$19.6K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho <4%47%
Vicentinho 4%+29%

$5.0K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%19%

$27.6K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Turnout

1.1M-1.2M30%
1.2M+25%

$10.9K Vol.

KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 50-55%28%
Republican 55-60%25%

$13.8K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)6%

$110.4K Vol.

2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner

Chris Hill85%
John R. "Buster" Brown12%

$26.2K Vol.

Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?

12%chance

$2.6K Vol.2 months left

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party55%
National Party45%

$64.6K Vol.

TX-31 House Election Winner

John Carter (R)95%
Justin Early (D)5%

$60.8K Vol.

Texas Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Dan Patrick (R)77%
Vikki Goodwin (D)25%

$10.9K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%27%

$15.5K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?

171%
230%

$9.0K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

≤46 and ≤19231%
47–49 and 193–20726%

$78.6K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$229.0K Vol.17 days left

MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%25%
Democrat 0-3%19%

$11.2K Vol.

TX-12 House Election Winner

$58.2K Vol.

Chiapas Congress Election Winner

Morena64%
PVEM7%

$7.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

11.2M+31%
9.6M-10M17%

$15.3K Vol.

Nayarit Congress Election Winner

Morena76%
PAN11%

$5.2K Vol.

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%19%
Democrat 9-12%17%

$18.1K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 10-12%20%

$158.3K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%17%

$27.0K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election Winner

Nuevas Ideas (NI)95%
Vamos2%

$5.4K Vol.

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%27%
Democrat 15-20%24%

$9.3K Vol.

Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%32%
Democrat 15-20%28%

$5.1K Vol.

West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sager65%
Kirk LaPointe29%

$10.3K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%24%
Republican 10-15%19%

$15.6K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

4.8M-4.95M27%
4.65M-4.8M25%

$33.2K Vol.

IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%32%
Democrat 35-40%28%

$20.3K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 10-15%28%

$14.8K Vol.

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner

Charlie Crist90%
Ken Welch6%

$60.8K Vol.

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 25-30%23%

$9.1K Vol.

PA-17 House Election Winner

Chris Deluzio (D)96%
Tony Guy (R)2%

$31.1K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory

Student List 10%+25%
United Serbia 10%+21%

$14.2K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 15%+39%
Aziz 6-10%38%

$6.3K Vol.

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Zeeshan Wahla59%
Amna Shah32%

$2.4K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%42%
Republican 10-15%35%

$12.3K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 10-15%38%
Republican 5-10%28%

$12.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%59%
2.5-3.25%22%

$7.2K Vol.

AR-03 House Election Winner

Steve Womack (R)95%
Robb Ryerse (D)4%

$32.5K Vol.

TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%25%
Democrat 45-50%19%

$14.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-939%
12-1323%

$7.2K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-695%
7-93%

$105.1K Vol.

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Bruce Blakeman (R)66%
Kathy Hochul (D)32%

$28.9K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)24%

$231.4K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%23%
Democrat 15-20%22%

$11.8K Vol.

IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%36%
Democrat 20-25%28%

$16.8K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

7%chance

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%35%
Republican 15-20%23%

$17.4K Vol.

NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%30%
Democrat 20-25%27%

$17.2K Vol.

Querétaro Congress Election Winner

PAN52%
Morena28%

$3.8K Vol.

Durango Congress Election Winner

Morena34%
PAN31%

$2.5K Vol.

Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

2M-2.2M43%
1.8M-2M39%

$15.2K Vol.

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio30%
J.D. Vance7%

$52.1K Vol.

KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%32%
Democrat 10-15%23%

$15.9K Vol.

OK-01 House Election Winner

Mark Tedford (R)97%
John Croisant (D)1%

$43.5K Vol.

TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%28%
Republican 40-45%26%

$14.0K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

4.6M-4.8M42%
4.8M-5M37%

$21.7K Vol.

SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%36%
Republican 20-25%26%

$9.6K Vol.