Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep62%
- R Senate, D House28%
$22.9M Vol.

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.8M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.2M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$216.0K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)64%
Ken Paxton (R)37%

$3.6M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$405.1K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$239.6K Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$163.3K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$119.9K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$302.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$154.5K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$86.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$252.4K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%
Jason Pearce (D)2%

$79.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$46.1K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$85.5K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$105.0K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$53.9K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)80%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 19%

$544.1K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$191.9K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$608.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)96%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$65.2K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$898.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%34%
Talarico 0-3%26%

$28.6K Vol.

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R)96%
Jordan Herrera (D)3%

$73.2K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)76%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)24%

$16.7K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20723%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$74.1K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)90%
Cyndi Munson (D)9%

$43.5K Vol.

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove96%
Samantha Mota3%

$43.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%34%
Hinson 0-3%26%

$19.6K Vol.

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D)59%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%

$52.7K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$358.3K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$230.3K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 3-6%38%
Peltola 0-3%36%

$15.4K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%33%
Graham 5-10%29%

$18.0K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Texas17%
Kansas15%

$25.0K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)43%

$877.6K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$55.4K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.2K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%51%
↓ 30%47%

$73.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 9-12%22%

$21.5K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%25%
Republican 40-45%21%

$37.4K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$50.3K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%23%
Republican 0-3%20%

$23.3K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%18%

$20.5K Vol.

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

October 3119%
October 156%

$10.4K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$50.6K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Republican 3-6%18%

$26.1K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$142.8K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)75%
Jonathan Nez (D)25%

$15.5K Vol.

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner

$47.5K Vol.

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Democrats73%
Republicans15%

$29.4K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%19%
Republican 0-3%19%

$25.7K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)94%
Brian Bengs (I)5%

$59.3K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas75%
Michigan69%

$105.0K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.2K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)6%

$68.6K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 0-3%23%
El-Sayed 3-6%23%

$13.1K Vol.

MI-03 House Election Winner

$55.0K Vol.

AZ-05 House Election Winner

Mark Lamb (R)90%
Elizabeth Lee (D)12%

$42.3K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)81%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$58.8K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%28%
Republican 30-35%23%

$16.0K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$47.7K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$135.1K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)76%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$234.5K Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 93%
Independent7%

$166.5K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%26%
Republican 20-25%22%

$21.0K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

27%chance

$12.8K Vol.21 days left

New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+49%
Democrat 18-21%14%

$17.1K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)5%

$91.1K Vol.

WA-04 House Election Winner

$63.1K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%40%
Democrat 70-75%23%

$25.5K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%35%
Republican 20-25%33%

$25.4K Vol.

RI-01 House Election Winner

Gabe Amo (D)>99%
Kellie Keenan (R)<1%

$46.2K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

4.8M-5M32%
4.6M-4.8M31%

$24.2K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)94%
Doug Jones (D)6%

$40.2K Vol.

NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%23%
Republican 3-6%22%

$11.9K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%18%
Democrat 9-12%18%

$18.8K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$81.5K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%
John E. Sununu (R)13%

$330.2K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%24%
Republican 5-10%19%

$18.5K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Republican 6-9%18%

$16.0K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$10.5K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%32%
Democrat 5-10%17%

$17.3K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$188.8K Vol.

MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%22%

$25.8K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%27%
Democrat 0-3%21%

$19.5K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%22%
Republican 5-10%21%

$12.2K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Marshall 0-5%38%
Hamilton Wins37%

$11.1K Vol.

FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%43%
Democrat 20-25%26%

$11.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%28%
Democrat 10-15%25%

$2.5K Vol.

OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%29%
Republican 10-15%24%

$12.8K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)68%
Mike Beltran (R)32%

$68.2K Vol.

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%26%
Republican 6-9%21%

$12.6K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Texas28%
Kansas25%

$20.0K Vol.

TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%17%
Republican 6-9%17%

$15.3K Vol.

AZ-06 House Election Winner

JoAnna Mendoza (D)82%
Juan Ciscomani (R)19%

$15.7K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 15-20%25%

$12.1K Vol.

RI-02 House Election Winner

$50.7K Vol.

Senate control favorite on November 2?

98%chance

$8.9K Vol.19 days left

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)95%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$41.8K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%32%
Republican 10-15%32%

$8.6K Vol.

IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%27%
Democrat 15-20%24%

$12.1K Vol.

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries91%
Mike Johnson5%

$7.7K Vol.

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%34%
Democrat 55-60%21%

$13.7K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Winner

Jim Schwartzel (R)95%
Victor Arias (D)6%

$33.0K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

450K-500K38%
400K-450K20%

$9.9K Vol.

NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%43%
Democrat 45-50%26%

$21.2K Vol.

TX-38 House Election Winner

Jon Bonck (R)97%
Melissa McDonough (D)3%

$31.7K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$767.3K Vol.

CT-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%32%
Democrat 15-20%27%

$10.1K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$43.5K Vol.