Economy

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase19%
$33.8M Vol.monthly

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA78%
Apple21%

$8.1M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change65%
25 bps increase33%

$346.0K Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA93%
Apple7%

$269.6K Vol.monthly

September Inflation US - Annual

3.6%44%
3.7%38%

$212.2K Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.1M Vol.

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike62%
Hike–Pause–Pause21%

$286.4K Vol.daily

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change91%
25 bps increase11%

$555.4K Vol.annual

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

0.2%50%
0.3%31%

$58.9K Vol.monthly

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M78%
270M8%

$31.0K Vol.monthly

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%55%
5.5%32%

$969.5K Vol.weekly

US recession by end of 2026?

8%chance

$2.3M Vol.3 months left

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
3.0 - 3.5M20%

$113.9K Vol.monthly

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.70%64%
5.80%44%

$211.1K Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change83%
25 bps increase15%

$171.2K Vol.annual

September Inflation US - Monthly

0.6%49%
0.5%35%

$74.6K Vol.monthly

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

80%chance

$647.6K Vol.57 days left

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

No Change74%
25 bps increase27%

$35.1K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+51%
2.7-2.8M18%

$42.4K Vol.monthly

$31.5K Vol.daily

Central Bank of Chile decision in October

No change92%
25 bps decrease5%

$10.2K Vol.monthly

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.50% to 3.99%61%
3.00% to 3.49%13%

$84.3K Vol.

Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q3?

770M>99%
780M98%

$2.9K Vol.

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%85%
5.25%39%

$101.1K Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.32%60%
5.35%47%

$25.1K Vol.weekly

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change90%
Decrease11%

$74.4K Vol.annual

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting54%
June 2027 Meeting37%

$3.8M Vol.

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

2.4%47%
2.5%36%

$48.1K Vol.monthly

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

>5.0%76%
4.7-5.0%13%

$92.1K Vol.

US economic state at the end of 2026?

$102.5K Vol.

Price of Dozen Eggs in September?

$2.20 to $2.3056%
$2.10 to $2.2030%

$33.0K Vol.monthly

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 5.55%74%
Below 5.52%60%

$13.3K Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 5.18%71%
Below 5.15%49%

$12.8K Vol.weekly

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0%96%
5.0–6.0%3%

$931.2K Vol.

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%60%
25-29.9%35%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple66%
Alphabet16%

$29.8K Vol.monthly

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?

October 3166%
November 3066%

$5.6K Vol.

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

4.86%76%
4.89%70%

$10.5K Vol.

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?

No Change89%
Decrease11%

$8.6K Vol.monthly

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.70%41%
5.73%28%

$19.3K Vol.

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50%14%
Below 4.45%10%

$84.7K Vol.

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple93%
NVIDIA4%

$22.5K Vol.monthly

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.0% to 0.2%26%
-0.3% to -0.1%16%

$32.8K Vol.annual

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

≥3.0%66%
2.5–3.0%16%

$54.2K Vol.monthly

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.08%53%
5.17%49%

$15.2K Vol.

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.4–0.5%44%
0.2–0.3%23%

$34.5K Vol.monthly

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

4.3-4.6%78%
4.6-4.9%13%

$66.1K Vol.monthly

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

3.0-3.4%42%
3.5-3.9%36%

$59.0K Vol.monthly

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

RBC3%
BNP Paribas3%

$82.2K Vol.monthly

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

30M+96%
31M+90%

$35.6K Vol.monthly

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

No Change55%
25 bps increase46%

$40.5K Vol.annual

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?

$1.00-$1.10T39%
$900B-$1.00T36%

$10.5K Vol.monthly

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.90%55%
5.00%47%

$15.5K Vol.

What will be in the UK Budget?

CGT increase42%
Fuel duty increase27%

$10.7K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change71%
25 bps increase25%

$9.5K Vol.annual

Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?