Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva14%
$180.9M Vol.

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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$847.9K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$115.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula60%
Flavio Bolsonaro41%

$64.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro34%

$63.0K Vol.

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

27%chance

$162.4K Vol.2 months left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro90%
Lula9%

$11.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro84%
Lula17%

$53.5K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 5-10%13%
Ruas 20%+12%

$23.9K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%47%
4.50-4.99%24%

$162.4K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$45.1K Vol.2 days left

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.0% to 0.2%32%
-0.3% to -0.1%26%

$33.9K Vol.annual

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson84%
Cadu de Lula16%

$64.5K Vol.

$781.4K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro17%
Romeu Zema<1%

$53.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula81%
Flavio Bolsonaro20%

$41.1K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Winner

Vicentinho Júnior60%
Professora Dorinha39%

$28.5K Vol.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

2%chance

$96.5K Vol.2 months left

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 10-15%36%
Celina 20-25%35%

$3.1K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+40%
Mailza 15-20%31%

$3.8K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 15%+31%
Allyson 6-10%21%

$7.9K Vol.

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

25 bps decrease87%
No Change9%

$50.7K Vol.annual

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

74%chance

$9.9K Vol.11 days left

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 6-10%37%
Aziz 15%+24%

$5.7K Vol.

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

25 bps decrease56%
50+ bps decrease26%

$24.2K Vol.annual

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Dorinha <4%34%
Vicentinho <4%26%

$2.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Sergipe

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$5.0K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+27%
Pazolini 5-10%26%

$4.0K Vol.

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

5% to 19.99%28%
40% to 59.99%25%

$15.1K Vol.

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

December 3152%
October 3135%

$31.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
80-82%21%

$10.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$10.4K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

89%chance

$392.9 Vol.5 months left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Tocantins

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula2%

$3.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

Flavio Bolsonaro96%
Lula4%

$5.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula<1%

$1.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Roraima

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula<1%

$5.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rondônia

Flavio Bolsonaro>99%
Lula<1%

$2.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula<1%

$2.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$5.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro

Flavio Bolsonaro96%
Lula3%

$3.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Piauí

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$1.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$1.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraná

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula2%

$1.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraíba

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro4%

$3.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$4.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$1.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Maranhão

Lula96%
Flavio Bolsonaro4%

$3.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$1.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula<1%

$7.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

Flavio Bolsonaro97%
Lula<1%

$6.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Ceará

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$696.1 Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Bahia

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$4.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Acre

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$1.7K Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

2%chance

$5.9K Vol.18 days left

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

18%chance

$1.0K Vol.3 months left

Federal District Governor Election Winner

Celina Leão>99%
Leandro Grass<1%

$35.2K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz85%
Professora Maria do Carmo14%

$49.0K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Winner

Mailza Assis98%
Alan Rick1%

$70.3K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

Lorenzo Pazolini95%
Ricardo Ferraço4%

$50.0K Vol.

Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?

↓4.556%
↑5.7556%