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This is an independent demo that is not affiliated with Polymarket. Market data comes from the public Polymarket API and may be delayed. Prices reflect market odds, not guarantees. Balances and trades on this site use simulated test funds; no real money is moved. Trading real prediction markets involves substantial risk of loss and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. See our Terms of Use & Privacy Policy.

HomeBreaking Portfolio

Trending Combos Perps Breaking NewPolitics Sports Crypto Esports Iran Finance Geopolitics Tech Culture Economy Weather Elections World AI Science

All352
AI Releases56
Anthropic67
Google36
AI Rankings72
AI Regulation32
OpenAI76
Business105
Earn 3.25%34

AI Releases

Filter markets by title

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 3098%
- October 3195%
$1.6M Vol.

Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3182%

$343.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+81%
50%+79%

$63.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3184%
October 238%

$46.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3098%
October 3196%

$45.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1360%
October 149%

$47.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3186%
October 3120%

$235.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+79%
45%+77%

$40.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+97%
1420+84%

$47.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 190%
October 19–October 254%

$289.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3118%
October 1314%

$46.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+83%
1490+58%

$6.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 143%

$103.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3135%
November 3033%

$1.6M Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 100Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3120%
October 164%

$34.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$37.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1490+63%
1480+59%

$19.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+36%
50%+35%

$102.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3035%
October 3134%

$43.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+79%
50%+50%

$7.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+91%
50%+87%

$110.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+30%
1490+28%

$269.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3162%
October 1518%

$24.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

$775.8 Vol.·8 months left

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3032%
October 3117%

$24.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3184%
November 3077%

$6.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+82%
55%+72%

$6.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+78%
$50+55%

$5.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3065%
October 3138%

$9.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3020%
October 3112%

$9.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3172%
November 3056%

$4.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+85%
1520+49%

$7.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+67%

$3.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

SSI public model released by…?

December 3156%
November 3051%

$132.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3171%
November 3049%

$3.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3146%
December 3115%

$842.1 Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3061%
October 316%

$10.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3154%
October 3115%

$5.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 20278%
December 31, 20266%

$22.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3192%
October 3154%

$927.9 Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards