AI

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 30>99%
- October 3199%
$1.7M Vol.

Learn more.

Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T26%
$1.75–$2.0T26%

$1.6M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google71%
Anthropic27%

$2.3M Vol.monthly

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202722%

$567.9K Vol.

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T93%
↑$1.75T82%

$5.4M Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

079%
112%

$334.5K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3169%

$351.9K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google43%
Anthropic42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1386%
October 146%

$59.6K Vol.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+84%
50%+77%

$66.7K Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3188%
October 237%

$48.3K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google52%
Anthropic38%

$283.5K Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3098%
October 3198%

$49.6K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202720%

$202.6K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

10%chance

$63.8K Vol.2 months left

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI45%
Google42%

$10.7K Vol.weekly

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3185%
October 3120%

$235.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3132%
October 1310%

$50.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi43%
Alibaba39%

$202.5K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+78%
50%+78%

$41.4K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+57%
No IPO by December 31, 202721%

$464.7K Vol.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?

68% to 69%51%
67% to 68%33%

$12.4K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+76%
1.5–1.8T13%

$515.9K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+85%
1490+77%

$9.3K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+96%
1420+90%

$48.0K Vol.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202653%
January 202719%

$371.4K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+76%
60%+38%

$139.2K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$826.2K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$290.0K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft33%
Anthropic23%

$29.5K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3137%
November 3036%

$1.6M Vol.

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$155.7K Vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$252.6K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google46%
OpenAI39%

$5.3K Vol.weekly

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google74%
Anthropic20%

$75.3K Vol.monthly

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202710%

$3.4M Vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3155%
October 1510%

$25.2K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 143%

$103.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI6%

$73.5K Vol.monthly

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+62%
321%

$22.9K Vol.monthly

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202621%

$433.2K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI50%
Anthropic19%

$17.3K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

OpenAI22%
Meta20%

$17.5K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T38%
$2.00–$2.25T36%

$139.5K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta72%
Xiaomi21%

$61.5K Vol.monthly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+83%
50%+53%

$8.8K Vol.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+56%
65%+31%

$103.3K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI25%
Google23%

$15.0K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.6K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal11%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI70%
Anthropic26%

$27.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI67%
Google15%

$58.0K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+78%
1490+72%

$19.9K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3111%
October 162%

$35.3K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B82%
$1T70%

$1.6M Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202718%

$691.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba38%
Xiaomi31%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202762%
$50B-$60B19%

$36.0K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic77%
OpenAI15%

$49.4K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high90%
Other11%

$6.6K Vol.weekly

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

San Diego, CA82%
Denver, CO80%

$64.1K Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4551%
↓ $4039%

$9.0K Vol.annual

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T91%
$1.75T79%

$12.4K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+78%
$6.00-$6.508%

$99.8K Vol.monthly

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-741%
8-1032%

$9.7K Vol.monthly

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek80%
Google11%

$2.3K Vol.weekly

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$37.8K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+94%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$523.2K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#17%

$276.0K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic65%
Google19%

$54.5K Vol.monthly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+62%
60%+49%

$155.3K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic49%
Google35%

$30.8K Vol.monthly

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $6057%
↓ $4050%

$12.0K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google57%
Anthropic42%

$31.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic77%
OpenAI12%

$18.4K Vol.monthly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+73%
50%+40%

$101.3K Vol.

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

October 3110%
December 3110%

$5.8K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+28%
1490+26%

$270.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $2.2555%
↑ $3.5048%

$16.4K Vol.daily

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+82%
50%+81%

$110.7K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI69%
SpaceXAI11%

$14.4K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta45%
Alibaba14%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic67%
Google32%

$39.5K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+80%
55%+54%

$7.0K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google48%
Moonshot20%

$64.3K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3028%
October 3113%

$24.4K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

339%
225%

$858.9 Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+44%
45%+41%

$102.9K Vol.

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3162%
October 1518%

$24.6K Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202743%
December 31, 20268%

$77.4K Vol.

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2570%
↑ $3058%

$13.6K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202719%

$688.4K Vol.

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

2%chance

$775.8 Vol.8 months left

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google57%
OpenAI21%

$36.1K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0024%
$2.00-$2.5018%

$68.9K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+75%
$50+53%

$5.4K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

6%chance

$19.2K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic88%
Google5%

$30.4K Vol.monthly

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic56%
OpenAI12%

$212.2K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Z.ai21%
Google18%

$101.1K Vol.