Tech

196 events

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 30>99%
- October 3198%
$1.7M Vol.

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Min Shares 50

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic27%

$2.3M Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA76%
Apple22%

$8.1M Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1390%
October 146%

$73.6K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3174%

$356.2K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google43%
Anthropic42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA89%
Apple11%

$284.2K Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+85%
50%+83%

$67.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google52%
Anthropic38%

$286.1K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 236%

$48.6K Vol.

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3098%
October 3198%

$54.0K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3172%
October 3116%

$240.5K Vol.

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202922%
December 31, 202819%

$1.7M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3125%
October 1313%

$52.4K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1420+87%
1400+86%

$54.0K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

10%chance

$63.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

85%chance

$345.1K Vol.2 months left

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

080%
112%

$335.1K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI54%
Google45%

$11.1K Vol.weekly

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026

Lindsay Clancy80%
Bad Bunny67%

$17.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi43%
Alibaba39%

$202.5K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+78%
50%+77%

$41.2K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+85%
1490+78%

$9.1K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+77%
60%+38%

$139.2K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$826.2K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$290.0K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google46%
OpenAI36%

$5.2K Vol.weekly

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202710%

$3.4M Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft33%
Anthropic23%

$29.5K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3138%
November 3033%

$1.6M Vol.

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$155.7K Vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$252.6K Vol.

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

91%chance

$109.7K Vol.2 months left

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google74%
Anthropic20%

$75.3K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3158%
October 1510%

$25.2K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 143%

$103.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI6%

$73.5K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

Lindsay Clancy37%
Nicolás Maduro21%

$203.0K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202621%

$433.2K Vol.

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

Dolly Parton62%
Hayden Panettiere14%

$127.0K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+55%
321%

$22.6K Vol.monthly

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202760%
June 30, 202746%

$1.3M Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta72%
Xiaomi21%

$61.5K Vol.monthly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+84%
50%+49%

$8.8K Vol.

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Lindsay Clancy23%
Erling Haaland17%

$338.5K Vol.

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

3-6 hours51%
6-12 hours36%

$15.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic76%
OpenAI17%

$49.3K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+59%
65%+31%

$103.2K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.6K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI25%
Google23%

$14.9K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI70%
Anthropic26%

$27.4K Vol.monthly

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal11%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

Obsession42%
The Odyssey37%

$241.0K Vol.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

4%chance

$846.1K Vol.37 days left

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+77%
1490+72%

$19.9K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3111%
October 162%

$35.3K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202718%

$691.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba38%
Xiaomi31%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?

Dolly Parton54%
Hayden Panettiere16%

$96.5K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI64%
Google15%

$57.6K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high90%
Other9%

$6.6K Vol.weekly

Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026

The Odyssey95%
Obsession86%

$22.9K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

San Diego, CA82%
Denver, CO80%

$64.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+79%
$6.00-$6.5019%

$42.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+77%
$6.50-$7.008%

$99.8K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4550%
↓ $4039%

$8.9K Vol.annual

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$37.8K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek73%
Qwen21%

$2.3K Vol.weekly

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-741%
8-1032%

$9.7K Vol.monthly

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?63%
March 31, 202756%

$61.7K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#17%

$276.0K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic64%
Google20%

$54.5K Vol.monthly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+64%
60%+45%

$155.3K Vol.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Muse from Meta86%
ChatGPT14%

$2.4K Vol.weekly

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202926%
December 31, 202820%

$253.9K Vol.

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple66%
Alphabet16%

$29.8K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic49%
Google34%

$30.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google56%
Anthropic41%

$31.5K Vol.monthly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+78%
50%+40%

$101.3K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic77%
OpenAI14%

$18.4K Vol.monthly

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 3111%
October 3110%

$5.8K Vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $6057%
↓ $4035%

$11.8K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+28%
1490+28%

$270.1K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic53%
OpenAI12%

$212.2K Vol.monthly

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple93%
NVIDIA4%

$22.5K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+82%
50%+81%

$110.7K Vol.

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Shadowrocket96%
Procreate Pocket4%

$1.1K Vol.weekly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta45%
Alibaba14%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+39%
45%+39%

$102.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI72%
SpaceXAI12%

$14.3K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google48%
Moonshot20%

$64.3K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3028%
October 3113%

$24.4K Vol.

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2570%
↑ $3058%

$13.6K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+82%
55%+60%

$7.0K Vol.

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3162%
October 1518%

$24.6K Vol.

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

December 3167%
November 3061%

$3.1K Vol.monthly

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202743%
December 31, 20268%

$77.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic67%
Google33%

$39.4K Vol.monthly

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202719%

$688.4K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

242%
338%

$775.9 Vol.

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

2%chance

$775.8 Vol.8 months left

Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026

Euphoria56%
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms56%

$24.2K Vol.

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?

Euphoria26%
Stranger Things16%

$124.2K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google57%
OpenAI18%

$36.1K Vol.monthly

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

HotSchedules84%
Shadowrocket4%

$736.9 Vol.weekly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0024%
$3.00-$3.5018%

$68.9K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+75%
$50+53%

$5.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic88%
Meta7%

$30.4K Vol.monthly

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?

$1.00-$1.10T39%
$900B-$1.00T36%

$10.5K Vol.monthly

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+60%
50%+46%

$157.0K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Google36%
Anthropic29%

$14.2K Vol.monthly

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Starlink50%
India49%

$1.1K Vol.weekly

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Google18%
Microsoft16%

$101.0K Vol.

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3184%
November 3079%

$6.9K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Google38%
Anthropic34%

$13.0K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2536%
↓ $1532%

$10.0K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3028%
October 3114%

$9.6K Vol.

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4549%
↓ $4047%

$19.8K Vol.

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

December 3137%
October 3112%

$4.5K Vol.

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines42%
Anduril20%

$214.4K Vol.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20262%

$484.3K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI57%
Anthropic20%

$14.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0023%
$7.00-$7.5023%

$8.8K Vol.monthly

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 202719%
December 31, 20266%

$3.0M Vol.

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3172%
November 3058%

$4.4K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

61%chance

$3.6K Vol.1 year left

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic88%
OpenAI9%

$105.4K Vol.monthly

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

4%chance

$9.5K Vol.2 months left

Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026

Erling Braut Haaland86%
Alysa Liu64%

$40.3K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic44%
Google35%

$24.0K Vol.monthly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T47%
725T+25%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+88%
1520+50%

$7.3K Vol.

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202767%
September 30, 202733%

$178.2K Vol.

#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Erling Haaland22%
Bad Bunny19%

$25.7K Vol.

ChatGPT Outage by...?

October 3166%
October 1520%

$459.0 Vol.monthly

SSI public model released by…?

December 3157%
November 3049%

$132.8K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta66%
Moonshot12%

$57.0K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Anthropic37%
Meta9%

$17.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+52%
$0.55-$0.6022%

$52.1K Vol.monthly

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3035%
October 3128%

$43.9K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google30%
Alibaba17%

$12.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic52%
Google41%

$69.9K Vol.monthly

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026

Lindsay Clancy75%
Erling Haaland49%

$37.9K Vol.

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

October 3151%
November 3046%

$2.7K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

$OAI40%
$OPAI33%

$21.2K Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

$30.2K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta37%
OpenAI19%

$25.9K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3137%
December 3125%

$961.6 Vol.

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+67%

$3.9K Vol.

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3065%
October 3155%

$9.8K Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202712%
December 31, 202610%

$22.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba32%
DeepSeek22%

$6.6K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google42%
Anthropic35%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+70%
$50+48%

$5.8K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba39%
Xiaomi28%

$52.1K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3171%
November 3050%

$3.2K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

StepFun30%
Meta24%

$14.6K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI81%
Anthropic11%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?

Erling Braut Haaland45%
Alysa Liu22%

$80.6K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai42%
Meta33%

$61.2K Vol.monthly

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture21%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)19%

$59.6K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI87%
Google8%

$40.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$2.75-$3.0036%
$2.50-$2.7528%

$34.2K Vol.monthly

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3192%
October 3131%

$1.0K Vol.

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

5%chance

$63.3K Vol.2 months left

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet64%
Microsoft28%

$69.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0060%
$1.00-$1.2526%

$49.0K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

Google28%
OpenAI23%

$10.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.55-$0.6024%
$0.65-$0.7021%

$5.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic41%
Google36%

$4.5K Vol.monthly

Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?

17%chance

$6.5K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Anthropic63%
OpenAI20%

$16.0K Vol.monthly

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3154%
October 3114%

$5.1K Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202721%

$743.2K Vol.

AWS service disrupted by...?

November 3025%
October 3120%

$14.0K Vol.monthly

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Moonshot46%
Z.ai21%

$32.6K Vol.monthly

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

December 31, 202618%
October 31, 20264%

$7.8K Vol.

Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?

November 3045%
January 3140%

$564.6 Vol.monthly

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

75%34%
80%22%

$35.4K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI56%
Anthropic24%

$9.4K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156059%
158017%

$236.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Anthropic50%
Google34%

$27.8K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3059%
October 318%

$10.3K Vol.

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

November 3074%
October 3139%

$808.8 Vol.

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

37%chance

$4.8K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0056%
$1.00-$1.2522%

$15.7K Vol.monthly

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

December 31, 202759%
December 31, 20263%

$74.7K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Anthropic35%
Google29%

$12.4K Vol.monthly

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202719%

$514.1K Vol.

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3131%
October 1512%

$187.5 Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Google50%
ByteDance24%

$8.8K Vol.monthly

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202923%
December 31, 202820%

$118.2K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

OpenAI9%
Anthropic7%

$4.9K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

Google28%
OpenAI22%

$5.2K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI20%

$7.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Google72%
ByteDance13%

$47.6K Vol.monthly