Elections

Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen45%
- Édouard Philippe20%
$150.6M Vol.

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$23.0M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.9M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.4M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.3B Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.0M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an67%
Puma Shen34%

$1.0M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$716.0M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.6M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$46.0M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.1M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu87%
Sorin Grindeanu6%

$5.1M Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$415.5K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić70%
Ilija Srdanović19%

$1.2M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance49%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.3M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.5M Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$239.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$218.1K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$120.3K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$302.9K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$163.7K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$254.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$93.4K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$201.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$154.8K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$276.5K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)80%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 20%

$549.8K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%
Jason Pearce (D)2%

$79.2K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez15%

$1.8M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%
Mike Rogers (R)32%

$1.6M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow74%
Brad Bradford27%

$349.4K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$105.0K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$53.9K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$903.8K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff44%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez44%

$63.2K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)96%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$65.8K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$608.8K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp73%
Stefan Evers22%

$233.2K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat87%
PSD6%

$344.3K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%33%
Talarico 0-3%26%

$29.2K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$884.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula66%
Flavio Bolsonaro36%

$69.1K Vol.

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R)96%
Jordan Herrera (D)3%

$73.2K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)76%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)24%

$16.7K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud43%

$658.2K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$360.8K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)91%
Cyndi Munson (D)9%

$43.5K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$548.8K Vol.

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove96%
Samantha Mota3%

$43.8K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20723%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$74.2K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$85.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$39.0K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together70%
The Democrats17%

$18.8K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen88%
David Lisnard4%

$14.0K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$230.7K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%34%
Hinson 0-3%26%

$19.6K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry57%
Ken Sim43%

$278.7K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%28%

$18.0K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD75%
UDMR29%

$54.7K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 3-6%38%
Peltola 0-3%34%

$15.4K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby20%

$153.6K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$50.3K Vol.1 day left

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$55.4K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.2K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%56%
↓ 30%47%

$73.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro32%

$63.2K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe46%

$354.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$60.5K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%61%
Remain 60–80%23%

$22.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2444%
25-2926%

$502.0K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui51%
Lee Shu-chuan50%

$107.6K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund79%
Sven Schulze3%

$460.1K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)81%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$63.0K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$50.3K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%25%
Republican 40-45%23%

$37.4K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%21%
Republican 0-3%20%

$23.3K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon44%
Édouard Philippe36%

$9.9K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF40%
Labour + Green27%

$65.1K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%18%

$20.5K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)75%
Jonathan Nez (D)25%

$15.5K Vol.

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković68%
Anton Rop14%

$15.2K Vol.

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner

$47.5K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$83.6K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov90%
Kostadin Kostadinov5%

$5.8K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S + MP + C + V21%
S20%

$90.5K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.20 days left

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$142.8K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Republican 3-6%18%

$26.2K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%19%
Republican 0-3%19%

$25.7K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson76%
Cadu de Lula24%

$67.7K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)95%
Brian Bengs (I)6%

$59.3K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%25%
Republican 20-25%23%

$22.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro84%
Lula17%

$54.0K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu53%
United Torah Judaism51%

$55.2K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats51%
Together32%

$7.3K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas98%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$784.6K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)76%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$235.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%19%

$22.1K Vol.

MI-03 House Election Winner

$55.0K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 3-6%24%
El-Sayed 0-3%23%

$13.1K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%19%
Ruas 20%+11%

$27.2K Vol.

AZ-05 House Election Winner

Mark Lamb (R)90%
Elizabeth Lee (D)12%

$42.3K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova97%
Andrey Gyurov2%

$14.5K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass46%

$15.3M Vol.

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%27%
Republican 30-35%21%

$16.0K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$47.7K Vol.

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

$21.4K Vol.monthly

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)4%

$69.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud52%
Yashar40%

$19.5K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%35%
Democrat 70-75%31%

$26.0K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

93%chance

$52.7K Vol.13 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$49.0K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%33%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$3.4K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$135.1K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+49%
Democrat 18-21%14%

$17.3K Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

64%chance

$12.8K Vol.10 days left

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 93%
Independent7%

$166.5K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

26%chance

$12.8K Vol.20 days left

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui63%
Mai Vang38%

$25.5K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz92%
Professora Maria do Carmo7%

$51.8K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$53.2K Vol.

2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner

Heather Jefts73%
Steven Snell25%

$22.7K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)5%

$91.1K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%18%
Democrat 6-9%18%

$19.0K Vol.

WA-04 House Election Winner

$63.1K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$541.9K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe24%

$6.7K Vol.

Kelowna Mayoral Election

Ron Cannan73%
Tom Dyas28%

$23.3K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

54%chance

$52.5K Vol.2 months left

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%34%
Republican 20-25%33%

$25.4K Vol.

Spain General Election: Turnout

70%+28%
62-64%23%

$4.0K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$189.6K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

4.8M-5M31%
4.6M-4.8M29%

$24.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$46.1K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei55%
Axel Kicillof33%

$840.6K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%24%
Republican 5-10%19%

$18.5K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%
John E. Sununu (R)13%

$330.2K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%32%
Democrat 3-6%20%

$16.0K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP87%
PSOE14%

$102.7K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$768.6K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$10.5K Vol.

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%23%
Republican 6-9%20%

$12.8K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%26%
Democrat 10-15%23%

$17.3K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%23%
Democrat 0-3%21%

$19.5K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%22%
Republican 20-25%17%

$12.2K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Marshall 0-5%38%
Hamilton Wins37%

$11.1K Vol.

FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%42%
Democrat 20-25%27%

$11.9K Vol.

CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%31%
Democrat 25-30%22%

$16.3K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%17%
Republican 3-6%14%

$16.0K Vol.

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

Johnny Chiang75%
Ho Hsin-chun27%

$14.1K Vol.

NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%25%
Republican 9-12%23%

$10.0K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%27%
Republican 15-20%27%

$7.8K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)77%
Tom Perriello (D)23%

$120.3K Vol.

OR-04 House Election Winner

Val Hoyle (D)96%
Monique DeSpain (R)5%

$34.6K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Jackson 3-6%34%
Jackson 0-3%17%

$18.6K Vol.

Richmond Mayoral Election

Rob Howard40%
Kash Heed28%

$33.4K Vol.

NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%18%
Republican 6-9%18%

$13.8K Vol.

NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%43%
Democrat 20-25%22%

$13.8K Vol.

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Zac de Vries67%
Rishi Sharma20%

$43.5K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%26%
Republican 20-25%25%

$18.1K Vol.

GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 60-65%36%
Democrat 55-60%31%

$9.4K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)11%

$223.8K Vol.

OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%30%
Republican 0-5%24%

$12.4K Vol.