Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep63%
- R Senate, D House28%
$23.4M Vol.

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$17.1M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.5M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.7M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.5M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)53%
Joe Lombardo (R)48%

$418.2K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$234.1K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$309.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$192.4K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

96%chance

$1.9K Vol.Ended

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$87.8K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)78%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$558.9K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana?

Coal / Diesel95%
Job 13+ times83%

$23.2K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)95%
Doug Chapin (D)3%

$90.0K Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$234.4K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)6%

$105.5K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$785.0K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)5%

$68.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$180.0K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$73.6K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$54.9K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)2%

$93.8K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$419.1K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)4%

$57.4K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)89%
Dan Schwartz (D)11%

$84.9K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$130.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$97.0K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$59.3K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$618.6K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$89.9K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$886.2K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$261.0K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$906.3K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)95%
Peter Crosby (D)5%

$31.0K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$86.7K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.3K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)3%

$53.0K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$98.9K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Winner

$37.3K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$146.1K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$55.8K Vol.

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Democrats68%
Republicans19%

$34.6K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.7K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)82%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$63.1K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Winner

Carlos Giménez (R)95%
Phil Ehr (D)5%

$65.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)5%

$25.1K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%33%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$5.7K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$192.8K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%30%

$31.1K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 6-9%22%
Ossoff 9-12%21%

$21.6K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Texas16%
Iowa15%

$28.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$49.7K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab86%
Melissa Hernandez8%

$30.1K Vol.

AZ-06 House Election Winner

JoAnna Mendoza (D)83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)15%

$17.3K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$360.8K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$242.9K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)5%

$71.9K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%31%
Republican 10-15%25%

$14.6K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%37%
Democrat 70-75%26%

$28.6K Vol.

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%32%
Democrat 55-60%26%

$17.4K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%26%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$19.1K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%54%
↓ 30%46%

$76.3K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%19%
Republican 0-3%18%

$26.1K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%27%
↑ 12%22%

$183.8K Vol.

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui65%
Mai Vang36%

$25.6K Vol.

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Jon Rosenthal (D)56%
Bo French (R)44%

$17.3K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas78%
Michigan73%

$107.6K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%28%
Republican 30-35%20%

$39.9K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%44%
64-66%22%

$7.7K Vol.weekly

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%32%
Republican 20-25%28%

$19.0K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)81%
Max Miller (R)20%

$92.6K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)9%

$226.5K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$236.5K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.20 days left

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)95%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$44.5K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)78%
Scott Singer (R)23%

$36.2K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-5%27%
Democrat Wins27%

$22.3K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%20%
Democrat 6-9%19%

$14.5K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)73%
Jonathan Nez (D)26%

$15.7K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%18%

$23.2K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 10-12%22%

$157.1K Vol.

OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%36%
Republican 35-40%22%

$21.8K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.0K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer36%

$11.4K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)3%

$50.0K Vol.

NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%26%
Republican 15-20%22%

$9.2K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%20%
Democrat 3-6%17%

$17.3K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%28%
Republican 6-9%25%

$15.4K Vol.

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

October 3123%
October 155%

$12.0K Vol.

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Georgia>99%
North Carolina>99%

$25.5K Vol.

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%20%
Democrat 3-6%20%

$10.5K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Winner

Henry Cuellar (D)91%
Tano Tijerina (R)9%

$13.1K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Texas30%
Iowa22%

$21.5K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)5%

$40.3K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 5-10%23%

$14.7K Vol.

PA-08 House Election Winner

Paige Cognetti (D)72%
Rob Bresnahan (R)28%

$20.6K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 25-30%28%

$26.8K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%18%
Republican 9-12%17%

$20.5K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%28%

$15.7K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

900K-975K69%
825K-900K13%

$35.5K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Winner

Glenn Grothman (R)91%
Brad Smith (D)9%

$39.8K Vol.

PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%32%
Democrat 35-40%22%

$15.8K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%26%
Republican 20-25%23%

$22.3K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%37%
Republican 15-20%28%

$12.9K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%27%

$18.9K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

Rebecca Bennett (D)92%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)10%

$48.9K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%29%
Republican 10-15%23%

$14.2K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)60%
Mike Lawler (R)41%

$67.8K Vol.

First Round Outright Winner in the Vermont Governor Election?

75%chance

$1.2K Vol.20 days left

Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?

Republicans90%
Democrats5%

$4.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%33%
Hinson 0-3%22%

$20.7K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)95%
Brian Bengs (I)6%

$60.4K Vol.

NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 30-35%28%

$14.9K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%15%
Republican 0-3%14%

$17.9K Vol.

PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 55-60%22%

$14.6K Vol.

NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%33%
Democrat 20-25%32%

$16.0K Vol.

FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%27%
Republican 15-20%24%

$15.7K Vol.

CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%33%
Democrat 45-50%27%

$17.8K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%31%
Democrat 55-60%25%

$21.3K Vol.

WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%31%
Democrat 60-65%19%

$13.7K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Ashley Moody (R)69%
Angie Nixon (D)31%

$11.4K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

11.2M+31%
9.6M-10M30%

$14.5K Vol.

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%22%
Republican 6-9%20%

$13.7K Vol.

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%23%
Democrat 25-30%16%

$8.5K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%30%
Republican 30-35%22%

$17.0K Vol.

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

Angela Gonzales-Torres75%
Jimmy Gomez25%

$28.8K Vol.

KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%32%
Republican 35-40%28%

$21.7K Vol.

Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%23%
Republican 20-25%21%

$9.9K Vol.

IA-03 House Election Winner

Sarah Trone Garriott (D)81%
Zach Nunn (R)19%

$12.6K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout

3M-3.2M33%
3.2M-3.4M26%

$9.2K Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$60.8K Vol.

TX-12 House Election Winner

$57.6K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%24%
Democrat 20-25%21%

$18.1K Vol.

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%33%
Democrat 25-30%24%

$23.2K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

3.9M-4.1M35%
4.1M-4.3M32%

$16.7K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

4.6M-4.8M28%
4.8M-5M25%

$25.0K Vol.

CO-06 House Election Winner

Jason Crow (D)96%
Jason Clark (R)4%

$32.1K Vol.

Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%28%
Republican 10-15%27%

$17.1K Vol.

CA-45 House Election Winner

Derek Tran (D)94%
Chuong Vo (R)6%

$45.1K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

85%chance

$82.4K Vol.2 months left

TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%35%
Republican 35-40%33%

$15.4K Vol.

Closest Governor's Race?

Georgia22%
Texas12%

$23.2K Vol.

MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%25%
Democrat 0-3%24%

$18.7K Vol.

WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%35%
Republican 30-35%26%

$14.9K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%25%
Republican 15-20%25%

$12.2K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

25%chance

$13.7K Vol.20 days left

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%30%
Republican 35-40%23%

$21.4K Vol.

Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%24%
Democrat 20-25%24%

$7.7K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?

Pee-wee / Peewee80%
Tax 25+ times80%

$907.2 Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)94%
Nancy Mannion (D)5%

$56.1K Vol.

TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%22%
Republican 12-15%19%

$16.2K Vol.

TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%28%
Republican 25-30%24%

$9.6K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Turnout

1.1M-1.2M49%
1M-1.1M25%

$8.3K Vol.

IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%25%

$14.6K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)19%

$718.2K Vol.

OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%26%
Republican 20-25%24%

$10.7K Vol.

OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%32%
Democrat 15-20%24%

$22.6K Vol.

NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%21%
Republican 9-12%21%

$12.0K Vol.

WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%26%
Democrat 3-6%17%

$15.4K Vol.

IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%32%
Republican 30-35%24%

$23.8K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$231.0K Vol.

IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%32%
Democrat 40-45%31%

$9.6K Vol.

KY-06 House Election Winner

Ralph Alvarado (R)67%
Zach Dembo (D)33%

$56.9K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Marshall 0-5%38%
Hamilton Wins37%

$11.5K Vol.

ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 0-3%19%
Democrat 0-3%19%

$11.6K Vol.

GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 45-50%28%
Democrat 50-55%24%

$16.4K Vol.

NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%44%
Democrat 60-65%22%

$14.7K Vol.

MN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%32%
Republican 20-25%23%

$14.7K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%19%
Republican 0-3%17%

$26.5K Vol.

KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 55-60%26%
Republican 50-55%24%

$13.0K Vol.

VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 40-45%21%

$33.3K Vol.

CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%31%
Democrat 20-25%30%

$19.7K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 80%
David Jolly (D)21%

$296.7K Vol.

PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%24%
Democrat 3-6%20%

$8.2K Vol.

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%22%
Democrat 9-12%22%

$17.3K Vol.

TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%41%
Democrat 65-70%26%

$12.6K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election: Turnout

1.45M-1.5M36%
1.4M-1.45M21%

$13.7K Vol.

DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%43%
Democrat 20-25%24%

$13.0K Vol.

CA-01 House Election Winner

$38.7K Vol.

TX-06 House Election Winner

Jake Ellzey (R)94%
Danny Minton (D)3%

$84.3K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%19%
Republican 30-35%16%

$16.1K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%22%
Democrat 20-25%18%

$16.5K Vol.

NY-04 House Election Winner

$15.5K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

James Talarico (D)98%
Ken Paxton (R)2%

$12.3K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Winner

$39.2K Vol.

Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%24%
Republican 20-25%23%

$8.8K Vol.

FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%27%
Republican 9-12%20%

$13.6K Vol.