$36,769.49
+$127,866.47
$260,598,703.34
11,265 markets traded
+$23,450.40
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No32,569.2 shares12.6¢ → 10.5¢ | 32,569.2 | 12.6¢ → 10.5¢ | $3,419.76 -$689.88 (-16.8%) |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes20,892.7 shares28¢ → 15.5¢ | 20,892.7 | 28¢ → 15.5¢ | $3,238.37 -$2,607.42 (-44.6%) |
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes23,033 shares13.7¢ → 10.5¢ | 23,033 | 13.7¢ → 10.5¢ | $2,418.47 -$726.95 (-23.1%) |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No53,601.6 shares4.1¢ → 3.4¢ | 53,601.6 | 4.1¢ → 3.4¢ | $1,795.65 -$423.88 (-19.1%) |
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? Yes5,717.3 shares35.1¢ → 28.5¢ | 5,717.3 | 35.1¢ → 28.5¢ | $1,629.44 -$379.90 (-18.9%) |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No5,198.3 shares22.9¢ → 20.5¢ | 5,198.3 | 22.9¢ → 20.5¢ | $1,065.65 -$125.13 (-10.5%) |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? No17,337.1 shares6.9¢ → 5.5¢ | 17,337.1 | 6.9¢ → 5.5¢ | $953.54 -$249.65 (-20.7%) |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? No1,000 shares75¢ → 75¢ | 1,000 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $750.00 $0.00 (0%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes3,458.3 shares17.5¢ → 17.5¢ | 3,458.3 | 17.5¢ → 17.5¢ | $605.19 +$0.45 (+0.1%) |
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes6,839.8 shares12¢ → 8.5¢ | 6,839.8 | 12¢ → 8.5¢ | $581.38 -$238.34 (-29.1%) |
Will Joseph Woll record 4+ shutouts? No649 shares76¢ → 89.5¢ | 649 | 76¢ → 89.5¢ | $580.86 +$87.59 (+17.8%) |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes5,926.1 shares10¢ → 9.7¢ | 5,926.1 | 10¢ → 9.7¢ | $571.87 -$20.74 (-3.5%) |
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? No728 shares69.6¢ → 76.5¢ | 728 | 69.6¢ → 76.5¢ | $556.92 +$50.00 (+9.9%) |
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? Yes5,290 shares13.1¢ → 10.5¢ | 5,290 | 13.1¢ → 10.5¢ | $555.45 -$135.17 (-19.6%) |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes5,197.3 shares10.6¢ → 10¢ | 5,197.3 | 10.6¢ → 10¢ | $519.73 -$32.03 (-5.8%) |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes6,000 shares7.8¢ → 7.1¢ | 6,000 | 7.8¢ → 7.1¢ | $429.00 -$37.95 (-8.1%) |
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? No587.9 shares71.6¢ → 69.9¢ | 587.9 | 71.6¢ → 69.9¢ | $410.93 -$9.84 (-2.3%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes4,320.8 shares11.4¢ → 9¢ | 4,320.8 | 11.4¢ → 9¢ | $388.87 -$101.67 (-20.7%) |
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes811.3 shares48.3¢ → 41.5¢ | 811.3 | 48.3¢ → 41.5¢ | $336.69 -$55.43 (-14.1%) |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026? Yes379.9 shares82¢ → 85.5¢ | 379.9 | 82¢ → 85.5¢ | $324.81 +$13.30 (+4.3%) |
Will Logitech G Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award? No362.3 shares83.1¢ → 89.5¢ | 362.3 | 83.1¢ → 89.5¢ | $324.21 +$23.05 (+7.7%) |
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? Yes642.6 shares33.7¢ → 49.5¢ | 642.6 | 33.7¢ → 49.5¢ | $318.10 +$101.85 (+47.1%) |
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? No652.6 shares47.5¢ → 48¢ | 652.6 | 47.5¢ → 48¢ | $313.24 +$3.44 (+1.1%) |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026? Yes736.3 shares37.2¢ → 42.5¢ | 736.3 | 37.2¢ → 42.5¢ | $312.92 +$38.82 (+14.2%) |
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes31,184.3 shares9.2¢ → 1¢ | 31,184.3 | 9.2¢ → 1¢ | $311.84 -$2,551.11 (-89.1%) |
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? No612.4 shares44.8¢ → 50.5¢ | 612.4 | 44.8¢ → 50.5¢ | $309.25 +$35.11 (+12.8%) |
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes880.4 shares39.7¢ → 34.5¢ | 880.4 | 39.7¢ → 34.5¢ | $303.75 -$45.38 (-13%) |
| 535.2 | 49.1¢ → 52.5¢ | $280.98 +$17.96 (+6.8%) | |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? No1,054.8 shares42.9¢ → 26.5¢ | 1,054.8 | 42.9¢ → 26.5¢ | $279.51 -$172.82 (-38.2%) |
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No317.3 shares83.8¢ → 84.5¢ | 317.3 | 83.8¢ → 84.5¢ | $268.08 +$2.08 (+0.8%) |
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? No590.4 shares46.2¢ → 44¢ | 590.4 | 46.2¢ → 44¢ | $259.76 -$13.26 (-4.9%) |
Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? Yes552.3 shares25.3¢ → 45.5¢ | 552.3 | 25.3¢ → 45.5¢ | $251.29 +$111.78 (+80.1%) |
Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? No415.1 shares63.1¢ → 60.5¢ | 415.1 | 63.1¢ → 60.5¢ | $251.13 -$10.67 (-4.1%) |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes1,986.8 shares12¢ → 12.5¢ | 1,986.8 | 12¢ → 12.5¢ | $248.35 +$10.64 (+4.5%) |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026? Yes962.6 shares25.9¢ → 25.5¢ | 962.6 | 25.9¢ → 25.5¢ | $245.47 -$4.11 (-1.6%) |
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes1,195.7 shares22¢ → 20¢ | 1,195.7 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $239.14 -$24.35 (-9.2%) |
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes1,058.3 shares20.2¢ → 22.5¢ | 1,058.3 | 20.2¢ → 22.5¢ | $238.12 +$24.63 (+11.5%) |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? No926.4 shares32.3¢ → 24.5¢ | 926.4 | 32.3¢ → 24.5¢ | $226.96 -$71.89 (-24.1%) |
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? Yes511.1 shares41.9¢ → 43.5¢ | 511.1 | 41.9¢ → 43.5¢ | $222.35 +$8.43 (+3.9%) |
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes2,017.5 shares10¢ → 10.5¢ | 2,017.5 | 10¢ → 10.5¢ | $211.84 +$10.09 (+5%) |
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes490.2 shares48.9¢ → 42.5¢ | 490.2 | 48.9¢ → 42.5¢ | $208.35 -$31.54 (-13.1%) |
| 379 | 58.5¢ → 53.5¢ | $202.77 -$18.95 (-8.5%) | |
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? No2,369.9 shares10.6¢ → 8.5¢ | 2,369.9 | 10.6¢ → 8.5¢ | $201.44 -$50.59 (-20.1%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes4,552 shares5¢ → 4.2¢ | 4,552 | 5¢ → 4.2¢ | $191.18 -$38.48 (-16.8%) |
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? Yes617 shares40.4¢ → 30.5¢ | 617 | 40.4¢ → 30.5¢ | $188.17 -$61.25 (-24.6%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes1,500 shares12.5¢ → 12.5¢ | 1,500 | 12.5¢ → 12.5¢ | $187.50 $0.00 (0%) |
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? No2,297.6 shares18.5¢ → 8¢ | 2,297.6 | 18.5¢ → 8¢ | $183.80 -$242.39 (-56.9%) |
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes1,423.9 shares12¢ → 12.7¢ | 1,423.9 | 12¢ → 12.7¢ | $180.12 +$9.48 (+5.6%) |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? Yes1,072.3 shares15.2¢ → 16.3¢ | 1,072.3 | 15.2¢ → 16.3¢ | $174.79 +$11.49 (+7%) |
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? Yes889.8 shares19.8¢ → 19.5¢ | 889.8 | 19.8¢ → 19.5¢ | $173.51 -$3.07 (-1.7%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes · 34.9 shares at 12¢ | $4.19 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes · 40 shares at 12¢ | $4.80 |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
| Buy |
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes · 24 shares at 12¢ |
$2.88 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes · 20 shares at 12¢ | $2.40 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes · 30 shares at 12¢ | $3.60 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes · 0.1 shares at 12¢ | $0.01 |
| Buy | Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? Yes · 20 shares at 20¢ | $4.00 |
| Sell | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? Yes · 20 shares at 17¢ | $3.40 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 40 shares at 89.3¢ | $35.70 |
| Sell | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 100 shares at 92¢ | $92.00 |
| Sell | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 100 shares at 91¢ | $91.00 |
| Sell | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 255 shares at 93¢ | $237.15 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 200 shares at 90¢ | $180.00 |
| Sell | Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? No · 80.9 shares at 83.1¢ | $66.62 |
| Sell | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes · 3,874 shares at 18¢ | $697.31 |
| Sell | Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? Yes · 281.3 shares at 25.5¢ | $71.70 |
| Merge | $20.00 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 18,514 shares at 3.4¢ | $629.48 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 17.6 shares at 3.4¢ | $0.60 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 400 shares at 3.4¢ | $13.60 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 15.5 shares at 3.4¢ | $0.53 |
| Merge | $100.00 |
| Buy | Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? No · 20 shares at 70¢ | $14.00 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 48.3 shares at 3.4¢ | $1.64 |
| Buy | Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? No · 100 shares at 70¢ | $70.00 |
| Buy | Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? Yes · 401.3 shares at 16.3¢ | $65.42 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 1.8 shares at 3.4¢ | $0.06 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 1 shares at 3.4¢ | $0.04 |
| Maker rebate | — | $28.52 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 2.1 shares at 3.4¢ | $0.07 |
| Merge | $7.93 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 211.7 shares at 3.4¢ | $7.20 |
| Buy | Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? Yes · 365.9 shares at 21.6¢ | $81.99 |
| Sell | Will Steven Stamkos record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes · 36 shares at 4¢ | $1.44 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 8,000 shares at 3.4¢ | $272.00 |
| Buy | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes · 30.6 shares at 17¢ | $5.20 |
| Buy | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 1,039.5 shares at 3.4¢ | $35.34 |
| Reward | — | $1.09 |
| Yield | — | $0.08 |
| Taker rebate | — | $1.39 |
| Buy | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes · 88.5 shares at 17¢ | $15.04 |
| Sell | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 50 shares at 91¢ | $45.50 |
| Reward | — | $1,161.45 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 5 shares at 87¢ | $4.35 |
| Sell | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes · 116.6 shares at 43¢ | $50.12 |
| Sell | Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes · 200 shares at 42¢ | $84.00 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 90 shares at 90¢ | $81.00 |
| Sell | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 70 shares at 94¢ | $65.80 |
| Sell | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 30 shares at 94¢ | $28.20 |
| Buy | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31? No · 10 shares at 89.5¢ | $8.95 |